Avalanche Weather Guidance
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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347
FWUS46 KMFR 112301
AVGMFR

AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
401 PM PDT SUN MAY 11 2025


...MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)...

DATE                                        MONDAY 05/12/25                         TUESDAY 05/13/25
TIME (LT)          17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17
                   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P

CLOUD COVER        BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   BK   SC   SC   SC   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)    60   65  100  100  100  100  100  100   80   80   60   55   55   40   40   40   30
TEMPERATURE        40   34   33   31   29   29   30   32   34   32   31   29   28   31   34   37   38
MIN/MAX TEMP                           27                  35                  27                  39
WIND DIR           SW    S    S    S   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW    W   NW   NW   NW   NW    N   NW   NW
WIND (MPH)         23   20   23   25   24   18   11    9    9    8    5    3    3    4   10   10   14
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    10   10   90   90  100  100   80   80   50   50   20   20    0    0    5    5    0
PRECIP TYPE                   S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.55      0.23      0.19      0.16      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       5.1       2.4       1.9       1.5       0.1       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          5.1                 4.3                 1.6                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  7.0  6.4  5.5  5.2  4.8  4.8  5.1  5.8  6.1  5.8  5.3  5.0  4.7  4.8  5.6  6.4  6.6


...MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)...

DATE                                        MONDAY 05/12/25                         TUESDAY 05/13/25
TIME (LT)          17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17
                   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P

CLOUD COVER        BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   BK   SC   SC   SC   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)    55   65  100  100  100  100   95   95   75   80   60   55   55   45   45   35   30
TEMPERATURE        42   36   33   31   30   31   32   35   37   33   30   29   28   31   35   39   40
MIN/MAX TEMP                           30                  37                  28                  41
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S   SW    W   NW   NW   NW    N   NW   NW   NW
WIND (MPH)         16   16   17   18   18   13    9    6    6    6    4    4    4    3    8    9   11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    10   10   90   90  100  100   80   80   50   50   20   20    0    0    5    5    0
PRECIP TYPE                   S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.42      0.15      0.12      0.14      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       3.2       1.2       0.2       0.6       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          3.2                 1.4                 0.6                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  7.0  6.3  5.5  5.1  4.8  4.7  5.0  5.8  6.0  5.8  5.3  5.0  4.7  4.8  5.6  6.4  6.6


...MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)...

DATE                                        MONDAY 05/12/25                         TUESDAY 05/13/25
TIME (LT)          17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17
                   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P

CLOUD COVER        BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)    60   70  100  100  100  100  100  100   80   80   60   50   50   40   40   35   30
TEMPERATURE        39   34   32   31   29   29   29   32   34   32   30   28   28   31   34   36   38
MIN/MAX TEMP                           27                  35                  27                  39
WIND DIR           SW    S    S    S   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW    W   NW   NW   NW   NW    N   NW   NW
WIND (MPH)         23   20   23   26   25   18   12    9    9    8    5    3    3    4    9    9   14
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    10   10   90   90  100  100   80   80   60   60   20   20    0    0    5    5    0
PRECIP TYPE                   S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.57      0.23      0.19      0.16      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       5.1       2.3       2.0       1.4       0.1       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          5.1                 4.3                 1.5                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  7.0  6.4  5.5  5.1  4.8  4.8  5.1  5.8  6.1  5.8  5.3  5.0  4.7  4.8  5.7  6.4  6.6


...MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)...

DATE                                        MONDAY 05/12/25                         TUESDAY 05/13/25
TIME (LT)          17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17
                   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P

CLOUD COVER        BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   BK   SC   SC   SC   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)    55   65  100  100  100  100  100  100   75   80   65   60   60   45   45   40   30
TEMPERATURE        27   22   22   21   19   19   21   22   25   23   20   19   18   21   24   25   27
MIN/MAX TEMP                           19                  25                  18                  28
WIND DIR           SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW    W    W    W    W   NW    N   NW   NW    N   NW    N
WIND (MPH)         40   37   42   44   37   27   17   12   12   11    8    6    8   10   17   17   26
WIND GUST (MPH)    88   84   92   93   71   47                                      27   36   37   51
PRECIP PROB (%)    10   10   90   90  100  100   80   80   50   50   20   20    0    0    5    5    0
PRECIP TYPE                   S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.58      0.24      0.22      0.21      0.01      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       6.3       2.8       2.7       2.4       0.1       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          6.3                 5.5                 2.5                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  7.0  6.4  5.6  5.2  4.8  4.8  5.0  5.8  6.1  5.9  5.3  5.0  4.7  4.8  5.6  6.4  6.6


...ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)...

