Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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FNUS72 KMFL 041318
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Spot Forecast for McD1 Grass...Seminole Tribe of Florida
National Weather Service Miami FL
918 AM EDT Mon Aug 4 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on August 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

Light and variable winds at the burn site today may become erratic in and
around shower and thunderstorms this afternoon. With weak transport winds,
dispersion values will remain in the poor to fair category. Relative humidity
values will drop into the 50s during the afternoon hours but remain above critical
thresholds. Much of the same expected tomorrow as winds remain light but rain
chances continue on the rise.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Slight chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms early in the afternoon.
                    Showers and thunderstorms likely late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 94.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 8 mph.
Dispersion index....23 increasing to 38 late in the morning, then
                    decreasing to 25 late in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 15 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........2   10  15  27  23  34  36  39
Weather cov.....            SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........            SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   10  20  60  70  70  70
Temp............87  89  91  91  93  91  89  87
RH..............75  68  62  60  56  60  64  68
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.8   9   10  10  10  10  10  9
Mix hgt (kft)...2.6 3.6 4.5 5.0 5.1 4.5 3.5 2.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE
Transp wind spd.7   8   7   7   6   5   5   5
Dispersion idx..23  34  39  41  36  29  21  15
LVORI...........3   3   1   1   1   2   2   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely early in the evening, then
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms early in
                    the evening. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms late in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 74.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 7 mph.
Dispersion index....6.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........59  57  70  54  51  49  44  31  20  9   8   6
Weather cov.....LKY CHC CHC SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........LKY CHC CHC SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).60  50  30  20  20  10  10  0   0   0   0   0
Temp............85  83  81  78  77  77  77  76  76  76  75  75
RH..............75  80  85  94  97  97  94  97  97  97  97  97
20 FT wind dir..SE  S   SE  E   E   SE  E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.8   7   7   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.6   6   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Dispersion idx..10  7   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2
LVORI...........3   4   5   6   7   7   8   8   8   9   8   8

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 95.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 3 to 5 mph shifting to the northeast
                    6 to 7 mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....4 increasing to 27.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........8   12  2   1   8   14  15  17  18  27  36  45
Weather cov.....                                LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....                                RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                LKY LKY LKY LKY
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  70  70  70  70
Temp............74  75  78  83  87  89  91  93  93  93  92  90
RH..............97  97  97  88  77  70  64  58  56  56  58  62
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3
20 FT wind gust.3   3   5   5   6   7   7   8   8   9   10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.3 3.5 4.6 5.4 5.7 5.4 4.7 3.7
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   NE  NE
Transp wind spd.5   3   3   3   5   5   5   3   3   5   6   7
Dispersion idx..2   2   3   5   14  21  27  23  24  27  30  30
LVORI...........9   8   8   5   4   3   2   2   2   2   2   2

$$
Forecaster...Hadi
Requested by...Jeffrey Radakovic
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2519203.0/MFL
.DELDT 08/04/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0