927
FXUS66 KLOX 071116
AFDLOX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
416 AM PDT Sat Jun 7 2025

.SYNOPSIS...07/134 AM.

Night through morning low clouds and fog will continue for the
next several days over the coast and valleys with slow, if any,
clearing at the coast. A warming trend will develop for the
weekend and through next week, especially away from the beaches.

&&

.SHORT TERM (TDY-MON)...07/101 AM.

Quiet weather is on tap, as a moisture starved low pressure system
over the Bay Area will shift southwest a few hundred miles off the
Central Coast. This low pressure system will cause 500 mb heights
and thicknesses to rise over the area the next couple of days,
allowing high temperatures to warm 1-3 degrees each day
(especially for more inland areas). High temps are expected to
reach the low to mid 90s in the warmest valleys, while coastal
areas are in the upper 60s and 70s.

One hiccup, mainly at the coasts, will be the marine layer
clouds. As The 500 mb heights rise, the marine layer depth will
become more shallow, which may lead to some dense fog along the
Central Coast and some of the LA/Ventura valleys. Additionally,
slow (and maybe even limited) clearing at the beaches could keep
high temps a little cooler than currently forecast. Otherwise, some
breezy, but sub-advisory, afternoon/evening winds across the
deserts and southwest Santa Barbara County

.LONG TERM (TUE-FRI)...07/119 AM.

As the upper level low moves into Arizona on Tuesday, a little
ridge will nudge into California. This ridge will allow one final
day of warming, with high temps reaching around the mid 90s for
coastal valleys and around 100 degrees for the Antelope Valley.
Not expecting temperatures to be high enough for heat advisories.

Through the rest of the week, a trough will develop over the
Pacific NW, allowing 500 mb heights to decrease resulting in a
slow cooling trend.

&&

.AVIATION...07/1116Z.

At 0900Z at KLAX, the marine inversion was 1800 feet deep. The
top of the inversion was 4800 feet with a temperature of
20 degrees Celsius.

For 12Z TAF package, high confidence in KPMD and KWJF. For KPRB,
there is a 30% chance of IFR CIGs 12Z-17Z. for High confidence in
VFR TAFs for KPMD and KWJF. For KSMX and KSBP, there is a
30% chance that CIGs do not develop this morning. For coastal sites
south of Point Conception, there is a 20-30% chance that MVFR CIGs
do not dissipate this afternoon. For KBUR and KVNY, timing of
dissipation of MVFR CIGs could be as early as 19Z.

KLAX...Moderate confidence in 12Z TAF. Timing of dissipation of
MVFR CIGs could be as late as 22Z (with a 30% chance that MVFR
CIGS do not dissipate at all). For tonight, timing of return of
IFR CIGs could be +/- 3 hours of current 05Z forecast. No
significant easterly wind component is expected.

KBUR...Moderate confidence in 12Z TAF. Timing of dissipation of
MVFR CIGs could be as late as 20Z. For tonight, there is a 30%
chance of IFR CIGs after 08Z.

&&

.MARINE...07/132 AM.

For the Outer Waters, moderate to high confidence in current
forecast. Today through tonight, high confidence in winds and seas
remaining below Small Craft Advisory (SCA) levels. For Sunday
through Wednesday, there is a 60-80% chance of SCA level winds
with the highest chances across PZZ673/676.

For the Inner Waters north of Point Sal, moderate to high
confidence in current forecast. Today through tonight, high
confidence in winds and seas remaining below SCA levels. For
Sunday through Wednesday, there is a 30-50% chance of SCA level
winds in the afternoon and evening hours.

For the Inner Waters south of Point Conception, moderate to high
confidence in current forecast. Today through tonight, high
confidence in winds and seas remaining below SCA levels. For
Sunday through Wednesday, there is a 30-40% chance of SCA level
winds in the afternoon and evening hours across western sections,
especially the western half of the Santa Barbara Channel.

&&

.LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...NONE.
PZ...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...Lund
AVIATION...RAT
MARINE...RAT
SYNOPSIS...MW/Ciliberti

weather.gov/losangeles

Experimental Graphical Hazardous Weather Outlook at:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=lox