Probability of Exceed
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
Versions:
1
003
FXUS40 KWNC 151231
POELHM
HEATING DEGREE DAYS PROB. OF EXCEEDENCE OUTLOOKS - DIVISIONS
NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
830 AM THU 15 MAY 2025
VALID: JUNE - AUGUST 2026
...HEATING DEGREE DAYS IN FAHRENHEIT 65F BASIS...
#. DIVISION NAME CLIM LINE1
98 95 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 5 2 LINE2
________________________________________________________________
1. N NEW ENGLAND 367
192 209 225 250 269 286 304 321 340 364 398 427 461
2. NE NEW ENGLAND 196
0 0 0 29 77 125 144 206 217 232 252 271 298
3. N NEW YORK 229
0 0 0 22 78 132 149 211 226 247 277 305 340
4. S NEW ENGLAND 88
0 0 0 0 0 0 35 58 66 77 95 112 134
5. E GRT LAKES 174
0 0 0 0 40 94 123 180 197 218 250 278 313
6. OHIO 79
0 0 0 0 6 28 36 51 63 79 106 129 158
7. MID-ATL COAST 21
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 24 32 44
8. N APPALACHNS 130
0 0 0 0 7 48 68 100 111 127 151 172 200
9. CENT APPALACHNS 73
0 0 0 0 4 29 40 59 69 82 102 119 139
10. COASTL VIRG 13
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 4 7 11 17 24
11. S APPALACHNS 36
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 27 33 42 56 69 87
12. COASTL CAROLNAS 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 3
13. INTERIOR CAROLNAS 8
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 10 13 18
14. UPPER MICH 342
0 0 24 118 207 294 291 384 412 447 498 542 594
15. N MINN 320
0 11 65 158 244 329 293 359 390 427 483 531 589
16. E NORTH DAK 261
0 0 14 98 178 256 242 311 336 368 420 466 521
17. W NORTH DAK 280
0 3 54 143 226 308 266 320 347 382 437 484 541
18. E MONT 254
0 0 0 57 140 220 232 316 342 376 424 467 519
19. N-CENT MONT 348
0 13 67 161 248 332 298 365 392 425 475 517 569
20. S-CENT MONT 365
0 7 61 155 242 326 287 349 377 412 462 506 558
21. W MONT 471
223 245 268 301 327 349 373 396 422 453 499 538 585
22. N-CENT MICH 210
0 0 0 22 86 148 160 220 242 268 308 343 386
23. S MICH 98
0 0 0 9 40 71 66 85 102 123 156 186 223
24. E-CENT ILL 69
0 0 0 0 18 44 55 79 91 106 130 152 179
25. N ILL 119
0 0 2 37 72 106 95 120 137 159 192 223 260
26. N WISC 245
0 0 10 88 161 232 217 277 299 327 369 407 451
27. SE MINN 172
0 0 0 26 92 152 152 198 221 250 293 330 375
28. E SOUTH DAK 176
0 7 39 96 149 204 167 192 217 248 295 337 387
29. CENT SOUTH DAK 171
0 0 16 72 126 179 161 199 224 257 306 350 403
30. W SOUTH DAK 188
0 7 45 112 175 237 184 201 231 269 324 372 427
31. NE WYOMING 261
0 0 0 51 129 206 221 300 324 355 400 441 492
32. NW WYOMING 422
0 4 62 164 260 355 336 429 457 491 540 582 632
33. E IOWA 102
0 0 0 38 74 110 98 123 138 158 189 217 251
34. NW IOWA 119
0 0 0 27 71 114 116 155 173 197 233 265 305
35. CENT NEBRASKA 128
0 0 0 25 67 108 108 142 161 186 223 256 297
36. S NEBRASKA 86
26 30 35 45 57 69 81 94 109 129 160 187 218
37. W NEBR/CHEYENE 177
0 0 0 4 71 131 139 188 209 235 275 310 352
38. E KENTUCKY 40
0 0 0 0 0 0 24 40 46 53 66 78 94
39. W KENTUCKY 22
0 0 0 0 0 7 9 13 17 24 35 46 59
40. SE MISSOURI 24
0 0 0 0 0 4 11 17 23 31 43 55 70
41. NE MISSOURI 50
0 0 7 21 35 49 41 49 58 70 89 108 131
42. NW MISSOURI 47
0 1 8 20 33 45 37 43 52 65 84 103 126
43. E KANSAS 29
0 0 5 14 22 30 22 23 29 36 48 60 75
44. CENT KANSAS 38
0 0 0 0 5 21 30 45 51 60 76 90 106
45. W KANSAS 48
0 0 0 2 17 31 32 45 52 63 79 93 112
46. NE COLO 227
0 0 0 22 88 153 167 230 251 277 316 350 391
47. SE COLO 137
0 0 0 0 0 21 76 119 133 151 181 209 245
48. W COLO 299
0 0 0 29 91 152 166 231 254 285 331 371 420
49. SW WYOMING 470
191 215 240 275 304 330 356 383 412 449 501 546 601
50. CENT TENN 21
