Avalanche Weather Guidance
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
921
FWUS46 KMFR 142301
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
301 PM PST THU NOV 14 2024
...MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)...
DATE FRIDAY 11/15/24 SATURDAY 11/16/24
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK BK BK SC SC FW SC SC SC SC SC SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 70 75 60 50 55 40 30 15 30 25 25 30 40 30 45 65
TEMPERATURE 25 24 24 23 22 22 22 22 21 19 19 20 20 17 23 27 28
MIN/MAX TEMP 20 24 15 29
WIND DIR NW NW NW N N N N NW N N N N N NW NW W NW
WIND (MPH) 4 8 9 9 11 13 18 14 13 14 12 9 11 8 4 2 16
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 40 40 20 30 10 5 5 10 10 0 0 0 0 5 5 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.14 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 1.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 2.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.8 4.2 3.9 3.6 3.2 2.9 3.1 3.3 3.0 2.4 2.0 1.9 1.6 1.7 3.1 3.8 4.6
...MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)...
DATE FRIDAY 11/15/24 SATURDAY 11/16/24
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV BK OV BK BK SC SC SC FW SC SC SC SC SC SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 65 75 55 50 45 35 30 20 35 30 30 35 40 35 45 65
TEMPERATURE 25 21 21 22 22 21 24 23 20 16 16 16 14 14 24 26 26
MIN/MAX TEMP 20 25 12 28
WIND DIR N NW NW N NW NW NW NW NW N N N N N N W NW
WIND (MPH) 4 5 8 8 11 12 13 11 11 11 10 6 9 5 3 2 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 40 40 20 30 10 5 5 10 10 0 0 0 0 5 5 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.11 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 1.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.6 4.1 3.9 3.5 3.1 2.8 3.1 3.2 3.0 2.3 2.0 1.9 1.7 1.6 3.0 3.8 4.6
...MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)...
DATE FRIDAY 11/15/24 SATURDAY 11/16/24
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK BK BK SC SC FW FW SC SC SC SC SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 75 75 60 50 55 40 30 15 25 25 25 30 40 35 45 65
TEMPERATURE 25 24 23 24 23 22 21 21 20 18 19 19 19 18 23 27 28
MIN/MAX TEMP 20 24 15 29
WIND DIR NW N NW N N N N NW N N N N N N NW W NW
WIND (MPH) 4 8 9 8 11 12 18 14 13 14 12 9 11 9 4 2 16
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 40 40 20 30 10 5 5 10 10 0 0 0 0 5 5 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.14 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 2.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.8 4.2 3.9 3.6 3.2 2.9 3.2 3.4 3.1 2.5 2.0 1.9 1.6 1.7 3.0 3.8 4.5
...MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)...
DATE FRIDAY 11/15/24 SATURDAY 11/16/24
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV BK BK SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 75 80 75 65 60 45 35 30 40 35 35 35 45 35 45 65
TEMPERATURE 15 14 12 12 12 12 13 12 10 9 10 10 10 10 18 19 19
MIN/MAX TEMP 11 13 8 20
WIND DIR NW NW N N N N N N N N N N NW NW W W N
WIND (MPH) 8 9 11 12 16 19 21 18 19 23 26 26 14 11 4 2 27
WIND GUST (MPH) 47 37 36 62 80 58
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 40 40 20 30 10 5 5 10 10 0 0 0 0 5 5 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.19 0.08 0.03 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 2.5 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 3.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.7 4.2 3.9 3.6 3.2 2.9 3.0 3.2 2.9 2.3 2.0 1.9 1.7 1.8 3.1 3.8 4.6
...ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)...
DATE FRIDAY 11/15/24 SATURDAY 11/16/24
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV BK BK SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 85 85 80 70 65 50 35 30 45 30 35 40 40 35 40 65
TEMPERATURE 25 24 24 24 22 21 20 21 19 17 17 16 16 15 21 26 26
MIN/MAX TEMP 20 23 14 28
WIND DIR NW NW NW N N N NW NW NW NW N N NW N NE W NW
WIND (MPH) 5 8 11 14 16 18 14 12 12 16 13 11 11 9 4 3 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 40 20 20 40 20 5 5 10 10 0 0 0 0 10 10 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.14 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 1.7 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 2.1 0.4 0.1 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.8 4.2 3.9 3.6 3.1 2.8 3.0 3.3 3.0 2.4 2.0 1.8 1.7 1.6 2.7 3.8 4.5
...CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)...
DATE FRIDAY 11/15/24 SATURDAY 11/16/24
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV BK OV SC SC SC SC FW FW FW SC SC SC SC SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 65 75 50 50 40 25 15 15 20 30 25 30 40 40 40 65
TEMPERATURE 32 29 29 29 28 29 28 28 27 24 25 24 23 23 28 33 33
MIN/MAX TEMP 27 30 21 35
WIND DIR NW NW N NW N N N N N N N N N N N NW NW
WIND (MPH) 4 5 8 10 11 14 13 12 12 12 11 8 6 5 3 2 2
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 30 30 20 20 10 0 0 10 10 0 0 0 0 5 5 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.09 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.9 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.7 4.1 3.8 3.4 3.0 2.8 2.9 3.1 3.1 2.6 2.2 2.1 1.7 1.5 2.6 3.8 4.6
...MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)...
