203
FXUS65 KLKN 092148
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
148 PM PST Sat Nov 9 2024

.SYNOPSIS...Dry and quiet weather will continue Sunday as high
pressure slides east. By Monday, low pressure system moves east
across the Pacific Northwest. This will bring increasing clouds
and chances for rain and snow showers on Monday. Cooler air will
lower snow levels to the valley floors Monday night into Tuesday,
with light accumulations expected. Another round of wintry
precipitation is possible by mid to late next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...Tonight through Sunday night. Satellite loop this
afternoon is depicting high clouds moving in from the west. For
tonight, high pressure will shift to the east with dry weather
expected during the overnight. Lows will be in the 20s.

For Sunday and Sunday night, mid to high clouds will roll in from
the west but conditions will continue to be dry. Highs will
generally be in the 50s to near 60 degrees. Winds will be light.
Look for mostly clear skies during the overnight with lows in the
20s to low 30s.

.LONG TERM...Monday through next Saturday

Long wave upper trof poised along the west coast continues to
progress eastward and into the western U.S. with attendant surface
cold front moving into Nevada from the northwest Monday morning.
Pre-frontal southwesterly breezes will be present with gusts 25 to
30 mph expected. Winds shift west-northwesterly post frontal as
the front moves thru the forecast area Monday and Monday night.
Valley rain and mountain snow will also move in with the front.
Snow levels Monday will be between 6500 and 7500 feet, lowering to
the valleys, between 4500 and 5500 feet by sunrise Tuesday.
Greatest precipitation totals will be across northern Nevada,
although they look modest at around 0.10 or less for the valleys.
The mountains will generally receive between 0.10 and 0.25.
Snow amounts will also be modest with around a half inch or less
for the valleys across northern Nevada with a skiff across central
Nevada. The mountains look to see 1 to 3 inches. Lingering snow
showers across northern Nevada dissipate thru Tuesday morning.
Look for daytime high temperatures in the 50s on Monday with
overnight lows in the 20s. Cooler Tuesday as daytime highs reside
in the upper 30s to upper 40s with overnight lows in the mid teens
to mid 20s.

Lull in weather Wednesday with temperatures warming 10+ degrees
under robust southwesterly upper flow as the next upper trof and
surface cold front encroach upon the western U.S. from the
Pacific. 10% probability for light showers north of I-80 as upper
energy ejects from the trof and moves across northern Nevada.
Little to no accumulation expected.

As indicated, the next cold front moves into the forecast area
from the northwest Thursday. Probability of precipitation resides
between 40% and 60% for northern Nevada, and 20% to 40% in central
Nevada. A second boundary is indicated to push in from the north
Friday as an upper perturbation moves south, upstream of the trof
axis. All together, latest numerical guidance indicates the
impacts associated with this late week event to be relatively
similar to those of the Monday/Monday night event, including
precipitation totals.

&&

.AVIATION...High clouds present over the region thru tomorrow
afternoon with mid level clouds moving into northern Nevada
tonight and tomorrow. That said, VFR conditions are expected for
the next 24 hours at all terminals with light winds continuing.

&&

.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

86/92/92