549
FXUS64 KLZK 300439 AAA
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1139 PM CDT Sun Sep 29 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 144 PM CDT Sun Sep 29 2024

Mostly cloudy conditions will continue across the eastern half to
two-thirds of the state through late Monday, when the remnants of
Helene begin to pick up its movement eastward, making way for drier
conditions across Arkansas as upper level ridging shifts across the
forecast area.

Light surface winds under a more stable atmosphere, with plenty of
additional soil and surface moisture, will allow for patchy fog
to develop tonight into the early morning hours Monday. Areas of
dense fog are possible, especially across portions of
west/northwest Arkansas. The fog looks to dissipate around the
mid-morning period Monday.

Temperatures are warming up a bit, remaining above average through
the period. High temperatures will be in the 80s, with low
temperatures in the 50s-60s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday Night through next Sunday)
Issued at 144 PM CDT Sun Sep 29 2024

No real value added changes will be forth coming this afternoon as
guidance continues to show a generally dry forecast.

Period initiates with broad ridging over a good part of the nation
with troughing along the Atlantic seaboard. A "cold front" will be
located from west central through northeast Arkansas and will be
moving through the state by Wednesday morning. Only some high level
moisture and a wind shift will mark its presence with high pressure
building in quickly behind it.

Broad ridging will then dominate through the end of the weak before
weakening somewhat as a possible tropical cyclone moves into the
gulf. However, guidance continues to expand the ridge once again and
push this system further to east with no impacts to the CWA at this
time. However, the situation will bear watching through the period.

Concerning temperatures, guidance continues to point toward numbers
that are near climatological averages on Wednesday before warming to
a few degrees above for the remainder of the period. Look for highs
generally in the 80s and lows in the 60s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1138 PM CDT Sun Sep 29 2024

Some patchy fog will be possible overnight...mainly across NWRN
sections and maybe some WRN sections. Otherwise...some low clouds
look to drop WSW overnight...with some very spotty DZ or
sprinkles. Otherwise...expect dominant VFR
conditions...especially beyond the morning hrs Mon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     63  80  63  83 /  10  10   0   0
Camden AR         62  86  64  87 /   0  10   0   0
Harrison AR       60  81  59  78 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    63  87  64  89 /  10   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  65  85  66  87 /  10  10   0   0
Monticello AR     63  85  65  86 /  10  10   0   0
Mount Ida AR      62  87  61  89 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  60  80  60  80 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR        64  80  64  83 /  10  10   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     62  83  65  86 /  10  20   0   0
Russellville AR   62  86  63  88 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         63  82  64  84 /  10  10   0   0
Stuttgart AR      63  82  65  84 /  10  10   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...71
LONG TERM....56
AVIATION...62