Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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ECCDA Discussions
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
802 PM PDT Thu Apr 3 2025

ECC029-042115-
Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Vandenberg ECC Dispatch
802 PM PDT Thu Apr 3 2025

...Discussion from Monterey...

A warming and drying trend is expected  over the next few days.
Expect mostly light winds for all but the immediate coast.
Temperatures peak over the weekend with some of  the more interior
areas breaking into the 80s. Slight chances for  rain in the North
Bay and around the SF Bay will be possible  Sunday into Monday, with
drizzle possible along the coast for  areas farther to the south.
Dry weather returns into the next work week with another warming
trend.


Note : All winds are 20-foot Winds Unless otherwise specified.
Thunderstorms imply strong, gusty and erratic winds.



...Discussion from Los Angeles/Oxnard...

...CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO THIS EVENING...
...SIGNIFICANT WARMING AND DRYING THIS WEEKEND THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK...

A cold low pressure system will likely create scattered showers over
 most mountain areas into this evening. With northerly winds aloft,
any  shower will move to the south and into the more populated
areas. While  most showers will bring light rain intensities, the
environment is  favorable for convection and possible thunderstorms,
so very localized  but heavy downpours are expected. While it is
impossible to anticipate  exactly where they will form, Los Angeles
County continues to be the  most favorable. As a result, there is a
low but present risk for road  flooding and minor debris flows.
Brief gusty winds are also possible.  The system will move to the
east on Friday, and now looks far enough  away to keep any
additional rain chances east of Los Angeles County.

High pressure aloft will start to build over the region on Saturday,
 which will begin a significant warming and drying trend. High
temperatures in the 70s to lower 80s will be common Saturday through
 Monday, rising to the mid 80s to mid 90s by Wednesday. Minimum
humidities will lower into the 8 to 15 percent range in some valleys
and mountains over the weekend, and expand by the middle of next
week.  While there will be some breezy northwest to northeast winds
at times,  focused over southwest Santa Barbara County and northern
Los Angeles  County, any significant winds through the warm period
look brief and  localized. With that considered, as well as the
continually rising fuel moistures due to the recent rains, Red Flag
Warnings will not be  needed. After today, there are no mentionable
chances of additional rain through at least the middle of April.


$$

ECC028-042115-
Santa Barbara County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Santa Barbara ECC Dispatch
802 PM PDT Thu Apr 3 2025

...CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO THIS EVENING...
...SIGNIFICANT WARMING AND DRYING THIS WEEKEND THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK...

A cold low pressure system will likely create scattered showers over
 most mountain areas into this evening. With northerly winds aloft,
any  shower will move to the south and into the more populated
areas. While  most showers will bring light rain intensities, the
environment is  favorable for convection and possible thunderstorms,
so very localized  but heavy downpours are expected. While it is
impossible to anticipate  exactly where they will form, Los Angeles
County continues to be the  most favorable. As a result, there is a
low but present risk for road  flooding and minor debris flows.
Brief gusty winds are also possible.  The system will move to the
east on Friday, and now looks far enough  away to keep any
additional rain chances east of Los Angeles County.

High pressure aloft will start to build over the region on Saturday,
 which will begin a significant warming and drying trend. High
temperatures in the 70s to lower 80s will be common Saturday through
 Monday, rising to the mid 80s to mid 90s by Wednesday. Minimum
humidities will lower into the 8 to 15 percent range in some valleys
and mountains over the weekend, and expand by the middle of next
week.  While there will be some breezy northwest to northeast winds
at times,  focused over southwest Santa Barbara County and northern
Los Angeles  County, any significant winds through the warm period
look brief and  localized. With that considered, as well as the
continually rising fuel moistures due to the recent rains, Red Flag
Warnings will not be  needed. After today, there are no mentionable
chances of additional rain through at least the middle of April.


$$

ECC031-042115-
Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Lancaster ECC Dispatch
802 PM PDT Thu Apr 3 2025

...CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO THIS EVENING...
...SIGNIFICANT WARMING AND DRYING THIS WEEKEND THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK...

A cold low pressure system will likely create scattered showers over
 most mountain areas into this evening. With northerly winds aloft,
any  shower will move to the south and into the more populated
areas. While  most showers will bring light rain intensities, the
environment is  favorable for convection and possible thunderstorms,
so very localized  but heavy downpours are expected. While it is
impossible to anticipate  exactly where they will form, Los Angeles
County continues to be the  most favorable. As a result, there is a
low but present risk for road  flooding and minor debris flows.
Brief gusty winds are also possible.  The system will move to the
east on Friday, and now looks far enough  away to keep any
additional rain chances east of Los Angeles County.

