Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
171
FNUS54 KMEG 192131
FWFMEG
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
330 PM CST Wed Nov 19 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Wetting rain chances return on Thursday and will persist through
the end of the week. MinRH values will remain above 50% for the
foreseeable future with additional rain chances returning next
week. Fire weather concerns remain low.
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-201000-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
330 PM CST Wed Nov 19 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 50 50 50 0
Precip Chance (%) 50 90 90 80
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Showers
Precip Amount 0.05 0.56 0.21 0.11
Precip Duration (hrs) 1 9 12 7
Precip Begin 11 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 53 (-1) 68 (+3) 60 73
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+2) 87 (+19) 100 78
AM Wind 20ft (mph) E 4 S 8 G17
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var E 5 Lgt/Var SW 9 G18
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 200 700
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 700 2300
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 300 800
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 1000 2500
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 4 SW 9
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 8 SW 20
Vent Index (m2/s) 1200 7200
Category Day 1 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 69 66
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 3 SW 10
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 7 SW 23
Dispersion Index 9 11 11 42
Stability Class E C D C
Stagnation Index 3 1 1
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 50s. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
67 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
65 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 40s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum RH 73 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower
50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum RH 76 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
57 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-201000-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
330 PM CST Wed Nov 19 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 50 20 0
Precip Chance (%) 30 80 70 70
Precip Type Showers Tstms Tstms Showers
Precip Amount 0.00 0.34 0.12 0.09
Precip Duration (hrs) 1 7 6 6
Precip Begin 10 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 61 (0) 76 (+2) 63 76
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+1) 76 (+4) 100 76
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var S 6
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var SW 7
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 500 700
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 1600 2200
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 600 700
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 1800 2400
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 5 SW 8
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 12 SW 18
Vent Index (m2/s) 3000 5600
Category Day 2 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 73 67
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 5 SW 9
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 10 SW 21
Dispersion Index 7 21 21 38
Stability Class E C D C
Stagnation Index 3 2 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 50s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. North winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
63 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid
50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum RH 76 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
64 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
TNZ001>004-019>022-201000-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
330 PM CST Wed Nov 19 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Cloudy Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 50 50 0
Precip Chance (%) 40 90 90 90
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Showers
Precip Amount 0.00 0.59 0.18 0.18
Precip Duration (hrs) 1 9 12 11
Precip Begin 2 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 50 (-10) 69 (+4) 58 72
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+1) 86 (+14) 100 79
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var S 6
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var SE 4 Lgt/Var SW 8
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 200 500
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 500 1700
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 300 600
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 900 2100
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 4 SW 9
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 8 SW 20
Vent Index (m2/s) 1200 5400
Category Day 1 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 68 66
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) S 5 SW 11
500m Tspt Wind (mph) S 10 SW 24
Dispersion Index 6 11 11 40
Stability Class E C D C
Stagnation Index 3 1 1 1
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the mid 50s. West winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
67 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
59 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 40s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower
50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum RH 77 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 40s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
59 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
TNZ048>055-088>091-201000-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
330 PM CST Wed Nov 19 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 50 20 20
Precip Chance (%) 30 80 70 80
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.02 0.37 0.12 0.13
Precip Duration (hrs) 1 7 9 11
Precip Begin 1 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 54 (-10) 73 (0) 59 73
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+2) 81 (+13) 100 78
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var S 7
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var SW 8
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 300 500
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 1000 1500
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 400 600
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 1400 1900
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 5 SW 8
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 12 SW 17
Vent Index (m2/s) 2000 4800
Category Day 2 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 71 65
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 6 SW 10
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 12 SW 22
Dispersion Index 6 19 13 34
Stability Class E C D C
Stagnation Index 3 2 2 1
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper
50s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
66 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
58 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid
50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum RH 77 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 40s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH
62 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-201000-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
330 PM CST Wed Nov 19 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 50 20 20
Precip Chance (%) 20 50 50 80
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.00 0.12 0.08 0.12
Precip Duration (hrs) 2 2 7
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 62 (-2) 80 (+1) 62 76
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+4) 64 (-6) 100 77
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 4 S 7
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 Lgt/Var SW 8
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 700 600
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2300 1900
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 800 700
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2600 2200
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 6 SW 7
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 14 SW 16
Vent Index (m2/s) 4800 4900
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 73 67
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 5 SW 8
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 12 SW 18
Dispersion Index 8 29 14 35
Stability Class E C D C
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. North winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 50s. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs around 70.
Minimum RH 63 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid
50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum RH 76 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
65 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-201000-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
330 PM CST Wed Nov 19 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0 20
Precip Chance (%) 10 40 40 80
Precip Type None Tstms Showers Tstms
Precip Amount 0.00 0.13 0.04 0.20
Precip Duration (hrs) 2 2 11
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 59 (-5) 80 (+2) 59 74
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+2) 60 (-7) 99 74
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var S 6
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var S 7
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 600 400
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 1900 1300
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 700 500
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2300 1700
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 6 S 7
Transport Wnd (mph) S 13 S 15
Vent Index (m2/s) 4200 3500
Category Day 3 2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 72 65
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 6 SW 8
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 12 SW 18
Dispersion Index 6 22 11 29
Stability Class F C D C
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 1
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows around
60. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 50s. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 40s. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
60 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$