Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA
193 FNUS86 KLOX 091706 FWLLOX FNUS86 KLOX 091706 FWLLOX ECCDA Discussions National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA 1006 AM PDT Thu Oct 9 2025 ECC029-101115- Los Padres National Forest- Discussion for Vandenberg ECC Dispatch 1006 AM PDT Thu Oct 9 2025 ...Discussion from Monterey... Fire weather concerns will be low with steady onshore flow and temperatures at or below seasonal averages through the extended forecast with increasing rain chances for the North Bay Friday into early Saturday and multiple rounds of wetting rain possible for the first half of next week. Note : All winds are 20-foot Winds Unless otherwise specified. Thunderstorms imply strong, gusty and erratic winds. ...Discussion from Los Angeles/Oxnard... ...SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH DRY LIGHTNING FOR EASTERN LOS ANGELES COUNTY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY... ...WIDESPREAD WETTING RAIN POSSIBLE TUESDAY OR WEDNESDAY... A surge of subtropical moisture from a remnant tropical system will bring a slight chance (10-15 percent) of showers and thunderstorms focused across eastern LA County Today into Friday. Dry lightning fire starts will be possible along with locally gusty and erratic winds. Gusty northwest to north winds with peak gusts potentially 30 to 50 mph in prone interior areas and southwest Santa Barbara County is possible this Saturday although humidities should generally remain elevated, above 25 percent. A weak offshore push may lead to elevated fire weather conditions for the mountains and interior valleys on Sunday with wind gusts of 20 to 35 mph and min humidities dipping to between 12-25 percent. Active weather will continue early next week increasing chances for wetting rain, especially for San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara Counties. Only moderate confidence in wetting rain further south for Ventura and Los Angeles Counties. Confidence is low in exact amounts and timing due to a large range of possible outcomes, with some guidance suggesting little to nothing could happen, while others suggest that this system could potentially be impactful for southwest facing mountains, including a potential for flash flooding and/or debris flows in and nearby recent burn scars. $$ ECC028-101115- Santa Barbara County excluding Los Padres National Forest- Discussion for Santa Barbara ECC Dispatch 1006 AM PDT Thu Oct 9 2025 ...SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH DRY LIGHTNING FOR EASTERN LOS ANGELES COUNTY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY... ...WIDESPREAD WETTING RAIN POSSIBLE TUESDAY OR WEDNESDAY... A surge of subtropical moisture from a remnant tropical system will bring a slight chance (10-15 percent) of showers and thunderstorms focused across eastern LA County Today into Friday. Dry lightning fire starts will be possible along with locally gusty and erratic winds. Gusty northwest to north winds with peak gusts potentially 30 to 50 mph in prone interior areas and southwest Santa Barbara County is possible this Saturday although humidities should generally remain elevated, above 25 percent. A weak offshore push may lead to elevated fire weather conditions for the mountains and interior valleys on Sunday with wind gusts of 20 to 35 mph and min humidities dipping to between 12-25 percent. Active weather will continue early next week increasing chances for wetting rain, especially for San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara Counties. Only moderate confidence in wetting rain further south for Ventura and Los Angeles Counties. Confidence is low in exact amounts and timing due to a large range of possible outcomes, with some guidance suggesting little to nothing could happen, while others suggest that this system could potentially be impactful for southwest facing mountains, including a potential for flash flooding and/or debris flows in and nearby recent burn scars. $$ ECC031-101115- Angeles National Forest- Discussion for Lancaster ECC Dispatch 1006 AM PDT Thu Oct 9 2025 ...SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH DRY LIGHTNING FOR EASTERN LOS ANGELES COUNTY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY... ...WIDESPREAD WETTING RAIN POSSIBLE TUESDAY OR WEDNESDAY... A surge of subtropical moisture from a remnant tropical system will bring a slight chance (10-15 percent) of showers and thunderstorms focused across eastern LA County Today into Friday. Dry lightning fire starts will be possible along with locally gusty and erratic winds. Gusty northwest to north winds with peak gusts potentially 30 to 50 mph in prone interior areas and southwest Santa Barbara County is possible this Saturday although humidities should generally remain elevated, above 25 percent. A weak offshore push may lead to elevated fire weather conditions for the mountains and interior valleys on Sunday with wind gusts of 20 to 35 mph and min humidities dipping to between 12-25 percent. Active weather will continue early next week increasing chances for wetting rain, especially for San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara Counties. Only moderate confidence in wetting rain further south for Ventura and Los Angeles Counties. Confidence