Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
231
FNUS54 KMEG 152031
FWFMEG
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
330 PM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Fire danger is expected to remain low through the forecast period.
Minimum relative humidity values will be above 30 percent with
light 20ft winds. Wetting rain chances will increase this weekend
ahead of a cold front with the potential for severe weather
Saturday evening and Sunday morning. Weather will then be
significantly cooler, and drier, moving into the beginning of next
week.
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-160900-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
330 PM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Pcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%)
Precip Type None None None None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Temp (24h trend) 58 (+1) 84 (+1) 58 86
RH % (24h trend) 94 (+3) 42 (+3) 84 41
AM Wind 20ft (mph) E 5 SE 4
PM Wind 20ft (mph) NE 5 E 8 E 5 S 4
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1200 1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4000 3700
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1300 1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 4300 3900
Transport Wnd (m/s) E 6 S 4
Transport Wnd (mph) E 14 S 8
Vent Index (m2/s) 7800 4800
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 75 74
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) E 7 S 4
500m Tspt Wind (mph) E 16 S 8
Dispersion Index 9 40 12 15
Stability Class F B E C
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-160900-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
330 PM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Pcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%)
Precip Type None None None None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Temp (24h trend) 57 (+1) 87 (+4) 61 88
RH % (24h trend) 93 (-1) 35 (-2) 90 38
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) NE 4 E 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1300 1500
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4200 4900
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1300 1500
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 4400 5100
Transport Wnd (m/s) E 5 S 4
Transport Wnd (mph) E 12 S 9
Vent Index (m2/s) 6500 6000
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 76 77
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) E 6 S 4
500m Tspt Wind (mph) E 14 S 10
Dispersion Index 10 32 11 17
Stability Class F B F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
TNZ001>004-019>022-160900-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
330 PM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%)
Precip Type None None None None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Temp (24h trend) 56 (+3) 83 (+1) 52 84
RH % (24h trend) 93 (-3) 42 (+1) 83 41
AM Wind 20ft (mph) E 5 Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) NE 4 E 6 E 4 Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1100 1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 3600 3300
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1200 1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 4000 3700
Transport Wnd (m/s) E 6 S 3
Transport Wnd (mph) E 13 S 6
Vent Index (m2/s) 7200 3300
Category Day 3 2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 73 72
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) E 7 S 4
500m Tspt Wind (mph) E 15 S 9
Dispersion Index 10 37 10 14
Stability Class F B F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 50 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s.
Minimum RH 45 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
TNZ048>055-088>091-160900-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
330 PM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%)
Precip Type None None None None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Temp (24h trend) 55 (+3) 84 (+1) 54 85
RH % (24h trend) 93 (-3) 41 (+2) 87 42
AM Wind 20ft (mph) E 5 Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) NE 4 E 6 E 4 Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1200 1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 3800 3800
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1300 1300
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 4200 4200
Transport Wnd (m/s) E 6 S 3
Transport Wnd (mph) E 13 S 6
Vent Index (m2/s) 7800 3900
Category Day 3 2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 74 74
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) E 7 S 4
500m Tspt Wind (mph) E 15 S 9
Dispersion Index 10 37 10 15
Stability Class F B F C
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 50 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s.
Minimum RH 45 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-160900-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
330 PM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%)
Precip Type None None None None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Temp (24h trend) 56 (+1) 87 (+3) 58 87
RH % (24h trend) 93 (+1) 36 (0) 91 38
AM Wind 20ft (mph) E 4 Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) NE 4 E 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1300 1600
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4400 5200
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1400 1600
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 4600 5400
Transport Wnd (m/s) E 5 S 4
Transport Wnd (mph) E 10 S 8
Vent Index (m2/s) 7000 6400
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 77 78
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) E 5 S 4
500m Tspt Wind (mph) E 12 S 9
Dispersion Index 10 27 10 17
Stability Class F B F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 51 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 50s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-160900-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
330 PM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%)
Precip Type None None None None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Temp (24h trend) 55 (+3) 86 (+3) 56 87
RH % (24h trend) 94 (+1) 35 (-3) 91 37
AM Wind 20ft (mph) NE 4 Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var E 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1200 1400
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4000 4700
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1400 1500
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 4400 5100
Transport Wnd (m/s) E 5 S 3
Transport Wnd (mph) E 12 S 7
Vent Index (m2/s) 7000 4500
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 75 76
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) E 6 S 5
500m Tspt Wind (mph) E 13 S 10
Dispersion Index 9 31 8 19
Stability Class F B F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows
around 60. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum RH 44 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$