837
FNUS86 KLOX 022200
FWLLOX

ECCDA Discussions
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
300 PM PDT Wed Jul 2 2025

ECC029-031600-
Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Vandenberg ECC Dispatch
300 PM PDT Wed Jul 2 2025

...Discussion from Monterey...

...Elevated fire weather conditions are expected Thursday afternoon and
evening in the East Bay Hills, Eastern Santa Clara Hills, and Santa
Cruz mountains driven by sustained winds as high as 30 mph. A Red
Flag Warning is not expected due to onshore  winds and moderate
humidity...

A cold front will move through Thursday, bringing cooler
temperatures and strong onshore wind. With lower temperatures, the
minimum RH will stay moderate with good  recovery overnight.
Sustained winds will reach as high as 30 mph in the higher
elevations of the East and South Bay. While the wind improves a bit,
conditions remain elevated Friday (including during peak firework
time). Wind speeds will continue to decrease through the weekend and
into early next week.

Note : All winds are 20-foot Winds Unless otherwise specified.
Thunderstorms imply strong, gusty and erratic winds.



...Discussion from Los Angeles/Oxnard...

Minimal day-to-day changes expected through Monday over the interior
 areas, including the Fourth of July Holiday. Highs between 88 and
98  will be common, with minimum humidities between 10 and
20 percent.  Pockets of humidities down to 5 to 10 percent are
likely in the deserts  and higher peaks, especially over the
weekend. Southwest to northwest  winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts to
35 mph will be common over the interior valleys and mountains,
peaking each afternoon and evening. Sundowner  winds of similar
strength will form over Santa Barbara County by Friday  Night. This
will result in a seasonably elevated risk for grass fires in the
windy locations. Over the coastal areas, the marine layer will
drive conditions. While there is always a degree of uncertainty with
 that, the marine layer should shrink some in coverage and depth
each day starting Friday which will bring modest warming.

While details are still uncertain, the risk for a significant heat
wave remains targeted for next week starting Tuesday. The peak still
looks to be Wednesday through Thursday (July 9-10), at which time
high temperatures between 98 and 108 are looking favorable for the
most lower mountains and valleys (including coastal valleys). Deep
mixing heights will increase the risk for plume dominated fires.
Adding to the risks,  monsoonal moisture will be in the area, with a
potential for  thunderstorms anywhere, but especially in the
mountains. Humidities  will likely be low, but uncertain just how
low based on the monsoonal  potential. Southwest to northwest winds
of 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph will likely continue over the
typically wind prone areas. All of this likely adds up to an
elevated to locally brief critical fire  weather scenario. While not
a zero chance, the risk for Red Flag Warnings is low, but Heat
Advisories or Warnings are looking more likely.


$$

ECC028-031600-
Santa Barbara County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Santa Barbara ECC Dispatch
300 PM PDT Wed Jul 2 2025


Minimal day-to-day changes expected through Monday over the interior
 areas, including the Fourth of July Holiday. Highs between 88 and
98  will be common, with minimum humidities between 10 and
20 percent.  Pockets of humidities down to 5 to 10 percent are
likely in the deserts  and higher peaks, especially over the
weekend. Southwest to northwest  winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts to
35 mph will be common over the interior valleys and mountains,
peaking each afternoon and evening. Sundowner  winds of similar
strength will form over Santa Barbara County by Friday  Night. This
will result in a seasonably elevated risk for grass fires in the
windy locations. Over the coastal areas, the marine layer will
drive conditions. While there is always a degree of uncertainty with
 that, the marine layer should shrink some in coverage and depth
each day starting Friday which will bring modest warming.

While details are still uncertain, the risk for a significant heat
wave remains targeted for next week starting Tuesday. The peak still
looks to be Wednesday through Thursday (July 9-10), at which time
high temperatures between 98 and 108 are looking favorable for the
most lower mountains and valleys (including coastal valleys). Deep
mixing heights will increase the risk for plume dominated fires.
Adding to the risks,  monsoonal moisture will be in the area, with a
potential for  thunderstorms anywhere, but especially in the
mountains. Humidities  will likely be low, but uncertain just how
low based on the monsoonal  potential. Southwest to northwest winds
of 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph will likely continue over the
typically wind prone areas. All of this likely adds up to an
elevated to locally brief critical fire  weather scenario. While not
a zero chance, the risk for Red Flag Warnings is low, but Heat
Advisories or Warnings are looking more likely.


$$

ECC031-031600-
Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Lancaster ECC Dispatch
300 PM PDT Wed Jul 2 2025


Minimal day-to-day changes expected through Monday over the interior
 areas, including the Fourth of July Holiday. Highs between 88 and
98  will be common, with minimum humidities between 10 and
20 percent.  Pockets of humidities down to 5 to 10 percent are
likely in the deserts  and higher peaks, especially over the
weekend. Southwest to northwest  winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts to
35 mph will be common over the interior valleys and mountains,
peaking each afternoon and evening. Sundowner  winds of similar
strength will form over Santa Barbara County by Friday  Night. This
will result in a seasonably elevated risk for grass fires in the
windy locations. Over the coastal areas, the marine layer will
drive conditions. While there is always a degree of uncertainty with
 that, the marine layer should shrink some in coverage and depth
each day starting Friday which will bring modest warming.

