Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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995
FNUS54 KMEG 052031
FWFMEG

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
331 PM CDT Sun Oct 5 2025

.DISCUSSION...

Fire weather concerns remain low with minimum relative humidity
values sticking around 40 to 50 percent. 20 ft winds are slightly
elevated today with gusts to around 20 mph possible. Wetting rains
will keep fire concerns low through the middle of the week with
anywhere from 1 to 2 inches of rainfall expected across much of
the region with the potential for locally higher rainfall totals.

ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-060900-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
331 PM CDT Sun Oct 5 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            50           0            50
Precip Chance (%)     20           70           70           70
Precip Type           None         Tstms        Showers      Tstms
Precip Amount         0.00         0.32         0.24         0.28
Precip Duration (hrs)              5            5            6
Precip Begin                       6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      66 (+7)      78 (-9)      67           79
RH % (24h trend)      99 (+11)     79 (+31)     100          76
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 SE  5                     Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    E  5         SE  6        SE  4        N  4
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  400                       600
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 1400                      1900
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  500                       600
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 1600                      2100
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SE  5                     N  4
Transport Wnd (mph)                SE 12                     N  9
Vent Index (m2/s)                  2500                      2400
Category Day                       2                         2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              74                        73
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SE  6                     NE  5
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SE 14                     NE 12
Dispersion Index      13           22           8            15
Stability Class       F            C            F            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            1            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-060900-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
331 PM CDT Sun Oct 5 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            50           20           50
Precip Chance (%)     20           70           70           70
Precip Type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.00         0.14         0.21         0.25
Precip Duration (hrs)              6            5            6
Precip Begin                       6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      69 (+7)      81 (-7)      68           82
RH % (24h trend)      99 (+10)     74 (+27)     100          74
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 SE  4                     Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    E  4         SE  5        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  600                       800
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 1800                      2500
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  600                       800
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 2000                      2700
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SE  5                     NW  4
Transport Wnd (mph)                SE 12                     NW  9
Vent Index (m2/s)                  3000                      3200
Category Day                       2                         2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              75                        76
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SE  7                     W  6
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SE 15                     W 14
Dispersion Index      13           26           10           20
Stability Class       F            C            F            B
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-060900-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
331 PM CDT Sun Oct 5 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            20           50           50
Precip Chance (%)     10           70           70           80
Precip Type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.00         0.13         0.26         0.46
Precip Duration (hrs)              6            5            11
Precip Begin                       6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      64 (+6)      79 (-8)      65           80
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+5)     72 (+26)     100          79
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 SE  5                     S  4
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    SE  5        SE  6        Lgt/Var      W  4
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  500                       400
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 1600                      1200
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  600                       500
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 2000                      1600
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SE  7                     S  4
Transport Wnd (mph)                SE 15                     S  9
Vent Index (m2/s)                  4200                      2000
Category Day                       3                         2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              73                        74
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SE  7                     S  7
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SE 16                     S 15
Dispersion Index      12           30           10           21
Stability Class       F            C            E            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            2            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 60s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-060900-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
331 PM CDT Sun Oct 5 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            20           20           50
Precip Chance (%)     20           70           60           80
Precip Type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.00         0.21         0.19         0.38
Precip Duration (hrs)              6            5            11
Precip Begin                       6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      65 (+7)      80 (-7)      66           80
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+6)     73 (+25)     100          78
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 SE  6                     S  4
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    E  6         SE  7        SE  4        W  4
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  400                       600
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 1400                      1900
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  500                       700
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 1800                      2300
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SE  7                     SW  5
Transport Wnd (mph)                SE 15                     SW 10
Vent Index (m2/s)                  3500                      3500
Category Day                       2                         2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              73                        76
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SE  8                     S  8
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SE 18                     S 17
Dispersion Index      13           31           10           26
Stability Class       F            C            F            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
64 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-060900-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
331 PM CDT Sun Oct 5 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            20           0            50
Precip Chance (%)     40           70           60           70
Precip Type           Showers      Tstms        Showers      Tstms
Precip Amount         0.01         0.07         0.13         0.26
Precip Duration (hrs) 1            4            5            9
Precip Begin          12 AM        Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      69 (+6)      82 (-6)      66           84
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+13)    73 (+25)     100          72
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 SE  6                     Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    E  6         SE  7        SE  4        Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  700                       800
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 2200                      2800
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  700                       900
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 2400                      3000
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SE  6                     SW  4
Transport Wnd (mph)                SE 14                     SW  9
Vent Index (m2/s)                  4200                      3600
Category Day                       3                         2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              74                        78
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SE  8                     SW  6
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SE 18                     SW 14
Dispersion Index      15           30           10           23
Stability Class       E            C            F            B
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 60s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
66 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-060900-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
331 PM CDT Sun Oct 5 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            20           20           50
Precip Chance (%)     30           60           40           70
Precip Type           Showers      Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.01         0.13         0.06         0.26
Precip Duration (hrs) 0            4            2            8
Precip Begin          3 AM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      67 (+5)      81 (-5)      66           84
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+8)     68 (+19)     100          66
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 SE  6                     S  4
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    E  7 G17     SE  7        SE  4        Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  500                       900
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 1700                      2900
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  700                       1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 2100                      3300
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SE  7                     SW  5
Transport Wnd (mph)                SE 15                     SW 10
Vent Index (m2/s)                  4900                      5000
Category Day                       3                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              72                        77
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SE  8                     S  6
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SE 18                     S 14
Dispersion Index      15           31           11           27
Stability Class       E            C            F            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
68 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
58 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 45 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.

$$