Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
991 FXUS65 KLKN 260300 AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Elko NV 800 PM PDT Fri Apr 25 2025 .SYNOPSIS...A large, slow-moving low pressure system will bring active weather for this afternoon through Monday. A shortwave trough will bring light precipitation to northern Nevada next Wednesday, and a third low is set to bring precipitation next weekend, marking an active end of April and beginning of May for the Silver State. && .UPDATE...Winds have decreased below advisory criteria, though breezy conditions may persist at times overnight. Therefore, the Wind Advisory for White Pine, Northeastern Nye, and Northwestern Nye Counties has been allowed to expire as scheduled. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1253 PM PDT Fri Apr 25 2025/ SHORT TERM...Today through Saturday A large upper-level low is currently positioned off the California coast, bringing precipitation to Nevada. The low will move ashore tomorrow and begin to shift northeast towards the Silver State. Instability, lift, and increased moisture from the low will increase our chances of thunderstorms this weekend. The main thunderstorm hazards will be lightning strikes and gusty winds from thunderstorms. Southwest winds reaching 15-20 kts with 30-35 kt gusts are expected this afternoon and tomorrow afternoon in central NV. Little accumulation is expected today and tomorrow, but more precipitation is forecast Sunday and Monday as the system moves closer to the state. && LONG TERM...Sunday through next Friday An upper-level area of low pressure will progress northeastward across Eastern Nevada Sunday. This cyclone aloft will move eastward into the Great Basin Sunday night, before opening up into a trough of low pressure over the Rockies Monday. A few strong thunderstorms are possible throughout Northern and Central Nevada Sunday afternoon into Sunday evening. The primary thunderstorm hazards will be dangerous cloud to ground lightning strikes and wind gusts near 45 mph. Periods of valley rain and mountain snow are expected Sunday into Monday morning. One to three inches of snow are anticipated over passes and summits along Highway 50 Sunday morning and Sunday afternoon. Here are probabilities of one quarter of an inch of rain or more for select locations in Northern and Central Nevada from 5 AM PDT Sunday, April 27th, 2025 until 5 AM PDT Monday, April 28th, 2025: Owyhee - 88% Spring Creek - 81% Winnemucca - 81% Carlin - 81% Elko - 76% Battle Mountain - 76% Wells - 71% Orovada - 71% McDermitt - 70% Jackpot - 64% A ridge of high pressure will move eastward across the Silver State Monday night. A trough of low pressure will progress eastward over the Pacific Northwest Tuesday and Tuesday night. The southern extent of this trough of low pressure may brush Northern Nevada Tuesday afternoon and Tuesday evening, resulting in a chance of precipitation. Any precipitation that does fall Tuesday afternoon and Tuesday evening will remain north of the Interstate 80 corridor. Forecast uncertainty increases Wednesday through next Friday as many divergent pressure patterns are depicted by various numerical models. && AVIATION...A few showers may be in the vicinity of KWMC this afternoon into this evening. South wind gusts near 35 knots at KELY will decrease to near 25 knots this evening. South wind gusts near 30 knots at KTPH will abate by 04z this evening. Southeast to south wind gusts near 25 knots at KEKO will abate by 01z this evening. VFR conditions will prevail at all terminals. && .LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories... None. && $$ 89/87/87