Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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FNUS74 KMEG 281106
FWSMEG

Spot Forecast for HS IU 36-1...USFS
National Weather Service Memphis TN
506 AM CST Fri Feb 28 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CST on February 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Rain-free weather will persist across the area into the weekend.
Minimum relative humidity values are expected to drop between 20
to 25 percent this afternoon. Southwest 20 ft winds will increase
to 8-10 mph with occasional gusts ahead of an approaching cold
front. Fog is not expected into Saturday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........24 percent.
Dewpoint............33.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...427-1494 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 24 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest 7 to 11 meters/second.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3400 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (15700 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.

TIME (CST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........3   3   3   3   3   3   2   3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............60  64  67  69  70  70  70  68
Dewpoint........33  32  33  32  32  33  33  34
RH..............36  30  28  26  24  25  25  28
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..5   7   8   8   8   8   8   7
20 FT wind gust.12  14  16  17  17  16  16  14
Mix hgt (kft)...1.9 3.5 4.5 4.7 4.9 4.9 4.8 1.4
Mix hgt (km)....0.6 1.1 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.5 0.4
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  W   W   W   SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.15  20  22  22  22  22  24  17
Trans wind dir..SW  SW  W   W   W   SW  SW  SW
Trans spd (m/s).7   9   10  10  10  10  11  8
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4   9   14  14  15  15  16  3
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 45.
Max humidity........73 percent.
Dewpoint............35.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 6 mph in the evening and
                    overnight becoming light.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-213 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....West 14 to 16 mph shifting to the northwest
                    around 13 mph after 3 am.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest around 6 meters/second shifting to
                    the northwest after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (800 knot-ft).
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........3   3   3   3   4   4   4   3   3   4   5   6
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............64  62  58  56  55  53  53  52  51  49  47  47
Dewpoint........35  35  35  35  35  34  36  36  35  35  36  35
RH..............34  36  42  45  47  48  52  54  54  58  65  63
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   3   2
20 FT wind gust.13  14  14  14  14  14  13  13  12  12  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  N
Transp wind spd.14  15  16  16  16  16  16  16  15  13  13  13
Trans wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  N
Trans spd (m/s).6   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   6   6   6
Vrate kt-ft/1K..1   1   1   1   1   2   1   1   1   1   1   1
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Dewpoint............36 decreasing to 31 in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming north 5 to 7 mph early in
                    the morning.
Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-1341 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....North 13 to 18 mph.
Transport winds m/s.North 6 to 8 meters/second.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (700 knot-ft).
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.

TIME (CST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........5         21        30        15
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         0
Temp............46        52        58        59
Dewpoint........38        37        33        31
RH..............73        56        39        34
20 FT wind......NW 2G10   N 5G12    N 7G14    N 7G14
Mix hgt (ft)....400       2000      3900      4400
Mix hgt (m).....120       610       1190      1340
Transport wind..N 13      N 16      N 17      N 18
Tran wind (m/s).N 6       N 7       N 8       N 8
Vrate kt-ft/1K..1         4         9         11
Ventrate Cat....POOR      POOR      POOR      POOR

$$
Forecaster...Chaskelson
Requested by...John Townsend
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2504261.0/MEG
.DELDT 02/28/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL john.townsend@usda.gov