Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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FNUS86 KLOX 132235
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FNUS86 KLOX 132235
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ECCDA Discussions
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
335 PM PDT Mon Oct 13 2025

ECC029-141645-
Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Vandenberg ECC Dispatch
335 PM PDT Mon Oct 13 2025

...Discussion from Monterey...

A deep low pressure system is bringing wetting rains  and isolated
thunderstorms to the district through Monday evening. Post-frontal
showers and the chance of thunderstorms continue  through Tuesday.
Strong southwest winds will build until the main front passes, with
gusts of 35-45 mph in the higher elevations. A warming and drying
trend begins on Wednesday and continues into the weekend.

Note : All winds are 20-foot Winds Unless otherwise specified.
Thunderstorms imply strong, gusty and erratic winds.



...Discussion from Los Angeles/Oxnard...

...SIGNIFICANT EARLY SEASON STORM TO BRING POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
FLASH FLOODING/DEBRIS FLOW CONCERNS TO RECENT BURN SCARS AS WELL AS
THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES TONIGHT INTO
TUESDAY...

A significant storm system will likely bring widespread rain and
high elevation  mountain snow to the region tonight into Tuesday.
The latest projections have an increased risk for higher intensity
short duration rain rates. This will likely minor/shallow debris
flows to the recent burn scars, and even a chance of more
significant damaging debris flows. There is also the potential for
strong to locally severe thunderstorms that could bring the risk of
damaging wind gusts of 60 mph or greater, small hail, and even a
threat of isolated tornado activity.


$$

ECC028-141645-
Santa Barbara County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Santa Barbara ECC Dispatch
335 PM PDT Mon Oct 13 2025

...SIGNIFICANT EARLY SEASON STORM TO BRING POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
FLASH FLOODING/DEBRIS FLOW CONCERNS TO RECENT BURN SCARS AS WELL AS
THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES TONIGHT INTO
TUESDAY...

A significant storm system will likely bring widespread rain and
high elevation  mountain snow to the region tonight into Tuesday.
The latest projections have an increased risk for higher intensity
short duration rain rates. This will likely minor/shallow debris
flows to the recent burn scars, and even a chance of more
significant damaging debris flows. There is also the potential for
strong to locally severe thunderstorms that could bring the risk of
damaging wind gusts of 60 mph or greater, small hail, and even a
threat of isolated tornado activity.


$$

ECC031-141645-
Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Lancaster ECC Dispatch
335 PM PDT Mon Oct 13 2025

...SIGNIFICANT EARLY SEASON STORM TO BRING POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
FLASH FLOODING/DEBRIS FLOW CONCERNS TO RECENT BURN SCARS AS WELL AS
THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES TONIGHT INTO
TUESDAY...

A significant storm system will likely bring widespread rain and
high elevation  mountain snow to the region tonight into Tuesday.
The latest projections have an increased risk for higher intensity
short duration rain rates. This will likely minor/shallow debris
flows to the recent burn scars, and even a chance of more
significant damaging debris flows. There is also the potential for
strong to locally severe thunderstorms that could bring the risk of
damaging wind gusts of 60 mph or greater, small hail, and even a
threat of isolated tornado activity.


$$

ECC024-141645-
San Luis Obispo County-
Discussion for San Luis Obispo ECC Dispatch
335 PM PDT Mon Oct 13 2025

...SIGNIFICANT EARLY SEASON STORM TO BRING POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
FLASH FLOODING/DEBRIS FLOW CONCERNS TO RECENT BURN SCARS AS WELL AS
THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES TONIGHT INTO
TUESDAY...

A significant storm system will likely bring widespread rain and
high elevation  mountain snow to the region tonight into Tuesday.
The latest projections have an increased risk for higher intensity
short duration rain rates. This will likely minor/shallow debris
flows to the recent burn scars, and even a chance of more
significant damaging debris flows. There is also the potential for
strong to locally severe thunderstorms that could bring the risk of
damaging wind gusts of 60 mph or greater, small hail, and even a
threat of isolated tornado activity.


$$

ECC032-141645-
Ventura County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Ventura ECC Dispatch
335 PM PDT Mon Oct 13 2025

...SIGNIFICANT EARLY SEASON STORM TO BRING POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
FLASH FLOODING/DEBRIS FLOW CONCERNS TO RECENT BURN SCARS AS WELL AS
THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES TONIGHT INTO
TUESDAY...

A significant storm system will likely bring widespread rain and
high elevation  mountain snow to the region tonight into Tuesday.
The latest projections have an increased risk for higher intensity
short duration rain rates. This will likely minor/shallow debris
flows to the recent burn scars, and even a chance of more
significant damaging debris flows. There is also the potential for
strong to locally severe thunderstorms that could bring the risk of
damaging wind gusts of 60 mph or greater, small hail, and even a
threat of isolated tornado activity.


$$

ECC030-141645-
Los Angeles County excluding Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Los Angeles ECC Dispatch
335 PM PDT Mon Oct 13 2025

...SIGNIFICANT EARLY SEASON STORM TO BRING POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
FLASH FLOODING/DEBRIS FLOW CONCERNS TO RECENT BURN SCARS AS WELL AS
THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES TONIGHT INTO
TUESDAY...

A significant storm system will likely bring widespread rain and
high elevation  mountain snow to the region tonight into Tuesday.
The latest projections have an increased risk for higher intensity
short duration rain rates. This will likely minor/shallow debris
flows to the recent burn scars, and even a chance of more
significant damaging debris flows. There is also the potential for
strong to locally severe thunderstorms that could bring the risk of
damaging wind gusts of 60 mph or greater, small hail, and even a
threat of isolated tornado activity.


$$