Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
303
FNUS74 KMEG 261257
FWSMEG
Spot Forecast for Speed Rx...Tennessee Division of Forestry
National Weather Service Memphis TN
757 AM CDT Wed Mar 26 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on March 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Initially light winds and high relative humidity will give way to
warm and very dry conditions this afternoon. Relative humidity
will fall into the lower 20s this afternoon and transport winds
will increase and shift from the southwest to the northwest.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Min humidity........23 percent.
Dewpoint............38 decreasing to 31 late in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west around 5 mph late in
the morning, then shifting to the northwest
late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......7300 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).400-7300 ft MSL.
Mixing height (m)...122-2225 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 8 mph shifting to the southwest
around 8 mph late in the morning, then shifting
to the west 9 to 15 mph late in the morning
shifting to the northwest 20 to 22 mph in the
afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast around 3 meters/second shifting to
the south around 4 meters/second late in the
morning, then shifting to the west 4 to 7
meters/second late in the morning shifting to
the northwest 9 to 10 meters/second in the
afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (400 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to fair (21700 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........14 13 9 5 3 3 2 3 2 2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............47 51 57 61 64 66 68 68 69 68
Dewpoint........39 40 39 39 37 36 33 31 30 29
RH..............74 66 51 44 37 33 27 25 23 23
20 FT wind dir..SE S SW W W W NW NW NW NW
20 FT wind spd..2 2 2 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT wind gust.6 6 7 10 10 12 11 11 12 10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 1.1 1.7 2.8 4.8 6.1 7.1 7.3 7.0 6.4
Mx ht msl (kft).0.4 1.1 1.7 2.8 4.8 6.1 7.1 7.3 7.0 6.4
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.5 1.9 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.0
Transp wind dir.SE S SW W W W W NW W NW
Transp wind spd.7 8 8 9 15 20 21 22 21 20
Trans wind dir..SE S SW W W W W NW W NW
Trans spd (m/s).3 4 4 4 7 9 9 10 9 9
Vrate kt-ft/1K..0 1 2 4 10 16 20 22 20 17
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 46.
Max humidity........68 percent.
Dewpoint............32 increasing to 35 overnight.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).300-2500 ft MSL.
Mixing height (m)...91-762 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....North 8 to 15 mph shifting to the east around 8
mph overnight.
Transport winds m/s.Northwest around 7 meters/second shifting to
the east around 4 meters/second early in the
morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (300 knot-ft).
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........4 4 4 9 8 17 12 10 7 6 15 25
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............67 63 58 56 53 52 51 50 49 49 48 47
Dewpoint........30 30 33 33 33 34 34 34 35 35 35 35
RH..............25 29 39 42 46 50 52 54 58 58 60 63
20 FT wind dir..NW N N NE NE E E E E SE SE SE
20 FT wind spd..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3
20 FT wind gust.8 6 6 6 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 7
Mix hgt (kft)...2.5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Mx ht msl (kft).2.5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Mix hgt (km)....0.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.NW N N N NE NE E E E E E E
Transp wind spd.15 10 10 8 7 8 7 8 8 8 8 8
Trans wind dir..NW N N N NE NE E E E E E E
Trans spd (m/s).7 4 4 4 3 4 3 4 4 4 4 4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance of rain
showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Dewpoint............38 increasing to 46.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 7 mph early in
the morning, then shifting to the southwest 6
to 7 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).300-4800 ft MSL.
Mixing height (m)...91-1463 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 12 mph shifting to the south 13
to 20 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.South 4 to 9 meters/second.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (300 knot-ft).
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........25 26 29 26 16 15 19 23 26 29 32 35
Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............47 46 48 53 61 65 68 72 73 75 76 75
Dewpoint........36 36 38 39 40 40 41 42 43 45 46 47
RH..............65 68 68 59 46 40 37 34 34 34 34 37
20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE S S S S SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..3 3 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 6
20 FT wind gust.7 8 10 10 12 13 14 14 14 14 14 13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.3 1.8 2.7 3.8 4.2 4.5 4.8 3.3
Mx ht msl (kft).0.3 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.3 1.8 2.7 3.8 4.2 4.5 4.8 3.3
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.0
Transp wind dir.E SE SE SE S S S S SW SW SW SW
Transp wind spd.8 9 9 12 13 14 16 20 20 20 18 16
Trans wind dir..E SE SE SE S S S S SW SW SW SW
Trans spd (m/s).4 4 4 5 6 6 7 9 9 9 8 7
Vrate kt-ft/1K..0 0 0 1 2 3 6 10 11 12 12 7
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
$$
Forecaster...Chiuppi
Requested by...James Moore (burn boss)
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2507995.0/MEG
.DELDT 03/26/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL james.edward.moore@tn.gov