697
FXUS64 KLZK 112315
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
615 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 137 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025

Data from local radars indicate widely scattered convection again
developing over the forecast area. Greatest coverage is over
eastern sections of the forecast area, in an area of the greatest
instability. This activity will end shortly after sunset.

A cold front will approach northwest sections of the forecast area
late tonight and on Saturday. Convection forced by this boundary
may be able to reach northern sections late tonight and on
Saturday. Additional, diurnally enhanced development is expected
area wide on both Saturday and Sunday, as the atmospheric column
becomes more conducive to support convective development.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday Night through next Friday)
Issued at 137 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025

Mid and upper level heights will slowly rise over the mid south
during this forecast period. Overall diurnally enhanced convective
coverage Will gradually decrease during the period. A warming
trend can be expected; heat headlines will likely be necessary
during the second half of this forecast period.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 613 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025

Forecasts will reflect expected best chances for TSRA coverage,
which will be across the northwest half of the forecast area after
18z. VFR conditions will prevail otherwise during the valid TAF
period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     75  93  72  90 /  10  50  20  70
Camden AR         74  95  73  94 /  10  40  10  40
Harrison AR       73  87  69  85 /  20  70  30  70
Hot Springs AR    74  95  74  93 /   0  50  20  60
Little Rock   AR  75  94  75  92 /   0  40  20  60
Monticello AR     75  94  76  93 /  10  40  10  40
Mount Ida AR      74  93  72  91 /   0  40  30  70
Mountain Home AR  73  88  69  85 /  10  70  20  70
Newport AR        74  95  74  93 /  10  40  20  60
Pine Bluff AR     74  94  74  93 /  10  40  10  50
Russellville AR   75  93  73  90 /   0  50  30  70
Searcy AR         73  94  72  91 /   0  40  20  60
Stuttgart AR      75  95  75  93 /  10  30  20  50

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...55
LONG TERM....55
AVIATION...55