Avalanche Weather Guidance
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
160
FWUS46 KMFR 102301
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
401 PM PDT FRI OCT 10 2025
...MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 10/11/25 SUNDAY 10/12/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV SC FW FW FW FW SC BK SC FW FW FW SC FW SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 45 20 15 10 25 35 65 35 20 15 5 30 25 25 45 70
TEMPERATURE 33 30 31 30 29 28 32 35 35 32 33 32 32 32 38 41 39
MIN/MAX TEMP 28 37 30 42
WIND DIR SW SW SW W NW NW W NW NW NW NW N N N NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 19 14 12 11 9 9 10 12 14 16 13 18 20 18 11 12 13
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 20 10 10 5 10 10 10 5 0 5 5 0 0 0 0 10
PRECIP TYPE S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.16 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 1.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.1 6.7 6.2 5.9 5.5 5.4 5.9 6.2 6.4 6.3 6.3 6.0 5.5 5.3 6.0 6.2 6.1
...MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 10/11/25 SUNDAY 10/12/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV SC FW FW FW FW SC BK SC FW FW FW SC FW FW SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 35 15 15 10 20 35 65 40 25 15 5 30 25 25 45 70
TEMPERATURE 35 31 31 31 31 31 37 37 36 32 32 33 33 34 43 43 39
MIN/MAX TEMP 30 39 32 44
WIND DIR S W SW W NW N W W NW NW NW N N N N NW NW
WIND (MPH) 14 11 9 8 6 6 8 9 11 12 10 13 16 13 8 9 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 20 10 10 5 5 10 10 5 0 5 5 0 0 0 0 10
PRECIP TYPE S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.0 6.6 6.2 5.9 5.4 5.3 5.9 6.2 6.4 6.3 6.3 5.9 5.4 5.3 5.9 6.1 6.1
...MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 10/11/25 SUNDAY 10/12/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV SC FW FW FW SC SC BK SC FW FW CL SC FW SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 50 25 15 10 25 35 65 30 15 10 5 30 25 25 45 65
TEMPERATURE 34 30 31 30 29 28 31 34 35 32 33 33 32 32 36 41 39
MIN/MAX TEMP 28 37 30 42
WIND DIR S SW SW W W NW W W NW NW NW N N N NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 19 16 12 11 9 9 10 12 14 16 12 18 20 18 11 12 13
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 20 20 10 5 10 10 10 5 0 5 5 0 0 0 0 10
PRECIP TYPE S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.15 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 1.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.0 6.7 6.2 5.9 5.5 5.4 5.9 6.2 6.4 6.3 6.3 5.9 5.4 5.3 6.0 6.2 6.1
...MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 10/11/25 SUNDAY 10/12/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV SC SC FW FW FW SC BK SC SC FW FW SC SC SC SC OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 45 30 15 10 25 40 65 50 30 15 5 30 25 25 45 70
TEMPERATURE 25 23 22 22 22 22 26 27 27 26 27 28 27 27 34 35 33
MIN/MAX TEMP 22 28 26 36
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW W W W NW NW NW NW N N N NW W W
WIND (MPH) 34 27 20 18 14 16 17 23 26 28 27 29 29 27 21 24 27
WIND GUST (MPH) 72 58 41 34 47 55 61 65 54 54 47 48 51 64
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 20 10 10 0 10 10 10 5 0 5 5 0 0 0 0 10
PRECIP TYPE S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.20 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 2.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 2.1 0.4 0.1 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.1 6.7 6.2 5.9 5.5 5.4 6.0 6.2 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.0 5.5 5.4 6.0 6.2 6.2
...ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 10/11/25 SUNDAY 10/12/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV BK BK FW FW SC SC BK SC SC SC SC SC FW SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 65 50 25 15 25 35 65 45 35 30 30 35 25 25 40 70
TEMPERATURE 33 32 31 29 29 28 31 36 36 33 33 33 31 31 36 42 40
MIN/MAX TEMP 28 38 30 43
WIND DIR S SW SW W NW NE SW W NW NW NW NW NW N N NW NW
WIND (MPH) 16 13 11 9 6 5 6 9 11 12 12 13 16 14 9 10 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 30 20 10 0 10 10 5 5 0 10 10 5 5 0 0 10
PRECIP TYPE S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.15 0.01 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.0 6.7 6.3 5.9 5.4 5.3 5.9 6.1 6.3 6.0 6.0 5.7 5.4 5.2 5.9 6.2 6.0
...CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 10/11/25 SUNDAY 10/12/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV FW FW FW FW FW SC BK SC CL CL FW SC FW FW SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 25 20 15 5 25 30 65 40 5 0 5 25 20 25 40 65
TEMPERATURE 40 37 37 35 35 37 40 43 43 37 37 36 35 36 43 48 46
MIN/MAX TEMP 34 45 34 50
WIND DIR W W W NW NW NW NE NW N NW NW NW NW NW N N N
WIND (MPH) 4 4 3 4 5 5 4 5 9 11 13 13 11 10 10 11 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 10 10 10 5 10 5 5 5 0 5 5 0 0 0 0 10
PRECIP TYPE R
6 HOUR QPF 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.9 6.5 6.0 5.7 5.3 5.2 5.7 6.2 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.0 5.5 5.2 5.7 6.2 6.3
...MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 10/11/25 SUNDAY 10/12/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV SC FW FW FW SC SC OV BK SC SC SC SC SC SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 30 20 10 10 25 50 70 60 45 40 45 45 35 30 45 65
