646
FXUS65 KLKN 152149
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
149 PM PST Mon Dec 15 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1236 PM PST Mon Dec 15 2025

* Unseasonably warm each afternoon through the weekend

* Periods of precipitation, focused across Northern Nevada,
  beginning Tuesday

* Strong west-southwest wind gusts in Northern Nevada Wednesday

&&


.DISCUSSION...
(This afternoon through next Monday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Skies are partly to mostly sunny this
afternoon across northern and central Nevada. Winds are
generally light at this time. There are mid and high level clouds
that will be traversing the area later this afternoon and
evening. Overnight lows will be in the 20s and 30s.

A west to east flow will continue tomorrow as a ridge is situated
well off the western coast of the United States. A 250mb upper
jet will be north of the forecast area and will provide limited
dynamics to the northern half of the forecast area. This will
allow for the development of light rain showers over locations
north of I-80. Precipitation amounts will be limited over the
valley locations to roughly a trace to less than a tenth of an
inch. Snow levels will be at or above 8500 feet. Highs will be in
the 50s and 60s. Look for light, showery precipitation to continue
during the overnight with lows in the 30s and 40s.

By Wednesday, models continue to depict strong winds developing
during the morning and afternoon. Southwest to west winds of 15
to 30 with gusts of 40 to 50 mph are expected. The strongest winds
are expected across northern Nevada and a wind advisory may be
required as the probability for reaching advisory wind gusts are
about forty to seventy percent or higher in the above locations.
Snow levels are forecast will again be around 7000 feet or so,
though cooler air is expected to filter in by the later afternoon
period as winds shift to a west-northwest direction. Highs will
again reach the 50s to low 60s. Overnight lows will be in the 30s.
Snow levels in the far north are expected to drop to at or above
5000 feet during the overnight. Light snowfall amounts up to a
half inch are expected in the north, along SR225 from roughly
Wildhorse to the border with Idaho.

Thursday through Sunday, periods of showery precipitation are
expected through this timeframe as model solutions keep an upper
ridge well off the southwest coast. No strong cold pushes are
expected through this period with a mostly west to east flow
continuing. Highs will be in the 50s to low 60s. Overnight lows
will be in the 30s and 40s. Winds will be breezy along the
northern sections of the forecast area, north of I-80 with gusts
to 30 to 40 mph, each afternoon from Thursday through the weekend.
Overnight lows will be in the 30s and 40s.


FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: Confidence remains high on short
term rain fall and high temperatures being above normal.
Confidence is also high with respect to strong to very strong
winds developing across the northern half of Nevada Wednesday
afternoon. Confidence in rainfall and snowfall amounts remain low
to moderate at this time.

&&


.AVIATION...

VFR conditions expected at all sites through the next
24 hours with light winds.

&&


.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...86
AVIATION...94