While details are still uncertain, the risk for a significant heat
wave remains targeted for next week starting Tuesday. The peak still
looks to be Wednesday through Thursday (July 9-10), at which time
high temperatures between 98 and 108 are looking favorable for the
most lower mountains and valleys (including coastal valleys). Deep
mixing heights will increase the risk for plume dominated fires.
Adding to the risks,  monsoonal moisture will be in the area, with a
potential for  thunderstorms anywhere, but especially in the
mountains. Humidities  will likely be low, but uncertain just how
low based on the monsoonal  potential. Southwest to northwest winds
of 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph will likely continue over the
typically wind prone areas. All of this likely adds up to an
elevated to locally brief critical fire  weather scenario. While not
a zero chance, the risk for Red Flag Warnings is low, but Heat
Advisories or Warnings are looking more likely.


$$

ECC024-031600-
San Luis Obispo County-
Discussion for San Luis Obispo ECC Dispatch
300 PM PDT Wed Jul 2 2025


Minimal day-to-day changes expected through Monday over the interior
 areas, including the Fourth of July Holiday. Highs between 88 and
98  will be common, with minimum humidities between 10 and
20 percent.  Pockets of humidities down to 5 to 10 percent are
likely in the deserts  and higher peaks, especially over the
weekend. Southwest to northwest  winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts to
35 mph will be common over the interior valleys and mountains,
peaking each afternoon and evening. Sundowner  winds of similar
strength will form over Santa Barbara County by Friday  Night. This
will result in a seasonably elevated risk for grass fires in the
windy locations. Over the coastal areas, the marine layer will
drive conditions. While there is always a degree of uncertainty with
 that, the marine layer should shrink some in coverage and depth
each day starting Friday which will bring modest warming.

While details are still uncertain, the risk for a significant heat
wave remains targeted for next week starting Tuesday. The peak still
looks to be Wednesday through Thursday (July 9-10), at which time
high temperatures between 98 and 108 are looking favorable for the
most lower mountains and valleys (including coastal valleys). Deep
mixing heights will increase the risk for plume dominated fires.
Adding to the risks,  monsoonal moisture will be in the area, with a
potential for  thunderstorms anywhere, but especially in the
mountains. Humidities  will likely be low, but uncertain just how
low based on the monsoonal  potential. Southwest to northwest winds
of 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph will likely continue over the
typically wind prone areas. All of this likely adds up to an
elevated to locally brief critical fire  weather scenario. While not
a zero chance, the risk for Red Flag Warnings is low, but Heat
Advisories or Warnings are looking more likely.


$$

ECC032-031600-
Ventura County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Ventura ECC Dispatch
300 PM PDT Wed Jul 2 2025


Minimal day-to-day changes expected through Monday over the interior
 areas, including the Fourth of July Holiday. Highs between 88 and
98  will be common, with minimum humidities between 10 and
20 percent.  Pockets of humidities down to 5 to 10 percent are
likely in the deserts  and higher peaks, especially over the
weekend. Southwest to northwest  winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts to
35 mph will be common over the interior valleys and mountains,
peaking each afternoon and evening. Sundowner  winds of similar
strength will form over Santa Barbara County by Friday  Night. This
will result in a seasonably elevated risk for grass fires in the
windy locations. Over the coastal areas, the marine layer will
drive conditions. While there is always a degree of uncertainty with
 that, the marine layer should shrink some in coverage and depth
each day starting Friday which will bring modest warming.

While details are still uncertain, the risk for a significant heat
wave remains targeted for next week starting Tuesday. The peak still
looks to be Wednesday through Thursday (July 9-10), at which time
high temperatures between 98 and 108 are looking favorable for the
most lower mountains and valleys (including coastal valleys). Deep
mixing heights will increase the risk for plume dominated fires.
Adding to the risks,  monsoonal moisture will be in the area, with a
potential for  thunderstorms anywhere, but especially in the
mountains. Humidities  will likely be low, but uncertain just how
low based on the monsoonal  potential. Southwest to northwest winds
of 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph will likely continue over the
typically wind prone areas. All of this likely adds up to an
elevated to locally brief critical fire  weather scenario. While not
a zero chance, the risk for Red Flag Warnings is low, but Heat
Advisories or Warnings are looking more likely.


$$

ECC030-031600-
Los Angeles County excluding Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Los Angeles ECC Dispatch
300 PM PDT Wed Jul 2 2025


Minimal day-to-day changes expected through Monday over the interior
 areas, including the Fourth of July Holiday. Highs between 88 and
98  will be common, with minimum humidities between 10 and
20 percent.  Pockets of humidities down to 5 to 10 percent are
likely in the deserts  and higher peaks, especially over the
weekend. Southwest to northwest  winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts to
35 mph will be common over the interior valleys and mountains,
peaking each afternoon and evening. Sundowner  winds of similar
strength will form over Santa Barbara County by Friday  Night. This
will result in a seasonably elevated risk for grass fires in the
windy locations. Over the coastal areas, the marine layer will
drive conditions. While there is always a degree of uncertainty with
 that, the marine layer should shrink some in coverage and depth
each day starting Friday which will bring modest warming.

While details are still uncertain, the risk for a significant heat
wave remains targeted for next week starting Tuesday. The peak still
looks to be Wednesday through Thursday (July 9-10), at which time
high temperatures between 98 and 108 are looking favorable for the
most lower mountains and valleys (including coastal valleys). Deep
mixing heights will increase the risk for plume dominated fires.
Adding to the risks,  monsoonal moisture will be in the area, with a
potential for  thunderstorms anywhere, but especially in the
mountains. Humidities  will likely be low, but uncertain just how
low based on the monsoonal  potential. Southwest to northwest winds
of 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph will likely continue over the
typically wind prone areas. All of this likely adds up to an
elevated to locally brief critical fire  weather scenario. While not
a zero chance, the risk for Red Flag Warnings is low, but Heat
Advisories or Warnings are looking more likely.


$$