Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
901 FXUS65 KLKN 300917 AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Elko NV 217 AM PDT Mon Sep 30 2024 .SYNOPSIS...Look for slightly cooler temperatures today though plenty of sunshine will be had by all across northern and central Nevada. Dry conditions will persist through the week with warming temperatures back into the 80s and even some low 90s in central Nevada by mid-week. && .SHORT TERM...Today through Tuesday night. Skies are mostly clear this morning across northern and central Nevada. The main features include a dry and weak upper low that will meander around the eastern Pacific and southwest California through the short term, while upper level ridging will build in from the west. This will give the forecast area dry conditions through the period. Some afternoon breezes will continue across northern Nevada, north of the I-80 corridor, with gusts to 20 mph. Highs today will be in the 70s in the north to the 80s in central Nevada. Look for clear and quiet conditions for the overnight with lows in the 30s and 40s. For Tuesday and Tuesday night, the aforementioned upper low is expected to move slightly to the west while the ridge maintains a position out in the eastern Pacific. The air mass will remain dry over the region and winds will remain light throughout the day and night. Highs Tuesday will warm into the 80s with overnight lows in the 30s and 40s. .LONG TERM...Wednesday through next Monday. High pressure remains across the Great Basin and southwestern US Wednesday and Thursday which will continue to provide warm and dry conditions to northern and central NV. Highs on Wednesday will be 10-12 degrees above normal with 80s in most locations. The forecast high temperature for Tonopah on Wednesday is 89, with the record high for the date of 88 degrees. Other locations are expected to be a few degrees below their record high temperatures. A similar scenario is expected on Thursday, with Tonopah forecast to tie the record high temperature of October 3rd with a high of 88 degrees. Thursday night into Friday as trough energy approaches the Pacific NW coast, the flow aloft across NV transitions from weak zonal to southwesterly. The increased southwesterly flow will help push temperatures across the northern half of the CWA up by around 3 degrees. Near-record temperatures are forecast for Winnemucca, Elko and Tonopah Friday. Weak instability each day Saturday through Monday across portions of the CWA which should result in partly to mostly cloudy skies in the afternoon hours. At this time not expecting any thunderstorms to develop, however temperatures will be a few degrees cooler. && .AVIATION...VFR conditions at all terminals today under sunny skies. Northerly winds will gust 20 to 30kts across portions of northern NV near and north of the I-80 corridor through noon today, including at KWMC where gusts of 25kts are expected. This afternoon winds will be relatively light, though KELY will have gusts around 15kts. Clear skies and light winds tonight. && .FIRE WEATHER...Look for upper-level high pressure to slowly work to the east as a shortwave trough moves eastward over the Pacific Northwest. Unseasonably mild temperatures will continue over the area through the week. Winds will remain in check with occasional gusts to 20 mph and minimum relative humidity in the single digits and teens at least through mid-week. && .LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories... None. && $$ 86/96/96/86