849
FXUS64 KLZK 092308 AAA
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
608 PM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 200 AM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025

-A cooler and drier airmass will be in place across Arkansas through
 the end of the workweek.

-A period of dry weather conditions are likely over the next seven
 days or the entire duration of the forecast period from today through
 Wednesday.

-A warming trend for temperatures overall will be present from the weekend
 into early next workweek. Anticipate temperatures to be 5 to 10
 degrees above average overall compared to normals for mid-
 October.

-No considerable changes of any sort from the previous forecast
 package.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 200 AM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025

THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY:

The beginning of the forecast period across the Natural State will
begin with a drier and cooler airmass in place. Surface high
pressure centered over the Great Lakes region of the CONUS will lead
to northeasterly flow across Arkansas which will usher in a
continued advection of cooler and drier air across the state. In the
upper lvls, elongated ridging will be present over the Southeastern
region of the CONUS extending westward over the Southern Plains
region of the CONUS, this includes over Arkansas which will lead to
nearly zonal flow. Expect a period of temperatures that will be
average for this time of the year to a few degrees below normal
across the state. Low temperatures on Friday morning will fall into
the low to mid 40s across portions of north-central Arkansas and the
higher terrain of western Arkansas.

SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY:

Into the weekend, the surface high pressure will shift eastward and
allow a return to southerly and southeasterly flow across Arkansas.
In response, temperatures will begin to gradually increase overall
and by beginning of the next workweek will be 5 to 10 degrees above
average for this time of the year. An upper lvl ridge will be
centered over the ARK-LA-TEX region of the CONUS and nearly zonal
flow will be noted over Arkansas which will keep dry and warming
conditions present for the remainder of the forecast period. Expect
a continuation of dry and fair weather conditions with overall
warming temperatures.

Models continue to show strong agreement of a dry next seven days
across Arkansas with gradually warming into the weekend and through
the middle of next week or the end of the forecast period.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 606 PM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025

VFR conditions will persist through the period. Winds will be
light/variable overnight and will be E/SE at less than 10 kts
Friday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     49  79  56  84 /   0   0   0   0
Camden AR         51  80  54  84 /   0   0   0   0
Harrison AR       51  78  57  82 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    52  79  56  84 /   0   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  53  78  58  82 /   0   0   0   0
Monticello AR     53  81  56  85 /   0   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      52  81  55  85 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  49  78  56  83 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR        48  78  57  83 /   0   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     51  79  55  83 /   0   0   0   0
Russellville AR   53  80  58  85 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         49  79  56  83 /   0   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      51  78  56  82 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...74
AVIATION...67