725
FNUS74 KLUB 012158
FWSLUB

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Hall 3218...tamfs
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
458 PM CDT Fri Nov 1 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1700 CDT on November 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

If you have questions or concerns with this forecast,
please contact our office at (806) 745-4926.

.DISCUSSION...
Winds will remain out of the southeast throughout the rest of the
afternoon and into tonight, with speeds near 10 mph or less. RH
values will continue to rapidly increase, rising above 80 percent
towards midnight tonight. Mixing heights will be shunted by the
thickening of a low stratus cloud deck, and will be followed by
an increasing potential showers and thunderstorms nearing sunrise
Saturday. Heavy rainfall is forecast. Strong wind gusts in excess
of 50 mph will be possible with the stronger storms, resulting
in sudden changes in wind direction in vicinity of these storms.
The greatest coverage of storms should be towards noontime CDT
tomorrow. Cloud-to-ground lightning will be a hazard.

West Texas Mesonet observations are down until further notice
due to a server error. Please use the Childress ASOS as the
nearest official observation in the interim. Confidence in the
prevailing wind and precipitation forecast is high.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      5PM
Sky (%).........71
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10
LAL.............1
Temp............72
RH..............46
20 FT wind dir..SE
20 FT wind spd..9
20 FT wind gust.17
Haines index....3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms overnight. Showers
                    with thunderstorms likely after 3 am.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 90 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 0100, then 9-15 strikes until
                    0400, then 16-25 strikes.
Min temperature.....Around 58.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms overnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........72  72  70  75  78  86  93  95  94  94  96  97
Weather cov.....                            CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF
Weather type....                            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                            CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY
CWR.............10  0   0   0   10  10  10  40  40  40  90  90
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   3   3   3   4   4
Temp............70  68  67  63  62  62  62  62  62  62  61  61
RH..............51  61  65  75  81  87  90  93  97  97  100 100
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..9   8   7   7   6   6   6   7   6   6   7   7
20 FT wind gust.16  15  14  13  13  13  13  13  13  13  13  13
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers in
                    the morning and early afternoon. Thunderstorms
                    likely through the day. Rain showers likely
                    late in the afternoon.
CWR.................90 percent decreasing to 60 percent late in the
                    afternoon.
LAL.................16-25 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........78 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 7 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........97  94  97  94  96  96  97  97  92  85  78  72
Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
CWR.............90  90  90  90  90  90  90  90  90  90  60  60
LAL.............4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Temp............61  59  61  61  63  64  64  64  66  67  68  69
RH..............100 100 100 100 100 97  97  93  87  84  78  78
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   SE
20 FT wind spd..7   8   8   8   9   9   10  10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.13  14  14  15  15  17  17  18  20  20  20  20
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...SINCAVAGE
Requested by...Dwayne Teel
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2425529.0/LUB
.DELDT 11/01/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL csdispatch@tfs.tamu.edu