Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
538
FNUS54 KMEG 142131
FWFMEG
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
330 PM CST Fri Nov 14 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Minimum RH values will remain elevated (50-60%) as return flow
continues to bring in moisture. Gusty winds combined with dry
soils could cause a minuscule grass fire threat for Saturday, but
RH values reside high enough. A wet and unsettled pattern will
kick off on Monday bringing showers and thunderstorms with
wetting rain chances forecast each day.
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-151000-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
331 PM CST Fri Nov 14 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%)
Precip Type None None None None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Temp (24h trend) 59 (+8) 77 (0) 53 68
RH % (24h trend) 96 (+4) 57 (+1) 94 32
AM Wind 20ft (mph) SW 12 G22 N 7
PM Wind 20ft (mph) S 8 SW 13 G23 SW 7 G17 NE 6
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 700 900
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2400 2900
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 800 1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2700 3100
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 12 NE 7
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 26 NE 15
Vent Index (m2/s) 9600 7000
Category Day 4 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 68 58
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 13 N 8
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 28 N 17
Dispersion Index 16 52 12 38
Stability Class F C F B
Stagnation Index 2 2 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
37 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 50. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the
upper 60s. Minimum RH 62 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in
the lower 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum RH 68 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum RH 62 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-151000-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
331 PM CST Fri Nov 14 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%)
Precip Type None None None None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Temp (24h trend) 59 (+3) 77 (0) 58 72
RH % (24h trend) 95 (+2) 59 (+5) 100 39
AM Wind 20ft (mph) SW 8 G21 N 5
PM Wind 20ft (mph) S 5 SW 9 G22 SW 5 NE 5
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 900 1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2900 3100
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 900 1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 3100 3300
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 11 NE 6
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 24 NE 14
Vent Index (m2/s) 9900 6000
Category Day 4 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 68 62
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 12 NE 7
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 26 NE 16
Dispersion Index 15 58 11 33
Stability Class F C F B
Stagnation Index 3 2 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows around 60. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
67 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs around 70.
Minimum RH 63 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 69 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
TNZ001>004-019>022-151000-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
331 PM CST Fri Nov 14 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%) 10
Precip Type None None None None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Temp (24h trend) 54 (+8) 75 (0) 52 67
RH % (24h trend) 99 (+9) 60 (+4) 95 29
AM Wind 20ft (mph) SW 11 G22 N 6
PM Wind 20ft (mph) S 5 SW 12 G23 SW 7 G17 N 5
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 700 900
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2500 2900
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 900 1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2900 3300
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 12 N 7
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 26 N 15
Vent Index (m2/s) 10800 7000
Category Day 4 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 68 56
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 13 N 8
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 29 N 18
Dispersion Index 15 56 12 36
Stability Class F C F B
Stagnation Index 3 2 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
32 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 40s. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
63 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in
the lower 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the
upper 60s. Minimum RH 69 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Lows around 50.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
TNZ048>055-088>091-151000-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
331 PM CST Fri Nov 14 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%) 10
Precip Type None None None None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Temp (24h trend) 54 (+8) 76 (0) 56 70
RH % (24h trend) 99 (+6) 59 (+4) 97 35
AM Wind 20ft (mph) SW 10 G22 N 6
PM Wind 20ft (mph) S 4 SW 12 G22 SW 7 G17 N 5
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 900 900
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2800 2900
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1000 1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 3200 3200
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 12 N 6
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 26 N 14
Vent Index (m2/s) 12000 6000
Category Day 4 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 69 60
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 13 N 8
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 28 N 17
Dispersion Index 14 58 13 32
Stability Class F C F B
Stagnation Index 3 2 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
34 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH
61 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in
the lower 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 66 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum RH 62 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-151000-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
331 PM CST Fri Nov 14 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%) 10
Precip Type None None None None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Temp (24h trend) 54 (+3) 77 (0) 57 75
RH % (24h trend) 99 (+4) 57 (+4) 100 45
AM Wind 20ft (mph) SW 9 G20 NW 5
PM Wind 20ft (mph) S 4 SW 11 G22 SW 6 G18 N 5
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1000 1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 3200 3400
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1000 1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 3400 3700
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 10 N 5
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 23 N 12
Vent Index (m2/s) 10000 5500
Category Day 4 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 69 65
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 11 N 6
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 24 N 13
Dispersion Index 14 54 12 27
Stability Class F C F B
Stagnation Index 3 2 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
clear. Lows in the upper 50s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
68 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
60 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 66 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-151000-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
331 PM CST Fri Nov 14 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%) 10
Precip Type None None None None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Temp (24h trend) 51 (+6) 77 (+1) 57 76
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+4) 51 (-1) 99 39
AM Wind 20ft (mph) SW 7 G18 NW 5
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var SW 10 G20 SW 6 N 4
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1000 1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 3200 3500
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1100 1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 3600 3900
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 10 N 6
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 23 N 13
Vent Index (m2/s) 11000 7200
Category Day 4 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 69 65
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 10 N 6
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 23 N 13
Dispersion Index 11 55 12 32
Stability Class F C F B
Stagnation Index 3 2 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
64 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
54 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in
the mid 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 61 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs around 70.
Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$