


Probability of Exceed
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
Versions:
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726 FXUS35 KWNC 161231 POELHH HEATING DEGREE DAYS PROB. OF EXCEEDENCE OUTLOOKS - DIVISIONS NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 830 AM THU 16 OCT 2025 VALID: JUNE - AUGUST 2026 ...HEATING DEGREE DAYS IN FAHRENHEIT 65F BASIS... #. DIVISION NAME CLIM LINE1 98 95 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 5 2 LINE2 ________________________________________________________________ 1. N NEW ENGLAND 367 189 206 222 245 264 281 298 314 334 357 390 418 451 2. NE NEW ENGLAND 196 0 0 0 26 74 121 141 203 213 227 248 266 292 3. N NEW YORK 229 0 0 0 30 87 143 159 223 239 260 291 320 356 4. S NEW ENGLAND 88 0 0 0 0 0 1 37 59 68 79 97 115 137 5. E GRT LAKES 174 0 0 0 5 62 119 133 187 205 229 264 295 333 6. OHIO 79 0 0 0 0 8 32 40 56 69 86 114 140 171 7. MID-ATL COAST 21 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 33 43 57 8. N APPALACHNS 130 0 0 0 0 13 56 75 110 122 139 165 189 218 9. CENT APPALACHNS 73 0 0 0 0 5 31 42 60 71 87 107 126 148 10. COASTL VIRG 13 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 5 8 13 18 25 11. S APPALACHNS 36 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 28 34 43 58 71 90 12. COASTL CAROLNAS 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 3 13. INTERIOR CAROLNAS 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 9 13 18 14. UPPER MICH 342 0 0 25 123 216 308 300 392 423 462 520 569 626 15. N MINN 320 0 11 65 158 244 329 293 359 390 427 483 531 589 16. E NORTH DAK 261 0 0 14 98 178 256 242 311 336 368 420 466 521 17. W NORTH DAK 280 0 3 54 143 226 308 266 320 347 382 437 484 541 18. E MONT 254 0 0 0 57 140 220 232 316 342 376 424 467 519 19. N-CENT MONT 348 0 13 67 161 248 333 298 365 392 426 475 518 569 20. S-CENT MONT 365 0 7 62 156 244 329 289 351 379 414 466 510 564 21. W MONT 471 221 244 267 300 327 350 374 398 425 457 505 544 594 22. N-CENT MICH 210 0 0 0 27 95 161 170 230 254 285 331 371 421 23. S MICH 98 0 0 0 12 45 79 73 93 111 135 171 204 245 24. E-CENT ILL 69 0 0 0 0 19 46 57 82 94 111 137 162 192 25. N ILL 119 0 0 2 39 75 112 98 123 142 168 207 243 286 26. N WISC 245 0 0 11 91 167 240 221 278 303 333 380 421 471 27. SE MINN 172 0 0 0 26 92 152 152 198 221 250 293 330 375 28. E SOUTH DAK 176 0 7 39 96 149 204 167 192 217 248 295 337 387 29. CENT SOUTH DAK 171 0 0 16 72 126 179 161 199 224 257 306 350 403 30. W SOUTH DAK 188 0 7 45 112 175 237 184 201 231 269 324 372 427 31. NE WYOMING 261 0 0 0 49 129 208 221 298 325 358 408 454 509 32. NW WYOMING 422 0 0 59 164 262 359 336 427 457 493 547 592 645 33. E IOWA 102 0 0 0 38 74 110 98 123 138 158 189 217 251 34. NW IOWA 119 0 0 0 27 71 114 116 155 173 197 233 265 305 35. CENT NEBRASKA 128 0 0 0 25 67 108 108 142 161 186 223 256 297 36. S NEBRASKA 86 26 30 35 45 57 69 81 94 109 129 160 187 218 37. W NEBR/CHEYENE 177 0 0 0 2 70 131 137 186 207 233 274 310 352 38. E KENTUCKY 40 0 0 0 0 0 0 25 42 49 57 71 85 103 39. W KENTUCKY 22 0 0 0 0 1 8 10 14 20 27 40 52 67 40. SE MISSOURI 24 0 0 0 0 0 5 12 19 25 35 50 64 82 41. NE MISSOURI 50 0 0 7 21 35 49 41 49 58 70 89 108 131 42. NW MISSOURI 47 0 1 8 20 33 45 37 43 52 65 84 103 126 43. E KANSAS 29 0 0 5 14 22 30 22 23 29 36 49 61 77 44. CENT KANSAS 38 0 0 0 0 5 21 30 45 52 62 79 93 112 45. W KANSAS 48 0 0 0 2 16 31 32 45 53 64 81 97 118 46. NE COLO 227 0 0 0 19 84 149 162 224 246 273 314 349 392 47. SE COLO 137 0 0 0 0 0 15 73 115 127 145 173 200 235 48. W COLO 299 0 0 0 18 79 140 155 220 242 271 316 356 404 49. SW WYOMING 470 186 210 235 271 299 326 352 379 410 447 501 547 604 50. CENT TENN 21 