862
FNUS74 KMEG 131548
FWSMEG

Spot Forecast for TNCAT/Vigilant Guard USAR 2025 EXERCISE...TNAHIMT
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1048 AM CDT Tue May 13 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1100 CDT on May 13.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Isolated to scattered rain showers are possible this afternoon,
but lightning concerns are low. Cloud coverage is expected to vary
with scattered to overcast skies alongside cloud bases below
3000-3500 ft through this afternoon. Winds will be 5-10 mph from
the west-southwest.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers late in the morning, then chance of
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    early in the afternoon. Slight chance of
                    showers early in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Chance of thunder...31 percent.
Chance of lightning.31 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind chill..........MISSING.
Surface winds (mph).West winds around 8 mph.
Rainfall amount.....0.02 inches.
Visibility..........10.
Dewpoint............65.

TIME (CDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........73     47     44     41
Weather cov.....S CHC  CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........       S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).20     30     10     10
Chc of thdr (%).20     30     10     10
Chc of ltng (%).20     30     10     10
Temp............70     75     78     79
Dewpoint........65     65     66     65
RH..............84     71     67     62
Wind chill (F)..M      M      M      M
Surface wind....SW 8   W 8    W 8    W 8
Surface wnd gst.10     13     13     10
Visibility (sm).10     10     10     10

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Chance of thunder...7 percent.
Chance of lightning.7 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 65.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind chill..........MISSING.
Surface winds (mph).Southwest winds around 6 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light, then becoming southeast
                    6 to 9 mph with gusts to around 22 mph
                    overnight.
Rainfall amount.....0.01 inches.
Visibility..........9.
Dewpoint............66.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........32     20     15     12     28     42
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      10
Chc of thdr (%).0      0      0      0      0      10
Chc of ltng (%).0      0      0      0      0      10
Temp............80     76     71     69     67     66
Dewpoint........65     67     66     65     66     65
RH..............60     74     84     87     97     97
Wind chill (F)..M      M      M      M      M      M
Surface wind....SW 6   S 4    SE 5   SE 6   SE 8   SE 8
Surface wnd gst.9      7      9      12     22     14
Visibility (sm).10     10     10     9      9      9

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Chance of thunder...9 percent.
Chance of lightning.9 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Wind chill..........MISSING.
Surface winds (mph).South winds 9 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 22 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Rainfall amount.....0.01 inches.
Visibility..........8.
Dewpoint............66.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........48     51     59     47     42     41
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     0      0      0      0      0
Chc of thdr (%).10     0      0      0      0      0
Chc of ltng (%).10     0      0      0      0      0
Temp............65     69     74     78     80     83
Dewpoint........65     67     67     68     68     68
RH..............100    93     79     73     66     61
Wind chill (F)..M      M      M      M      M      M
Surface wind....SE 9   S 10   S 10   S 11   S 13   S 13
Surface wnd gst.16     18     20     21     22     22
Visibility (sm).8      8      10     10     10     10

$$
Forecaster...Bruss
Requested by...Matthew Lupo
Type of request...SAR
.TAG 2513878.0/MEG
.DELDT 05/13/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL mlupo@nolensvilletn.gov