538
FXUS63 KLMK 101913
AFDLMK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Louisville KY
313 PM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

*  Pleasant weather continues, with partly cloudy skies this
   afternoon into Saturday.

*  Dry conditions are expected through the weekend with highs in the
   low to mid 70s.

*  Gradual warming trend continues early next week, with highs in
   the mid 70s to near 80 for Monday and Tuesday.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 312 PM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025

Upper level ridging remains positioned over the central CONUS this
afternoon. A stacked low is rotating southeast over the Great Lakes,
with a trailing cold front cutting through WI, IA, and KS. The low
is forecast to steadily weaken through tomorrow as it slows over the
eastern Great Lakes. The moisture-starved cold front will eventually
sink into our area tomorrow. We will only see some high clouds this
afternoon and evening, and likely some additional mid and high
clouds tomorrow. A period of clearing does look likely later tonight
after the high clouds have passed, so we`re looking at a cool night
with variable cloudiness. Lows Saturday morning will range through
the 40s, with near 50 in southern KY.

Light NNE low-level flow is reestablished Saturday and Saturday
night. The trend will be for decreasing clouds, with mainly clear
conditions Saturday evening and overnight. Overall, a pretty nice
day with partly sunny skies at highs in the low to mid 70s. Clear
overnight with Sunday morning lows in the 40s.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Issued at 312 PM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025

The weather continues to look dry and pleasant for several days next
week. Sunday through the middle of next week, upper level ridging
steadily building into the region from the southwest. Sunday into
Monday, a powerful low pressure system will race from the northern
Plains to Hudson Bay. This system`s cold front will likely stay off
to our northwest early in the week. Meanwhile, stationary sfc high
pressure over eastern Canada will gradually weaken with time.
Eventually, it looks like we could get a dry front through here by
the middle of next week. Forcing just looks really weak with the
ridging in place, and with persistent NE low-level flow, moisture
advection will be quite limited as well.

The end result is likely multiple days of dry weather with gradually
warming temps through Tue-Wed. Then, a modest cool down will be
possible Wed-Thu in the wake of a frontal passage. Highs in the
mid/upper 70s should be common for Mon/Tue, with upper 60s and lower
70s more likely by Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 157 PM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025

VFR conditions likely. Winds are light and variable through the
period. SCT-BKN high clouds will spread southeast over the region
this afternoon and evening, following by a period of clearing. Then,
some additional SCT mid-level clouds will be possible overnight into
early Saturday.

&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...None.
IN...None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...EBW
LONG TERM...EBW
AVIATION...EBW