660
FXUS64 KMAF 092246
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
446 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 445 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

- Slightly cooler temperatures return Wednesday behind a passing
  cold front.

- Above normal temperatures are expected Thursday through Saturday
  before a stronger cold front brings much cooler temperatures on
  Sunday.

- Dry conditions persist through the weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Wednesday night)
Issued at 227 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

Sunny skies and dry conditions remain prevalent across West Texas
and Southeast New Mexico this afternoon as a deep layer dry
airmass continues to settle over our region. A surface trough of
low pressure extends from the Texas Panhandle to the Big Bend
region this afternoon, allowing for southwesterly to westerly
winds, low relative humidity, and mild temperatures in the 60s to
lower 70s across the forecast area. Westerly winds have been
elevated up to 25-35 mph with a few gusts over 45 mph at times in
the Guadalupe, Delaware, and Davis Mountains this afternoon.

No significant weather is expected to impact the area tonight
through Wednesday night as dry northwesterly flow aloft remains in
place over our region. A shortwave trough clipping across the
northern and central Plains will send a cold front southward
through most of our forecast area Wednesday morning. Northerly to
northeasterly winds will become breezy following frontal passage,
especially over far southeast New Mexico and the Permian Basin
where speeds up to 20-25 mph and a few gusts over 35 mph will be
possible Wednesday morning into early Wednesday afternoon before
gradually diminishing. Lows tonight are generally forecast to
range in the mid 30s to mid 40s. Highs on Wednesday will trend
cooler in the lower to mid 60s over much of the area, except for
50s in the mountains and in the 70s along the southern Big
Bend/Rio Grande. Lows by Wednesday night trend a bit colder in
the 30s to around 40 degrees over most locations.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Monday)
Issued at 227 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

Dry northwesterly flow aloft will prevail over the central and
southern Plains through the end of the week while ridging aloft
extends across the Desert Southwest. Upper-level ridging then
builds over west Texas and southeast New Mexico by Saturday. A
weak front may move into the forecast area by Friday, but should
generally only feature a northerly to northwesterly wind shift
with not much effect on temperatures. Above normal temperatures
and dry conditions can be expected Thursday through Saturday.
A stronger cold front still looks on track to push through our
forecast area late Saturday night into Sunday morning. Temperatures
look to be much cooler with highs in the 50s to lower 60s over
most of our region on Sunday. Winds should turn southerly again by
Monday with temperatures rebounding back into the mid 60s to
around 70 degrees.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 445 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

VFR conditions will prevail next 24 hours as a weak cold front
moves through the area.  A few high clouds are possible south.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               41  63  35  71 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                 42  65  37  72 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                   45  72  40  73 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton            47  66  39  74 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           42  57  39  63 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                    42  62  35  70 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                    34  64  30  69 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport     41  63  37  69 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                   44  62  38  69 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                     39  64  34  72 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....21
AVIATION...99