730
FXUS64 KMEG 020645
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
145 AM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025

...New DISCUSSION, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 145 AM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025


- Noticeably lower humidity will occur on Today and Thursday, with
  low temperatures dropping into the middle 60s to low 70s each
  morning.

- Heat and humidity will creep back up on Independence Day and
  continue to build each day through the weekend. Rain chances
  will remain low (less than 15%).

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(Today through Tuesday)
Issued at 145 AM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025

A trough oriented from Ohio into south Mississippi will shift
along the East Coast today as a ridge over the Plains builds east
over the Mississippi River Valley. Temperatures should trend a
degree or two warmer tomorrow through Independence day, leveling
off in the middle 90s next weekend. The Fourth of July holiday
will feature low to mid 90s and dry conditions across the entire
Mid-South.

Saturday through Tuesday, a 591 dam ridge will build into the
region this weekend. Temperatures will climb into the mid 90s each
day, with mainly isolated thunderstorms (<15% coverage) on
Saturday and Sunday. Several weaknesses will develop in the ridge
early next week resulting in slightly higher coverage of diurnally
driven convection.

30/Sirmon

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1122 PM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025

Light winds and VFR to prevail over the Midsouth tonight. Despite
calm winds and clearing skies, drier post-frontal winds of
10-15KT off the deck should provide sufficient mixing to keep
dense fog chances below mentionable levels.

PWB

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 145 AM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025

No fire weather concerns. Slightly lower humidity will continue
today and Thursday behind a weak cold front. Afternoon RH`s will
dip into the middle 40s to low 50s. Heat and humidity will quickly
build back in for the Fourth of July and persist through at least
early next week. Wetting rain is not expected through the weekend.

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$

PUBLIC FORECAST...JDS
AVIATION...JDS