DATE FRIDAY 11/15/24 SATURDAY 11/16/24
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV SC BK BK SC SC SC SC SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 80 85 80 80 80 70 45 60 60 45 45 40 50 45 45 65
TEMPERATURE 28 27 26 26 25 25 23 24 24 21 21 21 20 21 25 30 31
MIN/MAX TEMP 22 26 17 31
WIND DIR N NW NW N N NW NW NW NW N N N NW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 4 6 9 11 13 14 14 12 13 14 12 10 10 6 3 2 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 30 50 30 20 10 0 5 10 10 0 0 0 0 5 5 40
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.13 0.10 0.08 0.02 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 1.4 1.1 1.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.6 4.2 3.8 3.5 3.1 2.8 2.8 3.1 3.1 2.6 2.3 2.1 1.8 1.6 2.6 3.8 4.7
...WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)...
DATE FRIDAY 11/15/24 SATURDAY 11/16/24
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV SC BK OV OV BK BK SC BK BK BK OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 85 80 85 80 75 35 60 70 70 60 60 50 60 65 65 90
TEMPERATURE 26 25 24 23 22 20 21 22 21 20 19 18 15 15 24 28 29
MIN/MAX TEMP 20 23 13 30
WIND DIR W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N N NW S S SW W
WIND (MPH) 5 4 5 6 9 12 11 10 12 13 10 13 3 3 3 4 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 60 20 20 50 30 0 10 30 30 20 20 10 10 40 40 80
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.07 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.9 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3
12 HOUR SNOW 1.1 0.4 0.3 0.3
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.4 4.0 3.6 3.1 2.8 2.6 2.7 2.9 2.7 2.3 2.3 2.1 1.7 1.6 2.9 3.8 4.5
...GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)...
DATE FRIDAY 11/15/24 SATURDAY 11/16/24
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC BK BK SC SC SC BK BK BK OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 80 75 80 70 60 25 40 65 65 50 50 45 60 60 65 90
TEMPERATURE 25 24 23 22 21 20 21 22 21 18 18 17 14 13 23 27 28
MIN/MAX TEMP 19 23 12 29
WIND DIR W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N N NW SW S SW W
WIND (MPH) 5 5 6 9 10 12 11 10 11 13 9 11 3 3 3 3 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 60 10 10 50 30 5 10 30 30 20 20 5 5 30 30 80
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.04
6 HOUR SNOW 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
12 HOUR SNOW 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.4
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.4 4.0 3.7 3.2 2.9 2.7 2.8 3.0 2.8 2.3 2.3 2.1 1.7 1.6 2.9 3.8 4.5
...BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)...
DATE FRIDAY 11/15/24 SATURDAY 11/16/24
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK OV BK SC BK SC BK BK BK OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 85 90 90 75 75 55 70 70 65 45 50 45 60 55 65 90
TEMPERATURE 29 28 27 26 25 23 24 25 24 23 20 19 18 18 23 30 31
MIN/MAX TEMP 23 26 16 31
WIND DIR W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N N N SE S S SW
WIND (MPH) 4 4 5 5 5 5 8 8 8 4 3 3 2 3 3 2 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 50 30 30 60 50 30 20 30 30 5 5 5 5 30 30 70
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.08 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 1.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2
12 HOUR SNOW 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.2
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.4 4.0 3.6 3.3 2.8 2.6 2.8 3.0 2.9 2.5 2.1 1.9 1.7 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.2
...MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)...
DATE FRIDAY 11/15/24 SATURDAY 11/16/24
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV BK BK SC BK BK BK OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 85 85 90 85 80 60 75 80 75 65 60 50 60 65 70 90
TEMPERATURE 26 25 24 24 23 22 21 21 21 20 20 19 16 17 24 29 29
MIN/MAX TEMP 21 23 15 30
WIND DIR W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N N W S S SW W
WIND (MPH) 6 5 5 6 10 12 11 11 12 14 11 14 3 4 3 3 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 60 20 20 70 30 5 10 40 40 40 40 10 10 40 40 80
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.12 0.04 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 1.5 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.2
12 HOUR SNOW 2.0 0.7 0.5 0.2
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.4 4.0 3.5 3.2 2.9 2.6 2.6 2.8 2.8 2.4 2.3 2.1 1.7 1.6 2.8 3.7 4.6
...MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)...
DATE FRIDAY 11/15/24 SATURDAY 11/16/24
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK BK OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 90 85 90 85 80 65 70 80 80 70 65 50 60 70 70 90
TEMPERATURE 26 25 24 24 22 21 21 21 21 20 20 19 16 16 24 29 29
MIN/MAX TEMP 20 23 15 30
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N N SW S S SW W
WIND (MPH) 5 4 4 6 10 11 10 11 13 13 10 16 3 4 3 3 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 60 20 20 70 30 5 10 40 40 40 40 10 10 40 40 80
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.11 0.04 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 1.4 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.2
12 HOUR SNOW 1.9 0.6 0.4 0.2
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.4 3.9 3.5 3.2 2.9 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.4 2.3 2.1 1.7 1.6 2.9 3.8 4.7
...MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)...
DATE FRIDAY 11/15/24 SATURDAY 11/16/24
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV BK BK BK BK BK BK BK OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 80 85 85 85 85 75 70 75 65 60 60 55 70 55 65 85
TEMPERATURE 26 25 25 25 24 23 22 23 22 21 22 22 20 20 26 28 29
MIN/MAX TEMP 21 25 19 30
WIND DIR NW NW N N N NW N NW NW N N N W S S S S
WIND (MPH) 8 6 8 10 12 12 13 13 17 18 14 17 4 5 5 2 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 60 40 30 50 30 5 10 20 20 0 0 0 0 10 10 40
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.12 0.09 0.07 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 1.5 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 2.7 1.2 0.4 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.4 4.0 3.6 3.3 3.1 2.8 2.8 3.0 3.0 2.6 2.5 2.3 1.9 1.6 2.6 3.4 4.5
$$
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN