847
FXUS64 KLUB 101125
AFDLUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
525 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 524 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2025

 - Snow ending from west to east early this morning, but slick and
   snowpacked roads will continue through Friday morning.

 - Dry and milder weather for Saturday and beyond.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 222 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2025

Snow is quickly coming to an end across the FA. Skies have scattered
out on the Caprock as of 2 AM with snow and low stratus remaining
across the Rolling Plains. We should see this snow move east of the
FA as the axis of the upper trough moves to the east. Blustery winds
will remain through the rest of the morning as the gradient
associated with a strong surface high over Colorado continues to
tighten. The surface pressure gradient will gradually relax late
morning into the afternoon hours. Winds will remain out of the
north, however, and will keep highs in the 30s and 40s area wide.
Overnight temps will be a bit of a challenge, and how much they drop
will depend on how much, if any, snow cover remains. Our northern
zones, especially our northwestern zones, will have the best chance
for snow cover to remain by sunset and will help temps easily drop
into the teens. One thing that may help prevent lows from dropping
into the single digits will be a 5-10 mph westerly surface wind that
will persist through the night. Area wide, overnight temps wills
struggle to remain at or above 25 degrees.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 222 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2025

The weather will remain largely uneventful through the long term
forecast. A return to surface lee troughing will occur on Saturday
assisting in boosting temperatures back close or above seasonal
averages. Another cold front Saturday evening will keep temperatures
back below seasonal averages through the middle of next week. Strong
meridional flow over the eastern half of the CONUS next week will
bring another cold air dump into the central and eastern CONUS. The
local area looks to be mostly spared of the coldest air from this
arctic air intrusion. Over the western CONUS, a short wave trough
moving southward along the west coast will pinch off and form a rex
block through at least the middle of next week. While the eastward
movement of the closed low off the southern California coast is
uncertain, we may see a warmup for the second half of next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 524 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2025

MVFR CIGs will continue at all terminals through late morning with
VFR conditions expected to prevail by 18Z.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...51
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...51