Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Louisville, KY

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544
FNUS73 KLMK 092221
FWSLMK

Spot Forecast for Sisters Rx...NBGIF
National Weather Service Louisville KY
621 PM EDT Sun Mar 9 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on March 10.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Expect cold mornings with unseasonably mild afternoons through
Tuesday. Afternoon humidity levels will generally run between 30
and 40 percent, but a more efficient dry air mixdown could result
in humidities lower than forecast. Smoke dispersion will be poor
in the mornings due to stout low-level inversions, but should
improve dramatically around midday with deeper mixing.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Temperature.........35 at ignition...Max 67.
RH..................67 percent at ignition...Min 29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southeast at 1 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Light winds becoming west
                    around 5 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Variable around 5 mph in the morning and early
                    afternoon, then shifting to the west 5 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /1000 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...marginal
                    /31700 knot-ft/.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................2 early in the morning increasing to 44 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........1      1      0      2      2      3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............35     33     43     54     61     63
RH..............67     76     60     42     31     29
20 ft wind......SE 1   SE 2   S 2    SW 2   W 2    W 4
20 ft wind gust.              4      4      4      5
Mix hgt (ft)....300    300    800    2000   3500   4200
Transport wind..NE 5   SE 5   N 5    NW 5   W 5    W 8
LVORI...........3      4      3      2      2      1
ADI.............2      5      5      12     20     40
SDspl kt-ft/10001      1      3      8      14     30

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Temperature.........Min 40.
RH..................Max 76 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 12 mph increasing to 12 to 13
                    mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1100 knot-ft).
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................4 to 33.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........4      3      1      1      2      1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............62     57     51     47     44     42
RH..............33     45     54     63     68     73
20 ft wind......W 3    W 2    SW 2   SW 3   S 3    S 4
20 ft wind gust.5             4      4      5      6
Mix hgt (ft)....2900   500    200    400    400    400
Transport wind..W 9    W 8    SW 8   SW 9   SW 10  SW 12
LVORI...........1      2      2      3      3      3
ADI.............33     4      4      4      5      5
SDspl kt-ft/100023     3      2      3      3      4

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Temperature.........Max 72.
RH..................Min 36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 14 to 21 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3800 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (71600 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................6 early in the morning increasing to 91 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........1      1      3      2      1      2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............42     42     51     60     67     69
RH..............73     76     63     49     39     36
20 ft wind......S 5    S 5    SW 6   SW 7   SW 7   SW 6
20 ft wind gust.6      6      9      11     11     11
Mix hgt (ft)....300    400    900    1800   3000   4000
Transport wind..SW 14  SW 15  SW 18  SW 21  SW 21  SW 21
LVORI...........3      4      2      1      1      1
ADI.............6      16     21     48     66     77
SDspl kt-ft/10004      5      14     33     54     72

$$
Forecaster...RAS
Requested by...Abner
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2505387.1/LMK
.DELDT 03/10/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL dylan.abner@nbgif.org,bryan.cobban@ky.gov