Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
167 FXUS65 KLKN 051940 AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Elko NV 1020 AM PDT Tue Aug 5 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1020 AM PDT Tue Aug 5 2025 * Critical fire weather conditions across much of Central Nevada each afternoon and evening today and Wednesday * Critical fire weather conditions in White Pine and Northeastern Nye Counties Thursday afternoon and Thursday evening * No precipitation expected for the next several days && .UPDATE... Issued at 1240 PM PDT Tue Aug 5 2025 No updates are planned for this afternoon. && .DISCUSSION... (Today through next Tuesday) WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Current radar loop is not showing anything in the way of returns while satellite is showing main clear skies. For today, a large expansive ridge will be over the southern United States while a weak trough will be situated across the western United States. The proximity of the ridge and trough will bring breezy to locally windy conditions to portions of central Nevada today. As such, a red flag warning is in effect for the central zones. In other locations to the north, winds are not expected to be as strong with gusts to about 20 mph. With the ongoing wildfires in the area, smoke will be an issue across northern and central Nevada. Look for continued dry conditions for the upcoming week as models depict the upper ridge wobbling around the New Mexico area while the trough axis slowly moves east. This setup will continue to bring breezy to locally windy conditions for mainly central Nevada each afternoon through the week, especially Wednesday and Thursday. Winds in these locations can gust to 35 mph. In other locations, gusts can approach 20 to 25 mph. By Friday, the trough will have pushed to the east with a more relaxed pressure gradient, and winds will be a little less gusty with speeds near 20 mph. Skies will remain mostly sunny on Friday and lasting that way through the weekend into early next week. Temperatures through the period look to slowly warm through the week as storm chances diminish. However, convective cloud build- ups will keep daytime highs from warming too quickly. Highs look to range from the upper 80s to low 90s across Nevada today, warming into the low 90s to upper 90s by the weekend. For overnight lows look for readings each night to keep to a similar range, falling into the 40s and 50s. FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: There is High confidence of elevated fire weather conditions, with breezy winds and low afternoon surface humidity levels, across central and northern Nevada for the forecast period. There is low confidence toward the end of the extended forecast as models continue to show high uncertainty in the upper level pattern. && .AVIATION... Look for VFR conditions to continue today for all sites. Winds will out of the west to southwest at speeds of 10KT to 20KT with a few gusts up to 30KT possible. && .FIRE WEATHER... Elevated to critical fire weather conditions are expected for the next several days, with Red Flag Warnings in place for zones 425/426 today and tomorrow and a Fire Weather Watch in place for zone 425 Thursday. No thunderstorms are expected through the next few days, but elevated winds and very low minimum RH values are expected to continue to cause elevated to near critical conditions through at least this weekend. && .LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories... Red Flag Warning until 10 PM PDT this evening NVZ425-426. Red Flag Warning from 11 AM to 10 PM PDT Wednesday NVZ425-426. Fire Weather Watch from Thursday morning through Thursday evening NVZ425. && $$ DISCUSSION...86 AVIATION...86 FIRE WEATHER...94