Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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479
FXUS65 KLKN 130840
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
140 AM PDT Mon Oct 13 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

Updated at 137 AM PDT Mon Oct 13 2025

* Strong, gusty south winds in Central Nevada Monday afternoon and
  Monday evening

* Periods of precipitation throughout Northern and Central Nevada
  Tuesday through Wednesday night

* Accumulating snow on passes and summits along Highway 50 Tuesday
  through Wednesday night

* Cooling trend Tuesday and Wednesday

&&


.DISCUSSION...
(Today through next Monday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A cyclone aloft will reach the coast of
Northern California Monday. As a result, the local pressure
gradient will tighten over Central Nevada. A Wind Advisory is in
effect for Central Nevada from 11 AM PDT Monday morning until 11
PM PDT Monday evening due to south wind gusts near 45 mph. The
aforementioned upper-level area of low pressure will turn eastward
and make landfall over Central California Tuesday. The
aforementioned cyclone aloft will progress northeastward across
the Silver State Tuesday night through Wednesday night, before
entering Big Sky Country Thursday.


Precipitation ahead of the upper-level area of low pressure should
begin to overspread Central Nevada late Monday night or early
Tuesday morning. Periods of precipitation are likely throughout
Northern and Central Nevada Tuesday through Wednesday night. Snow
levels will start at around 7,000 feet Tuesday morning, before
dropping to about 6,000 feet Tuesday night. Accumulating snow is
anticipated on passes and summits along Highway 50 Tuesday through
Wednesday night. Snow amounts will be as high as two to four
inches on Austin Summit. Closer to the valley floor, rain amounts
will be generally more than one quarter of an inch. Here are
probabilities of rain amounts of 0.30 inches or more for locations
in Northern and Central Nevada Tuesday through Wednesday night:

Austin - 80%
Spring Creek - 75%
Battle Mountain - 75%
Carlin - 75%
Wells - 75%
Elko - 70%
Winnemucca - 70%
Tonopah - 70%
Jackpot - 70%
Ely - 55%

A trough of low pressure will dive southeastward through the
Pacific Northwest Thursday night. This trough of low pressure may
clip Northeastern Nevada Friday afternoon and Friday evening. A
ridge of high pressure will build northward across the Silver
State Saturday.


FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High forecast confidence
regarding strong, gusty south winds in Central Nevada Monday
afternoon and Monday evening. High forecast confidence in periods
of precipitation throughout Northern and Central Nevada Tuesday
through Wednesday night. High forecast confidence regarding a
cooling trend Tuesday and Wednesday. Moderate forecast confidence
in accumulating snow on passes and summits along Highway 50
Tuesday through Wednesday night.

&&


.AVIATION...VFR conditions will prevail at all terminals through at least the
next 24 hours. South wind gusts near 25 knots will begin at KELY
at around 16Z Monday morning. South winds will increase at all
terminals Monday afternoon.


&&


.FIRE WEATHER...A Wind Advisory is in effect for Central Nevada from 11 AM PDT
Monday morning until 11 PM PDT Monday evening due to south wind
gusts near 45 mph. The next storm system will impact Northern and
Central Nevada Tuesday through Wednesday night, resulting in
periods of precipitation. The majority of this precipitation will
fall Tuesday night.


&&


.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
Wind Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 11 PM PDT this evening
NVZ035-037-040-041.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...87
AVIATION...87
FIRE WEATHER...87