583
FXUS64 KLUB 120706
AFDLUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
206 AM CDT Mon May 12 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...

 - Warm and dry conditions remain expected this week.

 - Possible record high temperatures Tuesday and Wednesday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 205 AM CDT Mon May 12 2025

A few higher clouds may make their way in from New Mexico overnight.
Otherwise, a quiet night is expected with lows falling into the
upper 40s to low 50s along with light southerly winds. Rising upper
heights ahead of a ridge combined with increase SW surface flow will
begin the parade of hotter temperatures this week. Highs should
reach at least 90 across much of the South Plains. Generally clear
skies are expected.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 205 AM CDT Mon May 12 2025

Hot temperatures remain the theme this week. A ridge axis will move
overhead Tuesday and downsloping breezy west winds will help to
drive high temperatures well into the 90s, with triple digits
possible across the southern Rolling Plains. Wednesday will be the
windiest day of the week as a ~990 mb surface low ejects out of the
Rockies. Highest westerly winds will be seen over the Rolling Plains
and far SW Panhandle, potentially gusting to 45 mph during the
afternoon hours. This will bring similar temperatures as Tuesday,
with record highs possible both days. A series of troughs over the
Mountain West will lower heights into Thursday, and along with
diminishing winds will slightly cool temperatures for the remainder
of the week. While storms cannot completely be ruled out off the
Caprock, model trends have shifted eastward, and what little chances
were being suggested previously appear to be even less favorable
now.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1207 AM CDT Mon May 12 2025

VFR conditions will prevail.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...19
LONG TERM....19
AVIATION...51