High pressure aloft will start to build over the region on Saturday,
 which will begin a significant warming and drying trend. High
temperatures in the 70s to lower 80s will be common Saturday through
 Monday, rising to the mid 80s to mid 90s by Wednesday. Minimum
humidities will lower into the 8 to 15 percent range in some valleys
and mountains over the weekend, and expand by the middle of next
week.  While there will be some breezy northwest to northeast winds
at times,  focused over southwest Santa Barbara County and northern
Los Angeles  County, any significant winds through the warm period
look brief and  localized. With that considered, as well as the
continually rising fuel moistures due to the recent rains, Red Flag
Warnings will not be  needed. After today, there are no mentionable
chances of additional rain through at least the middle of April.


$$

ECC024-042115-
San Luis Obispo County-
Discussion for San Luis Obispo ECC Dispatch
802 PM PDT Thu Apr 3 2025

...CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO THIS EVENING...
...SIGNIFICANT WARMING AND DRYING THIS WEEKEND THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK...

A cold low pressure system will likely create scattered showers over
 most mountain areas into this evening. With northerly winds aloft,
any  shower will move to the south and into the more populated
areas. While  most showers will bring light rain intensities, the
environment is  favorable for convection and possible thunderstorms,
so very localized  but heavy downpours are expected. While it is
impossible to anticipate  exactly where they will form, Los Angeles
County continues to be the  most favorable. As a result, there is a
low but present risk for road  flooding and minor debris flows.
Brief gusty winds are also possible.  The system will move to the
east on Friday, and now looks far enough  away to keep any
additional rain chances east of Los Angeles County.

High pressure aloft will start to build over the region on Saturday,
 which will begin a significant warming and drying trend. High
temperatures in the 70s to lower 80s will be common Saturday through
 Monday, rising to the mid 80s to mid 90s by Wednesday. Minimum
humidities will lower into the 8 to 15 percent range in some valleys
and mountains over the weekend, and expand by the middle of next
week.  While there will be some breezy northwest to northeast winds
at times,  focused over southwest Santa Barbara County and northern
Los Angeles  County, any significant winds through the warm period
look brief and  localized. With that considered, as well as the
continually rising fuel moistures due to the recent rains, Red Flag
Warnings will not be  needed. After today, there are no mentionable
chances of additional rain through at least the middle of April.


$$

ECC032-042115-
Ventura County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Ventura ECC Dispatch
802 PM PDT Thu Apr 3 2025

...CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO THIS EVENING...
...SIGNIFICANT WARMING AND DRYING THIS WEEKEND THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK...

A cold low pressure system will likely create scattered showers over
 most mountain areas into this evening. With northerly winds aloft,
any  shower will move to the south and into the more populated
areas. While  most showers will bring light rain intensities, the
environment is  favorable for convection and possible thunderstorms,
so very localized  but heavy downpours are expected. While it is
impossible to anticipate  exactly where they will form, Los Angeles
County continues to be the  most favorable. As a result, there is a
low but present risk for road  flooding and minor debris flows.
Brief gusty winds are also possible.  The system will move to the
east on Friday, and now looks far enough  away to keep any
additional rain chances east of Los Angeles County.

High pressure aloft will start to build over the region on Saturday,
 which will begin a significant warming and drying trend. High
temperatures in the 70s to lower 80s will be common Saturday through
 Monday, rising to the mid 80s to mid 90s by Wednesday. Minimum
humidities will lower into the 8 to 15 percent range in some valleys
and mountains over the weekend, and expand by the middle of next
week.  While there will be some breezy northwest to northeast winds
at times,  focused over southwest Santa Barbara County and northern
Los Angeles  County, any significant winds through the warm period
look brief and  localized. With that considered, as well as the
continually rising fuel moistures due to the recent rains, Red Flag
Warnings will not be  needed. After today, there are no mentionable
chances of additional rain through at least the middle of April.


$$

ECC030-042115-
Los Angeles County excluding Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Los Angeles ECC Dispatch
802 PM PDT Thu Apr 3 2025

...CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO THIS EVENING...
...SIGNIFICANT WARMING AND DRYING THIS WEEKEND THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK...

A cold low pressure system will likely create scattered showers over
 most mountain areas into this evening. With northerly winds aloft,
any  shower will move to the south and into the more populated
areas. While  most showers will bring light rain intensities, the
environment is  favorable for convection and possible thunderstorms,
so very localized  but heavy downpours are expected. While it is
impossible to anticipate  exactly where they will form, Los Angeles
County continues to be the  most favorable. As a result, there is a
low but present risk for road  flooding and minor debris flows.
Brief gusty winds are also possible.  The system will move to the
east on Friday, and now looks far enough  away to keep any
additional rain chances east of Los Angeles County.

High pressure aloft will start to build over the region on Saturday,
 which will begin a significant warming and drying trend. High
temperatures in the 70s to lower 80s will be common Saturday through
 Monday, rising to the mid 80s to mid 90s by Wednesday. Minimum
humidities will lower into the 8 to 15 percent range in some valleys
and mountains over the weekend, and expand by the middle of next
week.  While there will be some breezy northwest to northeast winds
at times,  focused over southwest Santa Barbara County and northern
Los Angeles  County, any significant winds through the warm period
look brief and  localized. With that considered, as well as the
continually rising fuel moistures due to the recent rains, Red Flag
Warnings will not be  needed. After today, there are no mentionable
chances of additional rain through at least the middle of April.


$$