DATE                                        MONDAY 05/12/25                         TUESDAY 05/13/25
TIME (LT)          17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17
                   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P

CLOUD COVER        BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   BK   BK   SC   SC   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)    65   70  100  100  100  100  100  100   85   85   70   65   60   55   50   45   40
TEMPERATURE        41   36   32   31   30   30   30   33   35   33   30   29   27   29   32   36   38
MIN/MAX TEMP                           29                  35                  27                  38
WIND DIR           SW   SW    S    S    S    S    S   SW   SW    W   NW   NW    N    N   NW   NW   NW
WIND (MPH)         18   17   17   21   19   13   10    6    6    5    6    8    8    8    6    9   12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    10   20   80   80  100  100   90   90   70   70   20   20    5    5   10   10    0
PRECIP TYPE              S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.01      0.55      0.19      0.18      0.11      0.01      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       3.8       1.8       1.2       0.5       0.1       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          3.8                 3.0                 0.6                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  7.1  6.4  5.5  5.1  4.8  4.8  5.2  5.9  6.1  5.9  5.3  5.1  4.7  4.9  5.7  6.4  6.6


...CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)...

DATE                                        MONDAY 05/12/25                         TUESDAY 05/13/25
TIME (LT)          17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17
                   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P

CLOUD COVER        SC   SC   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   SC   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW
CLOUD COVER (%)    35   45  100  100  100  100  100  100   80   80   50   40   35   30   30   25   25
TEMPERATURE        50   42   40   37   37   37   38   39   40   37   35   35   33   36   41   45   46
MIN/MAX TEMP                           36                  41                  33                  47
WIND DIR           SW   SW    S    S    S   SE    S    S   SW   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW    N    N   NW
WIND (MPH)         10    8   10   11    9    6    6    4    3    4    6    8    9   10   10   11   12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    10   10   90   90  100  100   80   80   60   60   20   20    0    0    5    5    0
PRECIP TYPE                   S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.41      0.13      0.08      0.08      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.7  6.2  5.4  5.0  4.8  4.7  5.2  5.8  6.0  5.8  5.1  5.0  4.6  4.8  5.7  6.4  6.6


...MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)...

DATE                                        MONDAY 05/12/25                         TUESDAY 05/13/25
TIME (LT)          17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17
                   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P

CLOUD COVER        SC   SC   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   BK   BK   SC   SC   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)    25   30  100  100  100  100  100  100   75   75   65   60   60   55   50   30   30
TEMPERATURE        44   37   34   33   33   36   35   36   37   34   31   31   30   34   35   39   41
MIN/MAX TEMP                           31                  38                  29                  41
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW
WIND (MPH)         14   10   14   12   10    9    8    6    6    5    8    8    9    9   10   10   13
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    10   10   80   80  100  100   80   80   50   50   20   20    0    0    5    5    0
PRECIP TYPE                   S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.33      0.11      0.11      0.14      0.01      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       2.1       0.5       0.4       0.5       0.2       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          2.1                 0.9                 0.7                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.8  6.3  5.5  5.2  4.8  4.8  5.2  5.9  6.1  5.7  5.2  4.9  4.6  4.8  5.6  6.4  6.6


...WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)...

DATE                                        MONDAY 05/12/25                         TUESDAY 05/13/25
TIME (LT)          17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17
                   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P

CLOUD COVER        BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK
CLOUD COVER (%)    55   65  100  100  100  100  100  100   85   85   75   75   75   75   70   75   65
TEMPERATURE        36   33   31   29   28   28   29   31   33   31   29   29   28   29   30   33   35
MIN/MAX TEMP                           27                  33                  28                  35
WIND DIR            W   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW    W    W    W    W    W    W    W    W    W
WIND (MPH)         26   11   10   11   11   10   11   10    9    8    6    6    6    8    9   10   14
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    10   40  100  100  100  100  100  100   70   70   30   30   30   30   30   30   20
PRECIP TYPE              S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.13      0.35      0.13      0.18      0.12      0.04      0.03      0.03
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.5       3.1       1.4       1.6       1.0       0.4       0.3       0.1
12 HOUR SNOW                          3.6                 3.0                 1.4                 0.4
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.6  6.2  5.5  5.0  4.6  4.5  5.0  5.5  5.8  5.5  5.2  4.8  4.6  4.8  5.5  6.2  6.4


...GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)...

DATE                                        MONDAY 05/12/25                         TUESDAY 05/13/25
TIME (LT)          17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17
                   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P

CLOUD COVER        SC   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   OV   BK   BK   BK
CLOUD COVER (%)    50   65  100  100  100  100  100  100   75   80   70   70   70   75   65   65   65
TEMPERATURE        36   33   31   29   28   28   30   33   33   31   28   28   28   29   31   34   35
MIN/MAX TEMP                           28                  34                  28                  36
WIND DIR            W   SW    S   SW   SW   SW   SW    W    W    W    W   NW   NW    W    W    W    W
WIND (MPH)         27   11   10   12   11   11   11   11   11    9    9    9    9    9    9   11   14
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    10   40  100  100  100  100  100  100   60   60   30   30   20   20   20   20   20
PRECIP TYPE              S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.08      0.28      0.11      0.10      0.07      0.03      0.02      0.02
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.3       2.5       1.1       0.9       0.5       0.3       0.2       0.1
12 HOUR SNOW                          2.8                 2.0                 0.8                 0.3
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.6  6.2  5.5  5.0  4.6  4.5  5.0  5.5  5.9  5.5  5.2  4.8  4.6  4.8  5.6  6.2  6.4


...BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)...

