889
FNUS76 KLOX 031555
FWSLOX

Spot Forecast for Madre...usfs
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
855 AM PDT Thu Jul 3 2025

If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

UPDATED FORECAST TO REFLECT THE MORE ACTIVE NORTHEAST FLANK OF THE FIRE

.DISCUSSION...
Stronger winds are expected today compared to when the fire started,
especially as it spreads in the typically windier Carrizo Plain.
Similar hot and dry conditions are expected today compared to
yesterday. However, there is a 30 percent chance of minimum
humidities between 12 to 15 percent. Mixing heights will be high
enough to allow for plume dominated fire behavior, especially in the
afternoon to early evening hours. Similar conditions are expected
for Friday, though winds will trend weaker and a drying trend is
possible.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....93-97.
Min humidity........15-20 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest 1-3 mph increasing to 5 mph with gusts to
                    8 mph around noon, then becoming southwest to west
                    10-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph around 3pm.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest 3-6 mph increasing to 10 mph with gusts to
                    15 mph around noon, then becoming southwest to west
                    20-25 mph with gusts to 35 mph around 3pm.
Ridgetop wind.......Northwest 5-10 mph becoming west 20-25 mph with
                    gusts to 35 mph by mid-afternoon.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL early rising to 10,000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North to northeast 5 mph becoming west 20-30 mph in the afternoon.


.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min temperature.....50-55 in the cooler valleys, 60-65 in the hills and plains.
Max humidity........40-60 percent.
Eye level winds.....West 10-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph through 10pm becoming
                    north 2-5 mph, then downslope 1-3 mph after 3am.
Wind (20 ft)........West 20-25 mph with gusts to 35 mph through 10pm becoming
                    north 5-10 mph, then downslope 3-6 mph after 3am.
Ridgetop wind.......West to northwest 20-25 mph with gusts to 35 mph in the evening
                    becoming north 5-10 mph.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL lowering to 800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 20-30 mph in the evening becoming north 5 mph.


.INDEPENDENCE DAY FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....91-95.
Min humidity........12-18 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light early becoming east 2-4 mph around 9am, then
                    west 5-8 mph with gusts to 12 mph around 4pm.
Wind (20 ft)........Light early becoming east 4-8 mph around 9am, then
                    west 10-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph around 4pm.
Ridgetop wind.......Northeast 5-10 mph becoming northwest 10-20 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL early, becoming 9000 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5-10 mph becoming northwest 10-15 mph in the afternoon.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min temperature.....50-55 in the cooler valleys, 60-65 in the hills and plains.
Max humidity........40-60 percent.
Eye level winds.....West 5-8 mph with gusts to 12 mph through 9pm becoming
                    northwest 2-5 mph, then downslope 1-3 mph after 3am.
Wind (20 ft)........West 10-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph through 9pm becoming
                    northwest 5-10 mph, then downslope 3-6 mph after 3am.
Ridgetop wind.......Northwest 10-20 mph in the evening becoming northeast 10-15 mph.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL early, lowering to AOB 1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10-15 mph early becoming northeast to east 5 mph.

$$
Forecaster...KITTELL/SCHOENFELD
Requested by...Peter Stephenson
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517180.0/LOX
.DELDT 07/03/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL
phillip.hernandez@usda.gov,peter.stephenson@usda.gov,Nicole.Gaudenti@usda.gov,vincent.montes@usda.gov,satchison@prcity.com