672
FXUS64 KLZK 272321
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
621 PM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 248 PM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025

Unsettled conditions will prevail during this period.

Upper level energy, now over south Texas, is expected to move to the
northeast with time, reaching the mid-Mississippi valley by the end
of the period.

This feature will promote the development of showers and a few
thunderstorms as is moves through he mid south.  Heavy rainfall is
not expected, however, the region should receive a widespread
rainfall event, decreasing the overall fire danger.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday Night through next Thursday)
Issued at 248 PM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025

Forecast focus continues to emphasize a potential severe weather
episode on Sunday (3/30).

Short wave energy, and an associated cold front, will move east
through the mid south on Sunday.  As was mentioned yesterday, This
timing of which will have a large affect on storm mode, available
instability and associated impacts.

Forecasts of this system has some of the same challenges as
others this year. Monitoring behavior of the EML and associated
convective inhibition, and the affect of these on mitigating
forcing mechanisms on the atmospheric column will be key to
focusing locations and timing of impacts. Later forecasts will be
able to refine the locations and timing of impacts.

Above normal temperatures will continue to prevail during this
forecast period.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 620 PM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025

Isolated convective cells across northwest sections will
dissipate by 02z. Expect widespread MVFR ceilings to develop
across the southwest half of the forecast area during the second
half of the valid TAF period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     59  78  61  73 /  10  20  60  70
Camden AR         60  75  61  78 /  20  50  80  60
Harrison AR       58  73  59  76 /   0  20  40  40
Hot Springs AR    59  73  60  76 /  10  50  80  60
Little Rock   AR  61  76  62  76 /  10  30  80  70
Monticello AR     62  79  63  77 /  20  30  70  80
Mount Ida AR      59  73  59  77 /  10  60  70  50
Mountain Home AR  58  75  60  75 /   0  10  40  50
Newport AR        59  78  61  71 /  10  20  50  80
Pine Bluff AR     61  78  62  76 /  20  30  70  80
Russellville AR   59  74  61  79 /  10  40  70  60
Searcy AR         57  77  61  74 /  10  20  70  80
Stuttgart AR      62  77  63  74 /  20  20  70  80

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...55
LONG TERM....55
AVIATION...55