905
FXUS64 KMAF 052328
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
628 PM CDT Sat Oct 5 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Sunday night)
Issued at 152 PM CDT Sat Oct 5 2024

A short wave trough transiting the prairie provinces this afternoon
will send a weak cold front down into the Permian Basin after sunup
Sunday. Other than a wind shift to the east and maybe a few degrees
of cooling, no noticeable impacts are expected. Temperatures will be
several degrees above normal for highs Sunday, with lows staying in
the 50s and 60s. Great weather for yard work! -bc

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Friday)
Issued at 152 PM CDT Sat Oct 5 2024

The Autumn doldrums continue across much of the southern United
States as large-scale ridging maintains its grip over the region.
Ensemble guidance is very consistent day to day over the next week
and beyond, offering high confidence of more of the same. A
shortwave trough moves through the Great Lakes on Monday, pushing
another weak cold front through the area. This does little for our
sensible weather as temperatures only fall a few degrees with a
brief northerly wind shift. This is expected to be our coolest day
of the period with widespread low to mid 80s during that afternoon.
The upper-level pattern becomes more amplified through the middle of
the coming week. This pushes temperatures back into the upper 80s
and lows 90s by Tuesday, with more widespread 90s arriving by
Wednesday. Widespread low 90s remain through the end of next week.
Overnight temperatures offer a little respite from the heat with a
cool start in the upper 50s and low 60s each morning. Clear skies
remain the primary sky condition with hardly any clouds and
therefore hope of rain in sight.

-Chehak

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 623 PM CDT Sat Oct 5 2024

CAVU conditions will prevail at all area terminals through 07/00Z.
A weak backdoor cold front will bring light northeasterly winds to
all terminals during the late morning/early afternoon hours
Sunday. -bc

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               59  88  61  86 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                 58  89  57  84 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                   64  91  66  89 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton            59  89  61  87 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           60  81  58  77 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                    58  87  56  84 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                    53  85  55  81 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport     59  88  60  86 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                   60  88  61  86 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                     58  90  60  86 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...70
LONG TERM....91
AVIATION...70