642
FXUS62 KMFL 281730
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
1230 PM EST Fri Feb 28 2025

...New SHORT TERM, AVIATION, MARINE...

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Saturday)
Issued at 1225 PM EST Fri Feb 28 2025

A weak surface front draped over the Lake Okeechobee region will
continue to push south across the area today. This frontal passage
will be dry in nature, as the 12Z sounding shows ample dry air aloft
and PWATs below 1 inch. An area of high pressure is expected to
build in behind the front over the course of the short term,
allowing for a continuation of the warm and sunny conditions through
Saturday.

Temperatures today will remain comfortable with afternoon highs in
the upper 70s and morning lows in the mid 50s to low 60s. Saturday
the air mass moderates a little as flow remains weak, with highs
warming up to around 80.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through Thursday)
Issued at 109 AM EST Fri Feb 28 2025

Overall benign/dry weather is expected to prevail through the long term
across SoFLo. Sprawling high pressure will dominate the region,
with weak pressure gradients keeping light winds across SoFlo
on Sunday. As the high migrates further to the east early next week,
winds will gradually shift to the east, then veering more southward
by the middle of the work week.

Long range model solutions are in fair agreement in having a developing
a trough/low complex over the NE CONUS, and dragging an associated
frontal boundary across the SE states and into the Florida peninsula in
the Wed night/Thu time frame. But rain chances remain very modest with
guidance keeping POPs in the 20 percent chance range attm.

The synoptic scenario should not change enough to significantly moderate
temperatures throughout the long term with afternoon highs reaching the
upper 70s to low 80s, and morning lows in the upper 70s inland to mid 60s
near the coasts.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1225 PM EST Fri Feb 28 2025

VFR conditions with light winds gradually shifting out of the
northeast later this afternoon. A subtle Gulf breeze could develop
and impact KAPF. Light and variable winds expected overnight,
becoming more westerly tomorrow.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1225 PM EST Fri Feb 28 2025

Light northerly/northwesterly winds will gradually shift to a
more northeasterly flow today, remaining light, along with seas
of 3 feet or less. Generally benign boating conditions will
prevail through the forecast period at all South Florida coastal
waters.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            64  81  59  80 /   0   0   0   0
West Kendall     59  83  56  81 /   0   0   0   0
Opa-Locka        62  83  58  80 /   0   0   0   0
Homestead        61  81  58  80 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Lauderdale  63  80  60  77 /   0   0   0   0
N Ft Lauderdale  63  81  59  78 /   0   0   0   0
Pembroke Pines   63  84  60  82 /   0   0   0   0
West Palm Beach  61  81  57  77 /   0   0   0   0
Boca Raton       62  82  58  78 /   0   0   0   0
Naples           59  76  58  77 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...ATV
LONG TERM....AR
AVIATION...ATV