is low in exact amounts and timing due to a large range of possible outcomes, with some guidance suggesting little to nothing could happen, while others suggest that this system could potentially be impactful for southwest facing mountains, including a potential for flash flooding and/or debris flows in and nearby recent burn scars. $$ ECC024-101115- San Luis Obispo County- Discussion for San Luis Obispo ECC Dispatch 1006 AM PDT Thu Oct 9 2025 ...SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH DRY LIGHTNING FOR EASTERN LOS ANGELES COUNTY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY... ...WIDESPREAD WETTING RAIN POSSIBLE TUESDAY OR WEDNESDAY... A surge of subtropical moisture from a remnant tropical system will bring a slight chance (10-15 percent) of showers and thunderstorms focused across eastern LA County Today into Friday. Dry lightning fire starts will be possible along with locally gusty and erratic winds. Gusty northwest to north winds with peak gusts potentially 30 to 50 mph in prone interior areas and southwest Santa Barbara County is possible this Saturday although humidities should generally remain elevated, above 25 percent. A weak offshore push may lead to elevated fire weather conditions for the mountains and interior valleys on Sunday with wind gusts of 20 to 35 mph and min humidities dipping to between 12-25 percent. Active weather will continue early next week increasing chances for wetting rain, especially for San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara Counties. Only moderate confidence in wetting rain further south for Ventura and Los Angeles Counties. Confidence is low in exact amounts and timing due to a large range of possible outcomes, with some guidance suggesting little to nothing could happen, while others suggest that this system could potentially be impactful for southwest facing mountains, including a potential for flash flooding and/or debris flows in and nearby recent burn scars. $$ ECC032-101115- Ventura County excluding Los Padres National Forest- Discussion for Ventura ECC Dispatch 1006 AM PDT Thu Oct 9 2025 ...SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH DRY LIGHTNING FOR EASTERN LOS ANGELES COUNTY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY... ...WIDESPREAD WETTING RAIN POSSIBLE TUESDAY OR WEDNESDAY... A surge of subtropical moisture from a remnant tropical system will bring a slight chance (10-15 percent) of showers and thunderstorms focused across eastern LA County Today into Friday. Dry lightning fire starts will be possible along with locally gusty and erratic winds. Gusty northwest to north winds with peak gusts potentially 30 to 50 mph in prone interior areas and southwest Santa Barbara County is possible this Saturday although humidities should generally remain elevated, above 25 percent. A weak offshore push may lead to elevated fire weather conditions for the mountains and interior valleys on Sunday with wind gusts of 20 to 35 mph and min humidities dipping to between 12-25 percent. Active weather will continue early next week increasing chances for wetting rain, especially for San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara Counties. Only moderate confidence in wetting rain further south for Ventura and Los Angeles Counties. Confidence is low in exact amounts and timing due to a large range of possible outcomes, with some guidance suggesting little to nothing could happen, while others suggest that this system could potentially be impactful for southwest facing mountains, including a potential for flash flooding and/or debris flows in and nearby recent burn scars. $$ ECC030-101115- Los Angeles County excluding Angeles National Forest- Discussion for Los Angeles ECC Dispatch 1006 AM PDT Thu Oct 9 2025 ...SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH DRY LIGHTNING FOR EASTERN LOS ANGELES COUNTY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY... ...WIDESPREAD WETTING RAIN POSSIBLE TUESDAY OR WEDNESDAY... A surge of subtropical moisture from a remnant tropical system will bring a slight chance (10-15 percent) of showers and thunderstorms focused across eastern LA County Today into Friday. Dry lightning fire starts will be possible along with locally gusty and erratic winds. Gusty northwest to north winds with peak gusts potentially 30 to 50 mph in prone interior areas and southwest Santa Barbara County is possible this Saturday although humidities should generally remain elevated, above 25 percent. A weak offshore push may lead to elevated fire weather conditions for the mountains and interior valleys on Sunday with wind gusts of 20 to 35 mph and min humidities dipping to between 12-25 percent. Active weather will continue early next week increasing chances for wetting rain, especially for San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara Counties. Only moderate confidence in wetting rain further south for Ventura and Los Angeles Counties. Confidence is low in exact amounts and timing due to a large range of possible outcomes, with some guidance suggesting little to nothing could happen, while others suggest that this system could potentially be impactful for southwest facing mountains, including a potential for flash flooding and/or debris flows in and nearby recent burn scars. $$