169
FNUS74 KMEG 060749
FWSMEG

Spot Forecast for HS IU 94-1...USFS
National Weather Service Memphis TN
249 AM CDT Tue May 6 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on May 06.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

There are a few very light showers skirting across north
Mississippi this morning, but rain will likely not reach Holly
Springs until at least 6PM tonight. Looks like this afternoon will
be mostly dry with mild temperatures in the mid 70s and MinRH
values around 40%. Once the onset of rain begins tonight, expect
light to moderate showers and the occasional thunderstorm through
early Wednesday morning. As of right now, the fog potential for
Wednesday morning looks low (less than 20%) due to the amount of
thick cloud cover.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........39 percent.
Dewpoint............50.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...792-1768 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 10 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 3 to 4 meters/second.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........35  41  50  57  59  66  73  78
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10
Temp............69  71  74  75  76  77  77  76
Dewpoint........52  51  50  49  50  50  51  52
RH..............100 100 100 100 100 67  39  42
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.6   7   7   8   8   8   10  8
Mix hgt (kft)...2.6 4.5 5.2 5.6 5.8 5.6 5.8 4.8
Mix hgt (km)....0.8 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.7 1.8 1.5
Transp wind dir.E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.7   7   8   9   8   8   9   10
Trans wind dir..E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Trans spd (m/s).3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Showers likely in the
                    evening. Slight chance of thunderstorms through
                    the night. Showers overnight.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 59.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Dewpoint............54 increasing to 57 late in the evening.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east around 5 mph after 3
                    am. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms late in the evening. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms after
                    3 am.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-488 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 9 to 13 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 4 to 6 meters/second.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........83  87  89  91  92  91  90  91  89  87  86  88
Weather cov.....    CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF LKY LKY DEF
Weather type....    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                SCH SCH SCH             SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).10  40  50  50  60  60  70  80  80  60  60  80
Temp............74  72  69  66  64  63  62  61  61  61  61  61
Dewpoint........52  53  55  55  56  57  57  58  58  58  58  58
RH..............45  49  61  68  75  81  84  90  90  90  90  90
20 FT wind dir..SE  E   SE  SE  E   SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.8   7   7   6   7   8   10  10  10  11  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5
Mix hgt (km)....0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  S   S   SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.10  10  9   9   10  12  13  12  13  13  9   13
Trans wind dir..SE  SE  S   S   SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E
Trans spd (m/s).4   4   4   4   4   5   6   5   6   6   4   6

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and slight chance of thunderstorms in
                    the morning, then chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........71 percent.
Dewpoint............61.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph in the morning and
                    early afternoon becoming light. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-579 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 12 to 14 mph shifting to the south 8
                    to 9 mph in the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 4 to 6 meters/second.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........90        81        86        80
Weather cov.....LIKELY    LIKELY    LIKELY    CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC     S CHC     S CHC     CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).70        70        70        40
Temp............59        62        69        72
Dewpoint........59        61        62        63
RH..............100       97        80        72
20 FT wind......E 5G12    E 5G12    SE 5G11   SE 3G10
Mix hgt (ft)....500       1000      1600      1800
Mix hgt (m).....150       300       490       550
Transport wind..E 12      E 13      SE 12     S 9
Tran wind (m/s).E 5       E 6       SE 5      S 4

$$
Forecaster...Dirkes
Requested by...John Townsend
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2513105.0/MEG
.DELDT 05/06/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL john.townsend@usda.gov