Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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Hydrologic Outlook
National Weather Service Miami FL
324 PM EDT Tue Sep 24 2024

...Heavy Rainfall From Tropical Storm Helene Rest Of This Week...

Tropical Storm Helene is forecast by the National Hurricane Center
to move through the eastern Gulf of Mexico through Wednesday and
Thursday. This will bring deep tropical moisture across South
Florida with PWAT values reaching the 2.3 to 2.6 inch range. The
aforementioned PWAT values will be at the maximum climatological
values for this time of year supporting the potential of heavy
rainfall, especially across urban areas. Potential rainfall
amounts between tonight through Saturday morning looks to be
between 3 to 5 inches over the east coast metro areas of South
Florida with locally higher amounts possible where a duration of
heavy rain continues for an extended period of time.


There is still some uncertainty regarding the forecast over the
next couple of days. Users are reminded that shifts in the track
of the system may causes changes in rainfall totals as
uncertainty still remains. A Flood Watch may be issued if
confidence and potential rainfall amounts increase. Interests in
South Florida should stay tuned to the latest forecasts from NWS
Miami and the National Hurricane Center.

$$

Baxter