Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
700
FNUS54 KMAF 161918
FWFMAF
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for West Texas/Southeast New Mexico
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
218 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING FOR 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER, RELATIVE
HUMIDITY OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS, AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER ACROSS
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO, CULBERSON COUNTY, AND THE GUADALUPE AND
DAVIS MOUNTAINS....
.DISCUSSION...
Fire weather concerns will increase this weekend given the
combination of very low RH, windy conditions, and very dry fuels.
20-ft winds will increase over the weekend, especially across the
higher terrain and adjacent plains where gusts will reach over 40
mph. RH`s will bottom out each afternoon at critical levels with
values on Sunday and Monday in the single digits. Fuels have
dried significantly over the past week with ERC values now above
the 50th percentile and some locations expected to be above the
90th percentile by Sunday. A Fire Weather Watch has been issued
for southeast New Mexico and the higher terrain areas of west
Texas on Sunday.
&&
For point-specific forecasts please see the Point Fire Weather
Matrix product issued by the Midland/Odessa National Weather
Service Office.
NMZ116-170945-
Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-
118 PM MDT Fri May 16 2025
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 56 (+3) 83 (+1) 50 84
RH % (24h trend) 18 (-1) 9 (+2) 19 6
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 11 W 12 SW 22 SW 17
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 8 SW 23 W 14 SW 26
Wind 10000 FT MSL 36 44 50 48
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 13000 8570
Transport Wnd (kts) W 36 W 35
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 468000 299950
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 3 6 6 7
RFTI Category Near Crit Critical Critical Extreme
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Breezy, clear. Patchy blowing dust through the day.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum relative
humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds 20 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Patchy blowing dust through the night. Lows in
the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum relative humidity
at or below 15 percent. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North
winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North
winds around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs around 90. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds around
15 mph.
$$
NMZ117-170945-
Chaves Plains-
118 PM MDT Fri May 16 2025
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 56 (+3) 89 (+3) 50 90
RH % (24h trend) 24 (-10) 10 (+1) 28 6
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 9 SW 8 SW 16 SW 11
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 6 SW 20 SW 8 SW 20
Wind 10000 FT MSL 30 34 38 37
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 14930 11370
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 31 SW 26
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 462830 295620
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 2 5 5 7
RFTI Category Elevated Critical Critical Extreme
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Northwest winds around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds
around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 90.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast winds
10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
NMZ118-170945-
Eddy Plains-
118 PM MDT Fri May 16 2025
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 63 (+5) 92 (+3) 57 92
RH % (24h trend) 18 (-7) 10 (+2) 20 6
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 9 SW 10 SW 17 SW 13
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 6 SW 20 SW 9 SW 22
Wind 10000 FT MSL 30 36 43 40
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 14270 10020
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 32 SW 29
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 456640 290580
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 2 5 5 7
RFTI Category Elevated Critical Critical Extreme
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds 15 to
20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast
winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast
winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
NMZ119-170945-
Lea-
118 PM MDT Fri May 16 2025
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 59 (+3) 91 (+5) 55 91
RH % (24h trend) 20 (-10) 11 (+3) 31 5
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 7 SW 10 SW 15 SW 13
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 5 SW 19 SW 7 SW 21
Wind 10000 FT MSL 29 31 34 39
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 14100 9920
Transport Wnd (kts) W 32 SW 30
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 451200 297600
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 0 6 4 7
RFTI Category Nil Critical Near Crit Extreme
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Northwest winds
around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. East winds
around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 15 mph.
$$
TXZ270-271-170945-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park and
Pine Springs
218 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025 /118 PM MDT Fri May 16 2025/
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 58 (+2) 86 (+7) 56 86
RH % (24h trend) 16 (-1) 9 (+2) 15 5
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 9 W 12 W 24 W 20
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 8 SW 22 W 18 W 27
Wind 10000 FT MSL 26 35 45 43
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 12560 7990
Transport Wnd (kts) W 31 W 33
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 389360 263670
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 1 6 6 7
RFTI Category Elevated Critical Critical Extreme
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Windy, clear. Areas of blowing dust through the day.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum relative
humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds 25 to 30 mph.
.TUESDAY...Breezy, clear. Areas of blowing dust through the
night. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds 20 to
25 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 80.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds
around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds
around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South
winds around 15 mph.
$$
TXZ275-276-279>282-170945-
Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Central Brewster-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
Including the cities of Marfa, Big Bend National Park,
Panther Junction, Marathon, Chisos Basin, Presidio, Lajitas,
and Castolon
218 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type None Tstms None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 66 (-1) 99 (+6) 63 100
RH % (24h trend) 20 (-2) 9 (+3) 47 5
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 6 NW 6 SW 10 W 7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var SW 12 W 6 SW 15
Wind 10000 FT MSL 31 33 32 27
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 12740 12230
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 26 W 26
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 331240 317980
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 0 2 3 4
RFTI Category Nil Elevated Near Crit Near Crit
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum relative
humidity above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum relative humidity
above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Northeast
winds around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ272-273-277-278-170945-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson-
Davis Mountains-Davis Mountains Foothills-
Including the cities of Van Horn, Fort Davis, and Alpine
218 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 63 (+4) 92 (+5) 58 94
RH % (24h trend) 18 (-7) 8 (+2) 22 4
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 7 W 9 SW 14 W 12
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 5 SW 17 W 9 SW 19
Wind 10000 FT MSL 29 39 41 39
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 13670 10760
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 30 W 27
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 410100 290520
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 1 4 4 6
RFTI Category Elevated Near Crit Near Crit Critical
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North
winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity
above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Northeast
winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast
winds around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-170945-
Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-
Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-
Terrell-Reeves County Plains-
Including the cities of Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Andrews,
Stanton, Big Spring, Colorado City, Mentone, Kermit, Odessa,
Midland, Garden City, Monahans, Crane, McCamey, Rankin, Big Lake,
Fort Stockton, Dryden, Sanderson, and Pecos
218 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type None Tstms None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 65 (+1) 97 (+4) 62 99
RH % (24h trend) 36 (0) 11 (+4) 77 5
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 5 W 6 S 12 SW 10
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var SW 13 S 9 SW 15
Wind 10000 FT MSL 29 38 32 36
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 11350 11350
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 26 SW 27
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 295100 306450
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 0 2 2 4
RFTI Category Nil Elevated Elevated Near Crit
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South
winds around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 15 mph.
$$