053
FXUS64 KLZK 040438 AAA
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1138 PM CDT Sun Aug 3 2025

...New AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1206 AM CDT Sun Aug 3 2025

Below normal conditions and drier air continue to settle across the
state early this Sun morning as high pressure to the NE keeps NERLY
SFC flow in place. Lows this morning will dip into the 50s and
60s...coolest conditions seen in a while. Some areas may even see
mid 50s lows by around sunrise this morning...most likely in the
sheltered valley regions of the Ozarks of NRN AR. The cooler/drier
conditions will persist for Sun afternoon...with highs in the mid
70s to upper 80s. Dewpts will remain in the 50s and 60s for most
areas.

Expect mainly near or below normal highs to persist into early to
middle of the week as the ridge of high pressure remains west of
the region...and AR under an upper level weak trough. This trough
may trigger some precip Mon into Wed during the afternoon hrs each
day...but confidence and coverage should be at a minimum.
However...looks like Tue may have the best potential for seeing
afternoon convection...but chances will still remain fairly low.

Temps will gradually warm back to around or even just above normal
by late next week as the upper ridge to the west attempts to expand
back into the region. However...the bulk of the upper ridge looks to
remain west of AR even by late week...keeping the persistent
oppressive heat at bay for a now. Even so...some areas may again
approach Heat Adv criteria by the latter half of the week...but
should be more spotty in nature this round.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1137 PM CDT Sun Aug 3 2025

Expect dominant VFR conditions to persist through this TAF period.
Winds will remain generally NERLY at less than 10 kts sustained.
Some spotty rain could be seen at the NRN terminals overnight into
Mon morning. Otherwise...dry conditions will continue.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     63  87  66  88 /   0  10  10  10
Camden AR         64  90  67  93 /   0  10   0  10
Harrison AR       60  84  63  87 /   0  10   0   0
Hot Springs AR    66  90  68  93 /   0  10  10  10
Little Rock   AR  66  88  69  91 /   0   0  10  10
Monticello AR     66  91  69  93 /   0   0  10  20
Mount Ida AR      65  88  67  91 /   0  10  10  10
Mountain Home AR  61  84  64  86 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR        65  87  68  88 /   0   0  10  10
Pine Bluff AR     64  89  67  91 /   0   0  10  10
Russellville AR   66  89  68  91 /   0  10   0   0
Searcy AR         64  88  67  90 /   0   0  10  10
Stuttgart AR      65  88  69  90 /   0   0  10  10

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...62
AVIATION...62