DATE                                        MONDAY 05/12/25                         TUESDAY 05/13/25
TIME (LT)          17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17
                   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P

CLOUD COVER        BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   BK
CLOUD COVER (%)    60   70  100  100  100  100  100  100   95   95   70   65   65   70   70   70   70
TEMPERATURE        44   40   36   33   32   32   35   37   37   34   32   32   31   32   35   38   39
MIN/MAX TEMP                           32                  38                  31                  39
WIND DIR            W   SW    S   SW   SW   SW   SW    W    W    W    W    W    W    W    W    W    W
WIND (MPH)         16    8   11    9    8    8    8    6    9    9    6    5    5    4    6    9   11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    10   20   90   90  100  100  100  100   80   80   30   30   10   10   20   20    5
PRECIP TYPE              S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S              S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.01      0.21      0.05      0.19      0.10      0.04      0.00      0.01
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.9       0.4       0.9       0.3       0.3       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.9                 1.3                 0.6                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.7  6.2  5.5  5.0  4.7  4.7  5.3  5.7  5.9  5.6  5.1  4.8  4.6  4.7  5.5  6.1  6.4


...MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)...

DATE                                        MONDAY 05/12/25                         TUESDAY 05/13/25
TIME (LT)          17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17
                   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P

CLOUD COVER        BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    65   70  100  100  100  100  100  100  100  100   80   75   75   80   70   70   70
TEMPERATURE        36   34   33   31   30   31   32   34   35   32   31   31   30   31   32   34   35
MIN/MAX TEMP                           30                  35                  30                  36
WIND DIR            W   SW    S   SW   SW   SW   SW    W    W    W    W    W    W    W    W    W   NW
WIND (MPH)         24    9   10    9    8    9    9    8    9    6    5    5    4    4    9   11   16
WIND GUST (MPH)    42
PRECIP PROB (%)    20   40  100  100  100  100  100  100   80   80   30   30   30   30   40   40   40
PRECIP TYPE         S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.10      0.33      0.18      0.16      0.13      0.05      0.02      0.03
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.4       2.4       1.5       0.8       0.7       0.4       0.2       0.1
12 HOUR SNOW                          2.8                 2.3                 1.1                 0.3
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.5  6.1  5.4  4.8  4.6  4.5  5.0  5.6  5.7  5.5  5.1  4.8  4.6  4.8  5.4  6.1  6.4


...MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)...

DATE                                        MONDAY 05/12/25                         TUESDAY 05/13/25
TIME (LT)          17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17
                   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P

CLOUD COVER        BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    65   70  100  100  100  100  100  100  100  100   85   80   80   80   70   75   70
TEMPERATURE        36   33   32   30   29   30   32   34   35   32   30   31   29   30   31   33   35
MIN/MAX TEMP                           29                  35                  29                  35
WIND DIR            W    S    S    S   SW   SW   SW   SW    W    W    W    W    W    W    W    W    W
WIND (MPH)         23   10   10   10    9   10    9    8    9    4    5    4    4    4    9   11   14
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    20   40  100  100  100  100  100  100   80   80   30   30   30   30   40   40   40
PRECIP TYPE         S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.14      0.36      0.21      0.14      0.13      0.04      0.04      0.03
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.5       2.8       1.9       0.8       0.7       0.4       0.3       0.1
12 HOUR SNOW                          3.3                 2.7                 1.1                 0.4
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.5  6.1  5.3  4.8  4.6  4.4  4.9  5.6  5.7  5.5  5.1  4.8  4.6  4.8  5.4  6.1  6.4


...MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)...

DATE                                        MONDAY 05/12/25                         TUESDAY 05/13/25
TIME (LT)          17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17
                   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P

CLOUD COVER        FW   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   BK   BK   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)    25   60  100  100  100  100  100  100   80   80   75   70   60   65   65   55   50
TEMPERATURE        39   34   34   32   31   31   34   35   34   32   31   32   31   33   34   35   36
MIN/MAX TEMP                           31                  36                  31                  37
WIND DIR            W    S    S    S    S    S   SW    W   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW
WIND (MPH)         17    9   10   10    5    4    5    9    9   10    8    6    6    4    9   11   16
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     5   10   90   90  100  100   90   90   60   60   30   30    5    5    5    5    0
PRECIP TYPE                   S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.18      0.06      0.13      0.19      0.03      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       1.3       0.5       1.0       1.3       0.3       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          1.3                 1.5                 1.6                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.4  6.1  5.4  4.7  4.5  4.6  5.2  5.8  5.9  5.6  5.0  4.7  4.5  4.6  5.4  6.1  6.4

$$

--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---

CODE   TYPE
 T     THUNDERSTORMS
 R     RAIN
 S     SNOW
 I     SLEET
 Z     FREEZING RAIN