775
FNUS72 KMFL 030754
FWSMFL

Spot Forecast for Birthday Burn Holey Land WMA...Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation
National Weather Service Miami FL
354 AM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on July 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

High pressure positioned north of the area will support a
generally light to moderate easterly flow today over the burn
site. Main forecast concern will be the potential for scattered
showers and thunderstorms in primarily the early to mid afternoon
time frame (peak window noon to 5 pm). These thunderstorms could
result in lightning, and erratic outflow winds. Dispersions will
be fair to good today with warm temperatures expected and peak
heat indices likely approaching 105 degrees.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly Cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms late in the morning. Chance of
                    showers through the day. Chance of
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1100, then 1-8 strikes until
                    1200, then 9-15 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 90-92.
Min humidity........62-66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 8 mph late in
                    the morning. Gusty and erratic winds possible near
                    thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 7 to 8 mph.
Dispersion index....22 increasing to 35 late in the morning.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........43  49  51  52  53  54  54  55
Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........    SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).20  30  30  40  50  50  40  40
LAL.............1   2   3   3   3   3   3   3
Temp............85  87  88  89  89  89  90  89
RH..............82  75  72  68  70  70  66  66
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   SE  E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..3   5   5   6   6   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.7   8   8   9   12  12  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...2.5 3.4 3.7 3.9 4.1 4.0 3.8 3.6
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.7   7   8   8   8   8   8   8
Dispersion idx..22  33  35  37  37  37  35  34
LVORI...........3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...Carr
Requested by...Jacob Larsson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2417217.0/MFL
.DELDT 07/03/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0