062
FNUS74 KLZK 152010
FWSLZK

Spot Forecast for Carswell Burn...Forestry Division
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
310 PM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on October 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (800) 482-8471 and ask for the fire
weather forecaster if you have any questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Above normal temperatures and dry conditions will persist through
Friday before a cold front provides widespread rain and
thunderstorms to the state Saturday into Saturday night.

.FRIDAY...

Max temperature.....78 at ignition...Max 87.
Min humidity........54 percent at ignition...Min 38 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 13 mph.
Stability class.....2.
LVORI...............1.
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Dispersion..........19 increasing to 38 in the afternoon.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
1700 Ft Mix Temp....84.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 8062 ft MSL.
Category Day........5.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 7800 ft AGL.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......PC  MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............78  82  85  87  87  87  85
RH..............54  47  43  39  39  38  40
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   5   5   5   3
20 FT wind gust.6   6   7   8   10  10  8
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.9   9   10  12  13  13  12
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.SATURDAY...

Max temperature.....Max 84.
Min humidity........Min 59 percent.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 17 mph shifting to the southwest 17
                    to 20 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Stability class.....3.
LVORI...............1.
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of
                    showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms late in
                    the morning, then chance of thunderstorms in
                    the afternoon.
Dispersion..........17 increasing to 45 in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Rainfall amount.....0.25 inches.
1700 Ft Mix Temp....82.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 4695 ft MSL.
Category Day........5.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 4400 ft AGL.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MC  MC  MC  PC  PC
Weather cov.....    CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Temp............66  66  69  72  76  79  82  83  83  82  81  80
RH..............84  87  81  79  71  67  61  59  59  63  65  67
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.11  11  12  12  13  13  14  14  14  14  14  12
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S
Transp wind spd.10  10  13  17  20  20  18  17  17  18  18  17
Chc of pcpn (%).0   30  30  30  30  30  30  50  50  50  50  50

$$
Forecaster...J Condry
Requested by...Nicholas Maynard
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2523686.0/LZK
.DELDT 10/17/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nicholas.maynard@agriculture.arkansas.gov