394
FXUS64 KLZK 130447
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1147 PM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 229 AM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025

-Seasonably warm temperatures will prevail across the forecast
 area through the coming week, with dry and settled conditions
 prevailing.

-Unsettled weather, including rain and thunderstorm chances appear
 possible across the region by late this week and weekend, but
 uncertainties remain.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 229 AM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025

No significant changes to advertise to the immediate fcst... Mean
H500 ridging wl prevail acrs the Cntrl US thru much of the coming
week, w/ asctd sfc high pressure acrs the Midwest/Great Lakes
region. Seasonably warm afternoon temps, and dry and settled wx
condns wl prevail w/ no appreciable rain chances expected until
late this week.

Towards the end of the PD and into next weekend, long-term
deterministic and ensemble-mean H500 and sfc progs are continuing
to advertise a pattern shift towards more widespread rain chances
for much of the Natural State. Wl continue to monitor for
hazardous wx potential, but for now, uncertainties and variability
remain too large for any concrete details.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1147 PM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025

Expect VFR flight category across all terminals for the duration of
the entire forecast period from early Monday morning through early
Tuesday morning. No degradation to CIGS or VSBY is anticipated
during the forecast period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     86  57  85  59 /   0   0   0   0
Camden AR         87  57  86  57 /   0   0   0   0
Harrison AR       80  59  83  60 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    84  59  87  61 /   0   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  83  59  85  62 /   0   0   0   0
Monticello AR     85  58  87  59 /   0   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      88  58  87  60 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  82  58  84  60 /   0   0   0  10
Newport AR        83  57  86  60 /   0   0   0  10
Pine Bluff AR     85  57  86  59 /   0   0   0   0
Russellville AR   86  61  88  62 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         83  57  86  60 /   0   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      84  58  85  60 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...74