017
FNUS71 KLWX 281046
FWSLWX

Spot Forecast for Burnside Bridge Rd...Maryland Forest Service
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
546 AM EST Fri Feb 28 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0900 EST on February 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Northwest winds this morning gusting around 25-35mph, then quickly
diminishing through the early afternoon, though still gusting
around 15-20mph. A few sprinkles possible this morning, otherwise
dry conditions expected today and Saturday at the fire location.
Minimum RH values today will be around 25-30 percent, then only
recover to around 60 percent tonight. Smoke dispersion will be
very good to excellent today.

Stronger winds are expected on Saturday. A strong cold front will
move across the fire location early Saturday afternoon. Ahead of
the front west winds gust around 20-25mph, then become northwest
and gust 30-35 mph behind the front through Saturday evening.
Smoke dispersion will be excellent Saturday, with control problems
possible. Minimum RH around 30-35 percent.

Sunday brings lesser winds, though still gusting around 20-25 mph.
Near critical fire weather conditions possible on Sunday due to
elevated winds and minimum RH values crashing to around 20 percent.
Though, temperatures will be much colder in the 30s.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 54.
Min humidity........31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 12 to 14 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 10 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph shifting to the southwest 16
                    to 18 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (40700 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (115700 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Eye level winds.....West winds 7 to 8 mph shifting to the southwest
                    around 6 mph late in the afternoon.

TIME (EST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........52     43     39     49     53
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0
Temp............40     44     48     52     52
RH..............57     47     39     32     32
20 ft wind......W 14   W 13   W 12   SW 10  SW 10
20 ft wind gust.23     22     18     18     17
Eye level wind..W 8    W 8    W 7    SW 6   SW 6
Eye lvl wnd gst.14     13     11     11     10
Mix hgt (ft)....3600   5500   4900   4800   2900
Transport wind..NW 30  NW 24  W 16   SW 18  SW 16
Vrate kt-ft/1K..65     116    68     76     41
Ventrate Cat....GOOD   VYGD   GOOD   GOOD   FAIR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 44.
Max humidity........62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (14500 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (0 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Eye level winds.....Southwest winds 6 to 7 mph.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........53     55     59     62     64     65
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............50     47     47     45     45     46
RH..............36     42     45     51     53     55
20 ft wind......S 10   S 10   S 12   SW 12  SW 12  SW 10
20 ft wind gust.17     16     17     16     16     15
Eye level wind..S 6    S 6    S 7    SW 7   SW 7   SW 6
Eye lvl wnd gst.10     10     10     10     10     9
Mix hgt (ft)....1300   BLW100 100    100    100    100
Transport wind..S 13   S 10   S 12   S 12   S 10   S 8
Vrate kt-ft/1K..15     0      1      1      1      0
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 50.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 9 to 15 mph shifting to the
                    west 17 to 21 mph with gusts to around 32 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 12 mph increasing to west 18 to
                    24 mph late in the morning, then shifting to
                    the northwest 28 to 30 mph late in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (100 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing
to good (54700 knot-ft) increasing to excellent
(104500 knot-ft) in the late morning and afternoon.
Eye level winds.....Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph shifting to the west
                    10 to 13 mph with gusts to around 19 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........60     59     62     67     66     59
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      10     10     10     10
Temp............44     46     50     48     46     45
RH..............62     58     50     46     42     35
20 ft wind......SW 9   W 13   W 17   W 20   W 21   NW 20
20 ft wind gust.16     21     29     32     32     32
Eye level wind..SW 5   W 8    W 10   W 12   W 13   NW 12
Eye lvl wnd gst.10     13     17     19     19     19
Mix hgt (ft)....BLW100 1500   5000   5500   5600   5600
Transport wind..SW 6   SW 12  W 24   W 29   W 30   NW 29
Vrate kt-ft/1K..10     15     105    138    146    139
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   VYGD   VYGD   VYGD   VYGD

$$
Forecaster...Rodriguez
Requested by...Timothy Cole
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2504330.0/LWX
.DELDT 02/28/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL timothy.cole@maryland.gov