


Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Louisville, KY
Issued by NWS Louisville, KY
866 FNUS53 KLMK 161928 FWFLMK Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central Kentucky and Southern Indiana National Weather Service Louisville KY 328 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025 .DISCUSSION...High pressure centered over the Great Lakes today will bring east-northeast winds across the area, keeping temperatures a few degrees cooler than previous days. A combination of modest transport winds and relatively shallow mixing depths will limit dispersion parameters on Friday. Afternoon relative humidity values will also be somewhat elevated, falling into the 40s in many locations. A stronger storm system will move across the region Saturday evening into Sunday morning, bringing gusty winds along with showers and thunderstorms. A few thunderstorms Saturday evening could be strong. Total rainfall amounts are expected to range from 0.75" to 1.75" in most locations. INZ076-083-084-089-170815- Orange-Dubois-Crawford-Perry- Including the cities of Paoli, Jasper, English, and Tell City 328 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025 /228 PM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025/ Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat CLOUD COVER Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy PRECIP TYPE None None None Showers CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 40 TEMP (24H TREND) 46 (-11) 74 (+1) 55 83 RH % (24H TREND) 86 (-10) 41 (-13) 96 48 20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var 20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 7 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 2780 6396 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 8 SW 24 VENT RATE (KT-FT) 22194 148933 DISPERSION Poor Excellent DSI STBL STBL STBL SLGT UNSTBL ADI EARLY 5 VERY POOR 16 GEN POOR 5 VERY POOR 34 FAIR ADI LATE 5 VERY POOR 23 FAIR 6 VERY POOR 107 VERY GOOD MAX LVORI EARLY 5 4 4 6 MAX LVORI LATE 5 2 6 1 REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS. LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX. .SUNDAY...Rain showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 60s. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds up to 15 mph with gusts to around 30 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the lower 60s. West winds up to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Highs in the mid 60s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph. $$ KYZ023>028-053-061>063-070>074-170815- Hancock-Breckinridge-Meade-Ohio-Grayson-Hardin-Larue-Butler- Edmonson-Hart-Logan-Warren-Simpson-Allen-Barren- Including the cities of Lewisport, Hawesville, Hardinsburg, Brandenburg, Hartford, Leitchfield, Elizabethtown, Hodgenville, Morgantown, Brownsville, Horse Cave, Russellville, Bowling Green, Franklin, Providence, Scottsville, and Glasgow 328 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025 /228 PM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025/ Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat CLOUD COVER Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Mclear PRECIP TYPE None None None Showers CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0 TEMP (24H TREND) 46 (-9) 79 (+5) 56 85 RH % (24H TREND) 83 (-13) 39 (-10) 94 46 20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) Lgt/Var S 5 20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 9 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3805 6475 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 7 SW 21 VENT RATE (KT-FT) 23317 127188 DISPERSION Poor Excellent DSI STBL SLGT UNSTBL STBL MOD UNSTBL ADI EARLY 5 VERY POOR 12 POOR 5 VERY POOR 33 FAIR ADI LATE 5 VERY POOR 22 FAIR 7 POOR 81 GOOD MAX LVORI EARLY 4 4 4 6 MAX LVORI LATE 4 2 6 1 REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS. LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX. .SUNDAY...Rain showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s. South winds around 10 mph with gusts to around 35 mph. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds up to 15 mph with gusts to around 30 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 60s. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the lower 60s. West winds up to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Highs in the mid 60s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph. $$ INZ077>079-090>092-KYZ029>034-038-045-170815- Washington IN-Scott IN-Jefferson IN-Harrison IN-Floyd-Clark IN- Bullitt-Jefferson-Oldham-Trimble-Henry-Shelby-Spencer-Nelson- Including the cities of Salem, Scottsburg, Madison, Corydon, New Albany, Jeffersonville, Shepherdsville, Louisville, La Grange, Bedford, Milton, New Castle, Shelbyville, Taylorsville, and Bardstown 328 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025 Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat CLOUD COVER Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Mclear PRECIP TYPE None None None Showers CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0 TEMP (24H