Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS St. Louis, MO

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487
FNUS53 KLSX 192119
FWFLSX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern/Central MO and Southwest IL
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
319 PM CST Wed Nov 19 2025

A warm front will move from Arkansas into Missouri and Illinois
late tonight into Thursday. The front will bring a soaking rain
and a few thunderstorms to much of southern Missouri during the
day. The highest mixing heights will barely rise above 1,000ft
Thursday afternoon due to a strong temperature inversion north of
the front.

The front will continue to move north to near the
Missouri/Arkansas border and this will spread the rain farther
north to encompass the entire area by early Friday morning. Most
of the should fall in the vicinity of the front on Friday, but it
is likely (at least 60% chance) that most of central and eastern
Missouri as well as western and central Illinois will see some
rain during the day. Mixing heights will struggle to exceed
1000ft once again Friday afternoon.

Expect Saturday and Sunday to be dry, though relative humidity is
not forecast to drop below 50-60%. Another storm system will move
through the Mid Mississippi Valley Monday into TUesday which will
bring the area another round of rain.


MOZ072-073-083-084-099-201000-
Crawford MO-Washington MO-Dent MO-Iron MO-Reynolds MO-
Including the cities of Potosi/Salem Ranger District and Salem
319 PM CST Wed Nov 19 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Rain
Chance Precip (%)     50           80           90           80
Chance of Thunder (%) 50           20           20           0
Temp (24h trend)      47 (+2)      62 (+3)      52           68
RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      76 (+7)      100          72
Wind 20ft AM(mph)                  lgt/var                   lgt/var
Wind 20ft PM(mph)     lgt/var      lgt/var      lgt/var      lgt/var
Precip Amount         0.27         0.57         0.44         0.29
Precip Duration       1            10           12           11
1700ft mixing temp                 64                        68
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    370          1130         330          2150
Transport Wnd (m/s)   S  4         S  5         S  3         W  6
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  9         S 12         S  7         W 14
Vent Rate (m/s-m)     0            2770         0            6520
                      Poor         Poor         Poor         Fair

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the lower 60s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs around 60. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain likely. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs
around 60. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
lower 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

MOZ074-075-085-201000-
Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Madison MO-
Including the cities of Farmington and Fredericktown Ranger
District
319 PM CST Wed Nov 19 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Rain
Chance Precip (%)     40           90           90           90
Chance of Thunder (%) 20           20           20           0
Temp (24h trend)      46 (-1)      62 (+6)      51           67
RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      75 (+1)      100          74
Wind 20ft AM(mph)                  lgt/var                   lgt/var
Wind 20ft PM(mph)     lgt/var      lgt/var      lgt/var      SW 4-8
Precip Amount         0.06         0.46         0.40         0.29
Precip Duration       1            9            12           11
1700ft mixing temp                 65                        69
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    420          1060         290          1650
Transport Wnd (m/s)   S  4         S  5         S  3         W  6
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  8         S 10         S  6         W 13
Vent Rate (m/s-m)     50           2360         0            4790
                      Poor         Poor         Poor         Marginal

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the lower 60s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Highs in the lower 60s.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain likely. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs
around 60. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
lower 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

MOZ041-047>050-201000-
Boone MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-
Including the cities of Columbia, Cedar Creek Ranger District,
Jefferson City, and Fulton
319 PM CST Wed Nov 19 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Rain         Rain         Tstms        Rain
Chance Precip (%)     30           40           90           90
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            20           0
Temp (24h trend)      45 (+3)      64 (+10)     51           62
RH % (24h trend)      99 (-1)      73 (0)       100          81
Wind 20ft AM(mph)                  lgt/var                   E 4-8 G17
Wind 20ft PM(mph)     lgt/var      lgt/var      lgt/var      NE 5-9 G17
Precip Amount         0.07         0.05         0.43         0.52
Precip Duration       1            2            11           12
1700ft mixing temp                 65                        68
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    350          1100         360          1880
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SE  4        SE  3        SE  3        S  7
Transport Wnd (mph)   SE  8        SE  6        SE  7        S 15
Vent Rate (m/s-m)     150          1930         130          5300
                      Poor         Poor         Poor         Marginal

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the upper 50s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the upper 50s. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the mid 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the
upper 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

MOZ051-059-060-062-065-201000-
Montgomery MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Franklin MO-Jefferson MO-
Including the cities of Washington, Union, and Sullivan
319 PM CST Wed Nov 19 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Cloudy       Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           Rain         Rain         Tstms        Rain
Chance Precip (%)     30           50           90           90
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            20           0
Temp (24h trend)      44 (0)       63 (+8)      52           65
RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      74 (+2)      100          80
Wind 20ft AM(mph)                  lgt/var                   E 3-7 G16
Wind 20ft PM(mph)     lgt/var      lgt/var      lgt/var      N 4-8 G16
Precip Amount         0.02         0.12         0.34         0.51
Precip Duration       0            3            11           12
1700ft mixing temp                 64                        69
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    390          1180         340          1700
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SE  4        S  4         S  3         SW  7
Transport Wnd (mph)   SE  8        S  9         S  7         SW 15
Vent Rate (m/s-m)     150          2220         120          4820
                      Poor         Poor         Poor         Marginal

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the upper 50s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Highs in the lower 60s.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the upper 50s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the upper 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the
upper 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

MOZ061-063-064-201000-
Saint Charles MO-Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-
Including the cities of Saint Charles and Saint Louis
319 PM CST Wed Nov 19 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Cloudy       Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           None         Rain         Tstms        Rain
Chance Precip (%)     0            40           90           90
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            20           0
Temp (24h trend)      46 (0)       60 (+6)      52           62
RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      72 (-1)      100          81
Wind 20ft AM(mph)                  SE 3-7                    E 3-7
Wind 20ft PM(mph)     lgt/var      lgt/var      lgt/var      NE 5-9
Precip Amount         0.00         0.03         0.29         0.56
Precip Duration                    2            11           12
1700ft mixing temp                 65                        69
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    460          1180         380          1660
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SE  4        S  4         SE  3        NW  6
Transport Wnd (mph)   SE  8        S  9         SE  7        NW 13
Vent Rate (m/s-m)     150          2130         120          4040
                      Poor         Poor         Poor         Poor

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the upper 50s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Highs in the lower 60s.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the upper 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the upper 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
upper 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

ILZ064-065-069-070-074-079-100>102-201000-
Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-Marion IL-Washington IL-Randolph IL-
Madison IL-Saint Clair IL-Monroe IL-
Including the cities of Vandalia, Centralia, Salem, Chester,
Sparta, Alton, Edwardsville, Belleville, and Cahokia
319 PM CST Wed Nov 19 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           None         Rain         Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     0            50           90           90
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            20           20
Temp (24h trend)      43 (-3)      60 (+7)      51           65
RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      71 (-6)      100          81
Wind 20ft AM(mph)                  SE 3-7                    E 3-7
Wind 20ft PM(mph)     lgt/var      SE 3-7       lgt/var      NE 5-9
Precip Amount         0.00         0.06         0.28         0.54
Precip Duration                    2            11           12
1700ft mixing temp                 66                        68
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    520          1190         330          1490
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SE  4        SE  5        SE  3        NW  6
Transport Wnd (mph)   SE  8        SE 10        SE  7        NW 14
Vent Rate (m/s-m)     190          2300         150          4390
                      Poor         Poor         Poor         Poor

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain likely. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the upper 50s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
lower 60s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs around 60.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the upper 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
lower 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

MOZ018-019-026-027-034>036-042-052-201000-
Knox MO-Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-
Audrain MO-Lincoln MO-
Including the cities of Hannibal, Bowling Green, and Mexico
319 PM CST Wed Nov 19 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           None         Rain         Rain         Rain
Chance Precip (%)     0            30           70           90
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      43 (+1)      61 (+10)     48           58
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+1)     65 (-10)     100          82
Wind 20ft AM(mph)                  lgt/var                   NE 5-9 G17
Wind 20ft PM(mph)     lgt/var      lgt/var      lgt/var      NE 5-9 G17
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.29         0.59
Precip Duration                    1            6            12
1700ft mixing temp                 63                        64
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    360          1250         410          1420
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SE  3        SE  3        E  3         NE  6
Transport Wnd (mph)   SE  7        SE  6        E  7         NE 13
Vent Rate (m/s-m)     190          1900         100          4680
                      Poor         Poor         Poor         Marginal

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the mid 50s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
lower 60s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the upper 50s. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the mid 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs
in the mid 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

ILZ095>098-201000-
Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-Calhoun IL-
Including the cities of Quincy, Mount Sterling, and Pittsfield
319 PM CST Wed Nov 19 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           None         Rain         Rain         Rain
Chance Precip (%)     0            20           60           80
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      43 (0)       62 (+11)     50           57
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+1)     65 (-11)     100          76
Wind 20ft AM(mph)                  lgt/var                   NE 4-8 G15
Wind 20ft PM(mph)     lgt/var      lgt/var      lgt/var      NE 5-9 G15
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.23         0.54
Precip Duration                    0            6            12
1700ft mixing temp                 63                        64
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    350          1360         400          1260
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SE  3        SE  4        E  3         NE  6
Transport Wnd (mph)   SE  7        SE  8        E  6         NE 13
Vent Rate (m/s-m)     130          2130         200          3980
                      Poor         Poor         Poor         Poor

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the mid 50s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
lower 60s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
upper 50s. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the mid 50s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid
40s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

ILZ058>060-099-201000-
Greene IL-Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Jersey IL-
Including the city of Litchfield
319 PM CST Wed Nov 19 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           None         Rain         Rain         Rain
Chance Precip (%)     0            30           70           90
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      42 (-1)      59 (+9)      49           58
RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      71 (-6)      100          74
Wind 20ft AM(mph)                  SE 3-7                    E 4-8
Wind 20ft PM(mph)     lgt/var      SE 3-7       lgt/var      NE 6-10
Precip Amount         0.00         0.01         0.26         0.59
Precip Duration                    1            9            12
1700ft mixing temp                 64                        66
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    430          1270         390          1410
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SE  4        S  5         E  4         NE  7
Transport Wnd (mph)   SE  8        S 12         E  8         NE 15
Vent Rate (m/s-m)     100          2360         100          3810
                      Poor         Poor         Poor         Poor

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the mid 50s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs around 60.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
upper 50s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the mid 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the
upper 40s. Minimum RH 40 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$