


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
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742 FXUS64 KMAF 141125 AFDMAF Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 625 AM CDT Tue Oct 14 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 623 AM CDT Tue Oct 14 2025 - Rain chances taper off to the northwest through this afternoon. Rainfall amounts will be light. - Temperatures will remain above normal into next week. A Pacific front Friday, and a cold front over the weekend, will cool temperatures slightly. && .SHORT TERM... (Today through Wednesday afternoon) Issued at 155 AM CDT Tue Oct 14 2025 Rain chances diminish over southeast New Mexico through the morning as an upper-level disturbance departs to the northeast. An upper ridge builds to our east today, becoming our dominant weather maker over the next couple of days. This afternoon, mostly sunny to sunny skies are forecast for most, with temperatures mainly warming into the 80s. Those near and along the Rio Grande will top out in the 90s. Tonight, lows settle into the mid 50s (in our northern counties and within the higher elevations) to the mid 60s. Highs Wednesday generally rise into the 80s, 90s once again along the Rio Grande. -Lopez && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday night through Monday) Issued at 155 AM CDT Tue Oct 14 2025 Heading into Wednesday night, upper level ridging will be the dominate player in the pattern. Thursday, Friday, and Saturday have highs in the 80s for most with low 90s in the usual warm spots across the Pecos River Valley and down along the Rio Grande. Overnight lows in the 50s and 60s areawide. By Saturday, a large upper level low crosses the Rockies and into the Great Plains. A cold front will be sent southward late Saturday and into Sunday bringing lows for Sunday morning into the upper 40s to low 50s for much of the region. Some uncertainty remains with just how far south this front will make it, but an overall cooler pattern is expected for at least next Saturday and Sunday. Unfortunately, rain chances for the extended stay low. Despite the trough moving near the area, additional deep moisture will not accompany this system. Therefore, rain chances will be low(<5%). -Stickney && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 623 AM CDT Tue Oct 14 2025 VFR conditions prevail. Southeasterly winds become a touch breezy late this morning and into the afternoon. -Lopez && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Big Spring 86 60 87 60 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 85 61 84 61 / 10 0 0 0 Dryden 86 65 87 61 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 86 65 87 62 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 76 57 77 58 / 10 0 0 0 Hobbs 83 57 82 58 / 10 0 0 0 Marfa 83 53 80 53 / 0 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 84 61 86 61 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 84 62 85 61 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 85 62 86 61 / 0 0 0 0 && .MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. NM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...95 LONG TERM....93 AVIATION...95