048
FXUS64 KLZK 101042
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
542 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 103 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

-Isolated to scattered showers and a few storms will be possible
 across northern Arkansas through this afternoon.

-Saturday and through the remainder of the forecast period, dry and
settled weather is expected, with above normal temperatures
prevailing.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 103 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

Outside of isolated rain and thunderstorm chances acrs Nrn AR this
aftn, a persistence-style fcst is on deck for the Natural State thru
the next 5-7 days as upper lvl ridging builds in over the Cntrl US.

Regarding rain chances this aftn, an embedded vort max is progged to
maneuver thru mean NWrly H500 flow, and may support development of a
cluster or even weak MCS acrs portions of MO, w/ precip possibly
reaching into Nrn AR later this aftn. Have included higher PoP
mentions, but QPF and covg of precip should remain on the low side.

Following today, a mean pattern of H500 ridging is expected to build
in acrs the Cntrl US, w/ asctd sfc high pressure residing over the
Ern half of the US. This should promote persistence condns, w/ above
normal temperatures and dry and settled weather condns prevailing.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 539 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

Expect VFR flight category across all sites for the entire duration
of the forecast period from Friday morning through Saturday morning.
High pressure and overall upper level ridging continues to lead to
fair weather conditions.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     80  57  83  56 /  10   0   0   0
Camden AR         80  55  83  55 /   0   0   0   0
Harrison AR       79  58  82  57 /  10  10   0   0
Hot Springs AR    80  58  85  57 /   0   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  78  60  82  59 /   0   0   0   0
Monticello AR     81  57  84  57 /   0   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      82  57  85  56 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  79  57  83  57 /  20  10   0   0
Newport AR        79  59  82  56 /  10   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     80  57  83  56 /   0   0   0   0
Russellville AR   81  60  86  59 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         79  57  84  56 /   0   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      79  58  82  57 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...74