Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Chicago, IL
Issued by NWS Chicago, IL
Versions:
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FNUS73 KLOT 022154
FWSLOT
Spot Forecast for Bailey Pile Burn...National Park Service
National Weather Service Chicago IL
354 PM CST Mon Dec 2 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CST on December 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office at (815) 834-0666 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
Pockets of lake-effect snow are expected to develop this evening
and fall on portions of northern and northwest Indiana through
much of tonight. Minor accumulations up to around an inch will be
possible, primarily across northern portions of Porter County and
points east. Some light snow may linger into early Tuesday
morning, but Tuesday will be largely rain and snow-free.
Cloudy skies will become partly cloudy during the morning on
Tuesday. Expect westerly to southwesterly winds at 10 to 15 mph.
Winds will increase during the night and into Wednesday with 25 to
30 mph gusts forecast during the day. Gusty rain and snow showers
are then possible along a cold front late Wednesday afternoon
into the evening with winds increasing to near 40 mph out of the
northwest.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly sunny.
Temperature.........28 at ignition...Max 33.
RH..................81 percent at ignition...Min 56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds west at 12 mph at ignition...otherwise
West winds 9 to 12 mph shifting to the
southwest around 12 mph late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Transport winds.....West 13 to 16 mph shifting to the southwest
around 15 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1400 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 2800 ft
AGL.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair /16000 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good
/37200 knot-ft/.
Wave height.........Less than 1 foot.
TIME (CST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........48 42 35 25 20 21 22 23 31
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Temp............28 29 31 32 33 33 33 32 30
RH..............81 75 69 63 58 58 56 58 60
20 FT wind dir..280 280 260 250 250 240 240 230 220
20 FT wind spd..12 10 12 12 12 13 13 13 13
20 FT wind gust.14 16 16 16 17 18 20 21 20
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 1.5 1.8 2.3 2.7 2.8 2.6 1.2 0.8
Transp wind dir.280 280 260 250 250 240 240 230 220
Transp wind spd.14 14 13 14 15 15 16 16 15
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Vrate kt-ft/1K..16 18 21 27 35 36 37 17 10
Wave height (ft)0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Temperature.........Min 26.
RH..................Max 78 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 12 to 15 mph increasing to 16
to 17 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 18 mph increasing to south 25
to 28 mph.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (30100 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (9200 knot-ft) late in the
night.
Wave height.........Less than 1 foot.
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........40 39 50 54 54 47 42 41 43 47 55 62
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Temp............28 27 27 27 27 26 26 26 26 27 28 28
RH..............66 68 68 68 68 74 74 78 78 74 71 71
20 FT wind dir..210 210 210 210 210 210 210 210 200 200 200 200
20 FT wind spd..13 14 15 16 17 18 18 18 20 20 20 20
20 FT wind gust.20 22 24 26 28 29 30 30 30 30 30 30
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.0 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3
Transp wind dir.210 210 210 210 210 210 210 210 200 200 200 200
Transp wind spd.15 18 21 22 24 25 25 28 28 26 25 25
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Vrate kt-ft/1K..9 13 16 19 23 21 20 27 28 28 29 30
Wave height (ft)0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and snow
showers in the afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 40.
RH..................Min 69 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 17 mph shifting to the
west 17 to 18 mph late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Transport winds.....Southwest 26 to 30 mph increasing to west
around 38 mph.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (31400 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (120300 knot-ft) in the
afternoon increasing to excellent (141400
knot-ft) late in the afternoon.
Wave height.........Less than 1 foot.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........68 74 81 87 85 82 80 78 77 75 78 81
Weather cov..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type.... RS RS RS RS RS RS
Temp............29 30 32 33 35 37 38 39 39 39 39 38
RH..............72 75 75 78 75 75 76 73 73 73 73 73
20 FT wind dir..200 210 220 220 230 240 240 250 260 260 270 270
20 FT wind spd..18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 20 20 21 21
20 FT wind gust.29 29 29 29 29 29 29 29 29 29 29 30
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 1.5 1.7 1.8 2.2 2.5 2.9 3.2 3.4 3.7 4.0 4.3
Transp wind dir.200 210 220 220 230 240 240 250 260 260 260 270
Transp wind spd.26 26 28 28 29 29 30 30 30 31 35 38
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 30 30 30 30 30 30
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Vrate kt-ft/1K..31 35 39 44 54 64 75 83 91 102 120 141
Wave height (ft)0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
$$
Forecaster...Doom
Requested by...Christian Pichay
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2427591.0/LOT
.DELDT 12/02/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0