688
FNUS76 KLOX 240714
FWSLOX

Spot Forecast for Pool...USFS ANF
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
1214 AM PDT Sun Aug 24 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2300 PDT on August 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Conditions at the burn areas will be warm on Sunday with highs in
the mid 80s, with afternoon mixing heights around 12,500 ft AGL,
indicative of a moderately unstable atmosphere, and risk for tall
smoke plumes. Temperatures and mixing hieghts will trend downwards
on Monday. Winds will start downslope and terrain driven in the
early mornings, becoming southwest around 0900 with gusts to 14 mph.
Thunderstorms and shower chances will start in the late morning
Sunday and Monday, with gusty and erratic wind possible around any
storms, as well as the potential for lightning and wetting rainfall.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny early with increasing clouds.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms starting
                    late in the morning.
Temperature.........Max 84-87.
RH..................Min 29-34 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light downslope and terrain-driven winds early
                    becoming southwest 2-4 mph with gusts to 7 mph
                    around 0900.
Wind (20 ft)........Light downslope and terrain-driven winds early
                    becoming southwest 4-8 mph with gusts to 14 mph
                    around 0900. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms late in the morning.
Ridgetop wind.......Light downslope and terrain-driven winds early
                    becoming southwest 5-10 mph with gusts to 18 mph
                    around 0900.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL early, becoming 12,500 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 9 mph.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy early, becoming mostly clear.
                    Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in
                    the evening.
Temperature.........Min 70.
RH..................Max 45-55 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southwest winds 2-3 mph with gusts to 6 mph early
                    in the evening, becoming light downslope and
                    terrain-driven overnight
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 3-6 mph with gusts to 12 mph early
                    in the evening, becoming light downslope and
                    terrain-driven overnight. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest winds 4-8 mph with gusts to 15 mph early
                    in the evening, becoming light downslope and
                    terrain-driven overnight, with a slight northeast component.
Mixing height.......8000 ft AGL early, becoming 5000 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest up to 8 mph.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny then becoming partly cloudy. Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms starting late in the morning.
Temperature.........Max 81-85.
RH..................Min 25-31 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light downslope and terrain-driven winds early
                    becoming southwest 2-4 mph with gusts to 7 mph
                    around 0900.
Wind (20 ft)........Light downslope and terrain-driven winds early
                    becoming southwest 4-8 mph with gusts to 14 mph
                    around 0900. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms late in the morning.
Ridgetop wind.......Light downslope and terrain-driven winds early
                    becoming southwest 5-10 mph with gusts to 18 mph
                    around 0900.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL early, becoming 11,000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 12 mph.

$$
Forecaster...SCHOENFELD
Requested by...Ulises Esparza
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2520557.0/LOX
.DELDT 08/23/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL ulises.esparza@usda.gov