062
FXUS64 KLZK 052303
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
603 PM CDT Tue Aug 5 2025

...New AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 130 AM CDT Tue Aug 5 2025

A few clouds were noted streaming across the region via infrared
satellite imagery early this Tuesday morning. Current temperatures
were holding in the mid 60s to upper 70s. By day break, most
places should fall into the 60s.

Not many wholesale changes are anticipated through the work week.
Aloft, an expansive ridge situated over portions of the Four
Corners region should meander Ewrd into the Srn Plains by mid
week. Locally, some meridional component of NW flow will be in
place through Friday. By Sunday/Monday, an upper level trough will
move across the Nrn CONUS with the base of the trough pivoting
across the Cntrl Plains and Mid/Upper MS Valley regions. This
could introduce enough large scale lift, far enough S, for
scattered showers and thunderstorms to develop late in the period
across Nrn AR.

At the surface, winds should generally be E/NErly through Tuesday as
high pressure remains to the E and NE of AR. A new surface low is
progged to develop over the plains by Wednesday. This area of low
pressure will switch winds to the S/SE across the region. No
significant upper level impulses are expected to move through the
flow over the next five days thus organized rain chances appear
minimal until Sunday/Monday; even then only low end PoPs are
expected at the moment. With limited PoP chances and ample
sunshine expected, soil moisture will decrease through
evapotranspiration over the course of a week.

Temperatures will slowly moderate through the week. Today, high
temperatures should top out in the upper 80s to lower 90s and by the
weekend highs should top out in the lower to upper 90s. Lows by the
weekend should be in the 70s.

For August 5th, here are some daily averages at the following
locations, Harrison 68/90, Little Rock 71/92, Pine Bluff 72/92,
and Monticello 73/93. Basically today and Wednesday will be near
climatological averages. Afterwards, temperatures will moderate
above average for this time of year. The good news is heat
headlines appear unlikely through Saturday, however Sunday and
Monday heat indices may approach 105 degrees in some locations
within the Little Rock CWA.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 603 PM CDT Tue Aug 5 2025

VFR conditions will prevail through the forecast period. Winds
will be light and variable to calm at times after sunset, then
light S/SE will prevail during the day on Wednesday with diurnal
CU.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     68  92  69  93 /   0   0   0   0
Camden AR         69  95  70  96 /   0   0   0   0
Harrison AR       68  92  68  93 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    70  96  71  98 /   0   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  70  93  72  95 /   0   0   0   0
Monticello AR     70  94  72  96 /   0   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      69  94  70  96 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  67  90  69  92 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR        69  92  71  93 /   0   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     69  94  70  95 /   0   0   0   0
Russellville AR   70  95  72  96 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         68  92  69  94 /   0   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      70  92  71  93 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...70
LONG TERM....70
AVIATION...73