TREND) 44 (-12) 74 (+3) 54 82 RH % (24H TREND) 84 (-8) 39 (-11) 94 50 20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) Lgt/Var S 5 20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 9 G17 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3229 6141 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 8 SW 21 VENT RATE (KT-FT) 20792 136063 DISPERSION Poor Excellent DSI STBL STBL STBL SLGT UNSTBL ADI EARLY 5 VERY POOR 16 GEN POOR 6 VERY POOR 32 FAIR ADI LATE 5 VERY POOR 22 FAIR 7 POOR 78 GOOD MAX LVORI EARLY 4 4 3 5 MAX LVORI LATE 4 2 5 1 REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS. LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX. .SUNDAY...Rain showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s. South winds around 10 mph with gusts to around 40 mph. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper 60s. Southwest winds up to 20 mph with gusts to around 35 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. West winds 5 to 15 mph with gusts to around 30 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs around 60. West winds up to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Highs in the lower 60s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph. $$ KYZ035>037-039>043-046>049-170815- Franklin-Scott KY-Harrison KY-Anderson-Woodford-Fayette-Bourbon- Nicholas-Washington KY-Mercer-Jessamine-Clark KY- Including the cities of Frankfort, Georgetown, Cynthiana, Lawrenceburg, Versailles, Lexington, Paris, Carlisle, Springfield, Harrodsburg, Nicholasville, and Winchester 328 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025 Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat CLOUD COVER Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Mclear PRECIP TYPE None None None None CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0 TEMP (24H TREND) 40 (-16) 74 (+4) 52 83 RH % (24H TREND) 85 (+4) 34 (-9) 92 46 20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) Lgt/Var S 5 20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 9 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3305 5719 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 6 SW 20 VENT RATE (KT-FT) 17796 98911 DISPERSION Poor Excellent DSI STBL STBL STBL SLGT UNSTBL ADI EARLY 5 VERY POOR 18 GEN POOR 6 VERY POOR 35 FAIR ADI LATE 5 VERY POOR 22 FAIR 8 POOR 71 GOOD MAX LVORI EARLY 3 4 3 5 MAX LVORI LATE 4 2 5 1 REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS. LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX. .SUNDAY...Rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds around 10 mph with gusts to around 40 mph. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper 60s. Southwest winds up to 20 mph with gusts to around 35 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of rain showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Southwest winds up to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the lower 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph with gusts to around 25 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the lower 60s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph. $$ KYZ054>057-064>067-075>078-081-082-170815- Marion-Boyle-Garrard-Madison-Green-Taylor-Casey-Lincoln-Monroe- Metcalfe-Adair-Russell-Cumberland-Clinton- Including the cities of Lebanon, Danville, Lancaster, Richmond, Greensburg, Campbellsville, Liberty, Stanford, Tompkinsville, Edmonton, Columbia, Jamestown, Burkesville, and Albany 328 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025 /228 PM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025/ Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat CLOUD COVER Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Mclear PRECIP TYPE None None None None CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0 TEMP (24H TREND) 43 (-12) 77 (+4) 54 84 RH % (24H TREND) 84 (-9) 34 (-11) 92 45 20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) Lgt/Var S 5 20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 8 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4224 6000 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 5 SW 18 VENT RATE (KT-FT) 21120 97413 DISPERSION Poor Excellent DSI STBL SLGT UNSTBL STBL SLGT UNSTBL ADI EARLY 5 VERY POOR 15 GEN POOR 5 VERY POOR 39 FAIR ADI LATE 5 VERY POOR 20 GEN POOR 6 VERY POOR 78 GOOD MAX LVORI EARLY 3 4 4 6 MAX LVORI LATE 4 2 6 1 REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS. LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX. .SUNDAY...Rain showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds around 10 mph with gusts to around 35 mph. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper 60s. Southwest winds up to 15 mph with gusts to around 35 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. A 40 percent chance of rain showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph with gusts to around 25 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the lower 60s. West winds up to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid 60s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph. $$