Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Louisville, KY

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Spot Forecast for Yellowbank WMA Rx Burn August 25, 2025...KY Fish and Wildlife
National Weather Service Louisville KY
601 AM EDT Sun Aug 24 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0000 CDT on August 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Temperatures today will remain in the low to mid
80s, but dew points will begin to decrease. In the afternoon,
efficient mixing will bring down some drier air and dew points in
the low 50s. Winds will gust up to 25mph at the surface. Will see
excellent mixing and dispersion today.

This trend will continue Monday through at least Thursday. Each
afternoon, ample mixing will bring down drier air and surface dew
points in the low 40s. Some areas will likely see dew points as
low as the mid-to-upper 30s. Very abnormal for this time of year.
Surface winds will also gust up to 20mph. Transport winds will
remain steady out of the northwest. Therefore, excellent mixing
and dispersion will continue through the week.

High pressure over the region will keep dry weather and mostly
sunny skies through the week. We are next expecting any rain
through at least Friday.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Temperature.........Min 53.
RH..................Max 93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3400 knot-ft).
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................3.

TIME (CDT)      MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM
Sky (%).........7   7   5   3   3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............58  57  57  55  55
RH..............87  90  86  93  90
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.2
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   7   7
LVORI...........6   6   6   6   6
ADI.............3   3   3   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/10003   4   4   4   4

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Temperature.........Max 76.
RH..................Min 40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 7 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1300 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (68000 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................3 early in the morning increasing to 95 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM
Sky (%).........3   3   0   0   5   8   20  24  27  29  32  34
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............54  53  54  59  65  70  72  73  74  75  76  76
RH..............90  93  93  87  68  55  51  48  43  43  42  40
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   2   2   2   3   3   4   4   4   4
20 FT wind gust.        2   4   6   6   7   8   8   8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.2 0.5 1.6 3.1 4.4 5.1 5.5 5.6 6.0 6.2 5.8
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   8   10  12  13  13  13  13  13  13
LVORI...........6   6   6   4   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............3   7   7   17  42  64  81  86  88  93  95  90
SDspl kt-ft/10002   1   3   12  28  44  56  60  62  67  68  64

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Temperature.........Min 50.
RH..................Max 100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (42800 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (2000 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................62 early in the evening decreasing to 2 late in
                    the night.

TIME (CDT)      5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM
Sky (%).........40  45  51  44  38  31  25  20  14  11  9   6
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............74  72  70  66  63  60  58  57  56  55  54  53
RH..............44  48  55  63  67  75  80  80  83  86  86  89
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.7   6   6   5   4   2
Mix hgt (kft)...4.3 2.4 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N
Transp wind spd.12  9   8   7   6   6   6   7   7   6   6   5
LVORI...........1   2   3   3   3   4   5   5   5   6   6   7
ADI.............62  4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2
SDspl kt-ft/100043  19  6   2   2   3   3   3   4   3   3   2

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Patchy fog early in the
                    morning.
Temperature.........Max 76.
RH..................Min 37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......8700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (700 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (78200 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................2 early in the morning increasing to 104 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM
Sky (%).........6   6   6   5   4   3   13  22  32  26  21  15
Weather cov.....PTY PTY PTY
Weather type....FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
Temp............51  50  51  56  63  69  72  74  74  75  76  75
RH..............96  100 100 86  67  53  49  43  40  40  39  37
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   1   1   2   2   3   4   4   4   4
20 FT wind gust.            2   4   5   6   6   7   8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.2 0.5 1.6 3.1 4.7 6.2 7.4 8.2 8.7 8.6 7.7
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.5   5   5   6   6   7   8   8   9   10  10  10
LVORI...........8   9   9   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............2   4   4   12  23  41  60  71  88  104 103 94
SDspl kt-ft/10001   1   2   8   16  28  43  52  66  78  77  70

$$
Forecaster...SRW
Requested by...thomas young
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2520321.0/LMK
.DELDT 08/24/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL thomas.young@ky.gov