0 0 0 0 0 0 7 11 16 22 33 43 56
51. W TENN 4
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 14 19 25
52. OZARK MOUNTNS 18
0 0 0 0 3 8 10 14 18 23 33 43 57
53. CENT OKLAHOMA 6
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 9 14 20 29
54. TX W OF ABILENE 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 6 10 16
55. N HI PLAINS TX 10
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 13 20 31
56. N GEORGIA 6
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 10 13 19
57. N ALABAMA 6
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 13 16 21
58. CENT MISSISSIPPI 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 18
59. S ARKANSAS 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 5 7 11
60. E TX 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
61. DALLAS REG TX 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 5
62. SAN ANTONIO REG TX 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8
63. FAR S TX 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
64. W-CENT TX 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
65. W TX PANHANDLE 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
66. JAXONVIL FLA REG 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
67. CENT FLA 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
68. S FLA 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
69. FLA PANHANDLE 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12
70. COASTL LOUISIANA 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
71. COASTL TX NR HOUST 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5
72. NW WASH 281
0 0 0 48 112 175 194 271 288 308 339 367 402
73. PENDELTON REG OREG 325
0 0 0 3 85 166 204 305 323 345 384 419 461
74. CENT WASH 232
0 0 0 15 74 129 141 194 209 229 259 285 316
75. SEATTLE REG WASH 484
208 228 247 277 300 321 341 362 386 415 455 490 531
76. COASTL WASH 551
330 351 370 395 413 430 446 463 481 503 538 569 605
77. E IDAHO 319
0 0 0 0 60 145 202 312 332 357 403 443 492
78. IDAHO CENT MOUNTNS 447
0 16 71 168 260 352 325 405 433 466 515 557 606
79. SW IDAHO 144
0 0 0 0 0 4 56 89 109 133 166 196 233
80. E OREG 365
0 0 15 99 178 256 260 351 374 403 444 479 522
81. OREG COASTL VALLEY 249
0 0 0 0 34 107 158 247 261 280 308 336 371
82. OREG COAST 485
302 323 343 368 388 405 422 439 457 480 516 548 586
83. NE UTAH 284
0 0 0 0 0 0 164 279 295 317 351 384 431
84. SE UTAH 37
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 27 31 38 50 64 83
85. W UTAH 90
0 0 0 0 0 2 21 34 45 59 83 107 137
86. NE NEVADA 304
0 0 11 81 147 211 208 275 294 317 357 395 440
87. NW NEVADA 228
0 0 0 0 32 96 133 193 209 229 261 289 323
88. SACRMNTO REG CALIF 97
0 0 0 0 0 0 27 43 52 66 87 106 129
89. N CALIF COAST 151
0 0 0 0 0 40 100 165 174 185 202 217 236
90. CENT NEVADA 109
0 0 0 0 14 38 51 78 86 99 118 140 168
91. FRESNO REG CALIF 36
0 0 0 0 0 1 10 16 20 25 33 42 53
92. CENT CALIF COAST 147
0 0 0 0 31 76 104 157 167 181 201 220 244
93. S CALIF COAST 52
0 0 0 0 9 26 32 46 53 63 78 90 107
94. SE CALIF 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 5 8
95. LAS VEGAS NEV REG 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
96. SW ARIZONA 4
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 5
97. NE ARIZONA 74
0 0 0 0 0 2 27 43 51 63 82 101 125
98. SE ARIZONA 5
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 19
99. N NEW MEX 225
0 0 0 0 31 98 143 222 237 257 287 316 352
100. E NEW MEX 18
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 5 8 14 19 26
101. CENT NEW MEX 84
0 0 0 0 0 0 32 52 61 71 89 105 126
102. S NEW MEX 11
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 17 24
$$