TEMPERATURE 36 33 32 31 31 34 36 38 39 35 35 35 35 37 40 43 42
MIN/MAX TEMP 30 40 33 44
WIND DIR SW NW SW W NW N W NW NW NW NW NW N N N NW NW
WIND (MPH) 14 10 9 8 6 6 9 9 12 12 14 14 17 14 12 12 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 10 5 10 10 5 5 5 5 0 5 5 0 0 0 0 10
PRECIP TYPE S
6 HOUR QPF 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.8 6.4 6.0 5.7 5.2 5.2 5.8 6.1 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.0 5.5 5.2 5.7 6.1 6.2
...WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 10/11/25 SUNDAY 10/12/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 85 85 80 75 80 95 95 90 90 90 85 80 80 70 80 85
TEMPERATURE 34 32 32 31 30 29 31 33 33 33 34 32 29 29 30 33 32
MIN/MAX TEMP 29 34 29 35
WIND DIR SW SW SW W W SW W W W W W W W W W W W
WIND (MPH) 14 12 10 10 9 9 10 11 14 17 18 20 19 13 11 13 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 30 20 10 40 40 50 50 60 70 60 60 30 30 20 20 40
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.11 0.00 0.07 0.12 0.11 0.04 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.5 0.1 0.7 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.6 1.6 0.5 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.3 6.1 5.7 5.4 5.1 5.2 5.7 5.9 6.1 6.2 6.2 5.8 5.2 4.9 5.3 5.6 5.7
...GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 10/11/25 SUNDAY 10/12/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 80 80 75 70 75 90 95 85 85 85 80 75 70 70 80 80
TEMPERATURE 34 31 31 30 29 29 31 33 33 33 33 32 30 29 32 34 33
MIN/MAX TEMP 28 34 29 35
WIND DIR SW SW SW W W SW SW W W W W W W W W W W
WIND (MPH) 14 12 10 10 10 9 10 11 14 17 18 20 19 13 11 13 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 30 20 5 30 40 50 40 50 60 60 60 20 20 20 20 40
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.09 0.00 0.04 0.09 0.07 0.03 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.4 1.0 0.4 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.4 6.1 5.7 5.4 5.1 5.2 5.7 6.0 6.1 6.3 6.3 5.9 5.3 5.0 5.4 5.7 5.8
...BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 10/11/25 SUNDAY 10/12/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV BK BK BK OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 65 65 65 70 65 75 90 75 80 85 90 80 60 70 70 80
TEMPERATURE 37 36 35 33 31 30 34 37 37 37 37 36 34 32 36 40 38
MIN/MAX TEMP 30 39 32 41
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW S S SW W W W W W W W W W W
WIND (MPH) 8 8 5 3 3 4 6 10 9 10 12 12 11 6 8 11 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 20 20 5 20 30 40 40 30 40 30 30 20 20 20 20 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.10 0.01 0.04 0.11 0.08 0.03 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.4 6.1 5.8 5.4 5.1 5.2 5.6 5.9 6.1 6.2 6.2 5.9 5.4 5.0 5.4 5.6 5.6
...MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 10/11/25 SUNDAY 10/12/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV BK OV BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 70 70 65 60 70 85 95 85 85 90 90 85 80 75 85 90
TEMPERATURE 33 32 30 30 30 29 30 32 32 33 34 33 30 30 30 33 32
MIN/MAX TEMP 29 34 30 35
WIND DIR W W SW SW W SW W W W W W W W W W W W
WIND (MPH) 13 12 10 11 10 9 9 9 12 14 14 21 20 14 12 14 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 30 30 20 30 40 60 60 80 80 80 80 50 50 60 60 90
PRECIP TYPE R S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.08 0.01 0.05 0.09 0.09 0.03 0.01 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.4 1.0 0.5 0.2
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.3 6.0 5.7 5.4 5.1 5.1 5.5 5.8 6.0 6.2 6.2 5.7 5.1 4.9 5.2 5.5 5.6
...MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 10/11/25 SUNDAY 10/12/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 70 75 70 65 80 90 95 85 90 90 90 85 90 80 90 90
TEMPERATURE 33 32 30 30 30 29 30 32 32 33 34 32 29 30 30 32 32
MIN/MAX TEMP 29 34 29 34
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW W SW W W W W W W W W W SW W
WIND (MPH) 13 11 10 11 10 9 9 9 11 14 14 21 20 14 12 14 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 30 30 20 30 40 60 70 80 80 80 80 50 50 60 60 90
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.06 0.01 0.05 0.08 0.09 0.03 0.01 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.3 1.0 0.5 0.2
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.2 6.0 5.6 5.3 5.1 5.1 5.5 5.7 6.0 6.1 6.2 5.6 5.0 4.9 5.1 5.5 5.6
...MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 10/11/25 SUNDAY 10/12/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV SC FW FW BK BK OV OV OV BK BK BK OV BK BK OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 30 20 10 55 65 85 85 70 65 65 65 75 65 60 70 75
TEMPERATURE 34 32 32 31 31 31 33 34 34 34 35 33 32 33 34 38 36
MIN/MAX TEMP 30 35 32 39
WIND DIR W SW SW S S S S W NW NW NW NW NW N N NW NW
WIND (MPH) 12 10 8 8 6 6 6 9 12 12 14 19 18 14 10 12 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 5 10 10 30 30 30 30 30 30 20 20 10 10 10 10 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.07 0.02 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.3 6.0 5.7 5.5 5.3 5.2 5.4 6.0 6.4 6.5 6.4 6.0 5.5 5.1 5.3 5.7 5.6
$$
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN