649
FNUS76 KLOX 182102
FWSLOX

Spot Forecast for Oak Flat Rx...Usda Forest Service
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
202 PM PDT Fri Apr 18 2025

If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
The cool and deep marine layer pattern that dominated this week will
quickly change over the weekend with significant warming and drying.
High confidence in a weak northeast wind push Saturday morning which
will affect the ridgetops, but uncertain on how much and exactly
when those winds will affect the lower elevations and the burn site.
Winds Saturday morning could be anything from calm to northeast 10
mph, with the chance for the higher winds highest between 9 and
11am. Winds will shift to onshore/upvalley as early as 11am and as
late as 2pm.


.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....68-70.
Min humidity........15-20 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northeast 2-4 mph becoming upvalley 4 mph with gusts
                    to 8 mph around 1pm.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast 5-8 mph becoming upvalley 8 mph with gusts
                    to 15 mph around 1pm.
Ridgetop wind.......Northeast 10-20 mph becoming northwest 10-15 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL early becoming 7000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5-10 mph early becoming west 10-15 mph.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min temperature.....44-48.
Max humidity........45-55 percent.
Eye level winds.....Upvalley 2-4 mph early becoming downvalley 1-3 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Upvalley 4-8 mph early becoming downvalley 3-6 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Northwest to north 10-15 mph.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL early becoming 800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5-10 mph early becoming light.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....70-72.
Min humidity........20-25 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light becoming upvalley 5 mph with gusts to 10 mph around 1pm.
Wind (20 ft)........Light becoming upvalley 10 mph with gusts to 20 mph around 1pm.
Ridgetop wind.......North 5-10 mph becoming northwest 10-15 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL early becoming 6000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Light early becoming west 10-15 mph.

$$
Forecaster...KITTELL
Requested by...Gregory Stenmo
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2510912.0/LOX
.DELDT 04/18/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL gregory.stenmo@usda.gov