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 12 16 22 33 43 57 51. W TENN 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 14 18 24 52. OZARK MOUNTNS 18 0 0 0 0 3 8 10 14 18 23 33 43 57 53. CENT OKLAHOMA 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 9 14 20 29 54. TX W OF ABILENE 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 6 10 16 55. N HI PLAINS TX 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 11 17 27 56. N GEORGIA 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 9 12 17 57. N ALABAMA 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 15 21 58. CENT MISSISSIPPI 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 19 59. S ARKANSAS 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 5 8 11 60. E TX 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 61. DALLAS REG TX 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 6 62. SAN ANTONIO REG TX 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 63. FAR S TX 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 64. W-CENT TX 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 65. W TX PANHANDLE 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 66. JAXONVIL FLA REG 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 67. CENT FLA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 68. S FLA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 69. FLA PANHANDLE 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 70. COASTL LOUISIANA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 71. COASTL TX NR HOUST 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 6 72. NW WASH 281 0 0 1 71 136 201 199 265 282 305 338 369 406 73. PENDELTON REG OREG 325 0 0 0 7 89 171 207 307 326 350 392 429 474 74. CENT WASH 232 0 0 0 19 77 131 145 201 216 236 265 291 322 75. SEATTLE REG WASH 484 212 233 254 284 308 329 350 371 395 424 465 501 542 76. COASTL WASH 551 343 363 381 405 423 439 454 470 487 509 543 571 605 77. E IDAHO 319 0 0 0 0 64 148 204 314 332 357 398 436 481 78. IDAHO CENT MOUNTNS 447 0 20 74 170 262 353 329 411 437 469 514 553 599 79. SW IDAHO 144 0 0 0 0 0 8 58 91 111 135 167 197 233 80. E OREG 365 0 0 14 99 180 258 261 353 376 406 449 487 532 81. OREG COASTL VALLEY 249 0 0 0 0 38 110 160 249 264 283 313 342 377 82. OREG COAST 485 301 323 343 370 390 408 425 443 462 486 526 559 598 83. NE UTAH 284 0 0 0 0 0 0 160 272 287 309 343 375 422 84. SE UTAH 37 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 34 40 52 66 86 85. W UTAH 90 0 0 0 0 0 0 18 29 39 54 78 103 133 86. NE NEVADA 304 0 0 8 78 144 208 205 270 289 313 353 391 439 87. NW NEVADA 228 0 0 0 0 32 94 132 193 208 226 255 281 312 88. SACRMNTO REG CALIF 97 0 0 0 0 0 0 27 43 53 67 90 110 134 89. N CALIF COAST 151 0 0 0 0 0 44 101 167 176 187 204 220 240 90. CENT NEVADA 109 0 0 0 0 10 33 47 73 81 92 110 128 154 91. FRESNO REG CALIF 36 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 15 19 24 33 41 52 92. CENT CALIF COAST 147 0 0 0 0 29 74 102 155 165 178 197 215 237 93. S CALIF COAST 52 0 0 0 0 6 22 29 42 48 56 69 81 95 94. SE CALIF 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 4 6 95. LAS VEGAS NEV REG 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 96. SW ARIZONA 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 4 97. NE ARIZONA 74 0 0 0 0 0 0 21 34 41 51 69 86 110 98. SE ARIZONA 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 99. N NEW MEX 225 0 0 0 0 18 88 136 216 230 250 279 308 345 100. E NEW MEX 18 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 5 8 14 20 29 101. CENT NEW MEX 84 0 0 0 0 0 0 29 47 55 66 83 100 122 102. S NEW MEX 11 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 16 23 $$